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Municipios financiables: bancabilidad real, gobernanza local y estructuración de proyectos municipales para atraer capital institucional

Nolla Sánchez, Edgra and Barquero Cabrero, José Daniel (2026): Municipios financiables: bancabilidad real, gobernanza local y estructuración de proyectos municipales para atraer capital institucional.

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Abstract

This paper proposes the concept of the bankable municipality as an applied extension of the literature on local economic development, urban governance, infrastructure finance and institutional economics. It introduces the Municipal Real Bankability Index (MRBI), an evaluative framework combining cash-flow visibility, asset clarity, permitting maturity, verified demand, risk allocation, scale, public impact and governance continuity. The paper also develops the notion of municipal tremolo, defined as the political, administrative and contractual oscillation that increases risk premia, reduces competition and makes local finance more expensive. Drawing on a comparative reading of Bilbao, Madrid, Barcelona, Malaga, Hamburg and Copenhagen, the paper identifies prudently transferable lessons for Spanish and European municipalities: governance vehicles, project portfolios, land-value capture, institutional continuity, productive ecosystems and public-interest boundaries. The conclusion is that a bankable municipality is not a city for sale, but a public administration capable of organising its assets, reducing uncertainty and negotiating capital under rules that generate both economic returns and civic dividends.

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