Kitov, Ivan (2009): Predicting gold ores price.
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It was demonstrated that gold ores price can be predicted at a several year horizon. The prediction consists of three steps. First, we show that the difference between producer price index and the index for gold ores is characterized by the presence of sustainable mid-term trends. Second, the evolution of the difference is predicted at a five to ten-year horizon. Considering the PPI to be practically constant over the next decade, the above difference provides a direct prediction of the price index for gold ores.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Predicting gold ores price|
|Keywords:||gold ores, prediction, PPI|
|Subjects:||G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets
E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles
|Depositing User:||Ivan Kitov|
|Date Deposited:||24. Jun 2009 00:05|
|Last Modified:||13. Feb 2013 10:20|
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Kitov, I., (2009). ConocoPhillips and Exxon Mobil stock price, MPRA Paper 15334, University Library of Munich, Germany, http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15334/01/MPRA_paper_15334.pdf
Kitov, I., Kitov, O., (2009a). A fair price for motor fuel in the United States, MPRA Paper 15039, University Library of Munich, Germany, http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/15039/01/MPRA_paper_15039.pdf
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