Reinhart, Carmen and Edison, Hali (2001): Stopping hot money. Published in: Journal of Development Econommics , Vol. 22, No. 2 (December 2001): pp. 533-553.
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Abstract
While high interest rates and foreign exchange sales are the most common way of dealing with a speculative attack in the foreign exchange market, several countries resorted to capital controls during recent periods of currency market turbulence. The purpose of this study is to use daily financial data to examine four of these capital controls episodes--Brazil, 1999, Malaysia 1998, Spain 1992, and Thailand 1997. We aim to assess the extent to which the capital controls were effective in delivering the outcomes that motivated their inception in the first place. We conclude that in two of the three cases (Brazil and Thailand), the controls did not deliver much of what was intended--although, one does not observe the counterfactual. By contrast, in the case of Malaysia the controls did align closely with the priors of what controls are intended to achieve: greater interest rate and exchange rate stability and more policy autonomy.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Stopping hot money |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | capital controls financial crises contagion Asia |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F32 - Current Account Adjustment ; Short-Term Capital Movements F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F36 - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration |
Item ID: | 13862 |
Depositing User: | Carmen Reinhart |
Date Deposited: | 08 Mar 2009 14:34 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 15:14 |
References: | Bank of International Settlements, 1999. (Basle, Switzerland: Bank for International Settlements). Bartolini, Leonardo, and Alan Drazen, Bollersev, Tim, and Jeffrey M. Woolridge, (1992). “Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference in Dynamic Models with Time Varying Covariances,” Econometric Reviews 11, 143-172. Calvo, Guillermo A., Leonardo Leiderman, and Carmen M. Reinhart, 1993. “Capital Inflows to Latin America: The Role of External Factors,” IMF Staff Papers 40, (March). Calvo, Guillermo A., and Carmen M. Reinhart, 1999. “Fear of Floating,” mimeograph. (College Park: University of Maryland). Calvo, Guillermo A., and Carlos A. Rodriguez, 1979. “A Model of Exchange Rate Determination Under Currency Substitution and Rational Expectations,” Journal of Political Economy 85, (June): 617-625. Cardoso, Eliana, and Ilan Goldfajn, 1998. IMF Staff Papers , (March). Dooley, Michael, “A Survey of the Academic Literature on Controls over International Capital Transactions,” IMF Staff Papers Dornbusch, Rudiger Edwards, Sebastian, 1998. “Interest Rate Volatility, Contagion and Convergence: An Empirical Investigation of the Cases of Argentina, Chile, and Mexico Eichengreen, Barry,. “Trends and Cycles in Foreign Lending,” in Siebert Kaminsky, Graciela L. and Carmen M. Reinhart, 1998. “Financial Crises in Asia and Latin America: Then and Now,” American Economic Review (May). Mathieson, Donald, and Liliana Rojas-Suarez, IMF Occasional Paper, (Washington DC: International Monetary Fund). Montiel, Peter, and Carmen M. Reinhart, 1999. “Do Capital Controls and Macroeconomic Policies Influence the Volume and Composition of Capital Flows? Evidence from the 1990s,” Journal of International Money and Finance (August). Reinhart, Vincent R., 1998. “How the Machinery of International Finance Runs with Sand in its Wheels,” forthcoming in Review of International Economics. Reinhart, Carmen M., and Vincent R. Reinhart, 1998 “Some Lessons for policy Makers On the Mixed Blessing of Dealing with Capital Inflows,” in M. Kahler, Financial Crises, Cornell University Press). |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/13862 |