Factores explicativos do crescimento do PIB português

Pereira, Vítor (2009): Factores explicativos do crescimento do PIB português.

Abstract

Aimed at understanding some of the factors explaining the growth of GDP, in the Portuguese case, to understand the correlation and is degree, on the situation of our sample, we conclude that the general linear model (Manso 1998), despite being fairly simple, is suitable to our purpose. This conclusion is based on the results of econometric estimates. The exercise of quantifying the contribution of various factors to GDP growth, shows clearly that in Portugal, the productivity is very important for economic development through increased competitiveness internally and externally. Also shows that the balance of trade, still has a very negative role on the Portuguese economy, through the energy dependence and technology for the outdoors. Finally, the growth of portuguese GDP, continued to be driven mainly by the growth of private and public consumption, causing a certain effect of the illusion of certain economists, who thought that Portugal had a sustainable growth. 1

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• English Title: Explanatory factors of GDP growth Portuguese
• Language: Portuguese
• Keywords: GDP Growth, private consumption, public consumption
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C0 - General > C01 - Econometrics; E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E20 - General

References

Duarte, M. e Simões, M. (2001), “ Principais factores de crescimento da economia portuguesa no espaço europeu”, Estudos do GEMF, Faculdade Economia – Universidade de Coimbra. Manso, J. (1998), “ Curso de Econometria ”, Universidade da Beira Interior – Departamento de Gestão e Economia. Rosa, Agostinho (2004), “ Uma Estimação da Curva de Phillips para Portugal “, Universidade de Évora – Departamento de Economia, Documento de Trabalho nº. 2004/08. Séries Longas para a Economia Portuguesa – Pós II Guerra Mundial, Vol. 1 – Séries Estatísticas (versão revista e prolongada para 1994 e 1995), Coordenação de Maximiano Pinheiro, Banco de Portugal, 1999. Taxas de inflação em Portugal (2004), “ Serviços ao Cidadão” http://www.gesbanha.pt [acedido