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Appropriate Economic Policies at Different Stages of Development

Polterovich, Victor and Popov, Vladimir (2005): Appropriate Economic Policies at Different Stages of Development.

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Abstract

This paper summarizes theoretical arguments and provides empirical evidence to support the statement that rational economic policies depend qualitatively on two factors – technological and institutional level of development of a country. We concentrate on the impact of three policies to promote the catch up development – import tariffs, increase of government revenues/spending, and the speed of foreign exchange reserves accumulation ("exchange rate protectionism"). It is shown that the impact of these policies may be positive or negative dependening on a stage of development; in each case we find threshold levels or critical combinations of GDP per capita and/or an institutional quality indicator.

A theoretical model demonstrates how tariff protection and accumulation of reserves can boost long term growth in the presence of externalities.

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