Marcelle, Chauvet and Insu, Kim (2010): Microfoundations of Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_23109.pdf Download (318kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This paper proposes a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model that endogenously generates inflation persistence. We assume that although firms change prices periodically, they face convex costs that preclude optimal adjustment. In essence, the model assumes that price stickiness arises from both the frequency and size of price adjustments. The model is estimated using Bayesian techniques and the results strongly support both sources of price stickiness in the U.S. data. In contrast with traditional sticky price models, the framework yields inflation inertia, delayed effect of monetary policy shocks on inflation, and the observed "reverse dynamic" correlation between inflation and economic activity.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Microfoundations of Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | In Inflation Persistence, Phillips Curve, Sticky Prices, Convex Costs |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E30 - General E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation |
Item ID: | 23109 |
Depositing User: | Marcelle Chauvet |
Date Deposited: | 07 Jun 2010 12:56 |
Last Modified: | 01 Oct 2019 20:46 |
References: | Alvarez, Luis J. 2008. “What Do Micro Price Data Tell Us on the Validity of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve?" The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2(19): 1-35. Alvarez, Luis J., Emmanuel Dhyne, Marco M. Hoeberichts, Claudia Kwapil, Herv Le Bihan, Patrick Lnnemann, Fernando Martins, Roberto Sabbatini, Harald Stahl, Philip Vermeulen, and Jouko Vilmunen. 2006. “Sticky Prices in the Euro Area: A Summary of New Micro Evidence." Journal of the European Economic Association, 4 (April-May): 575-584. Angeloni, Ignazio, Luc Aucremanne, Michael Ehrmann, Jordi Gali, Andrew Levin, and Frank Smets. 2006. “New Evidence on Inflation Persistence and Price Stickiness in the Euro Area: Implications for Macro Modeling." Journal of the European Economic Association, 4(2-3): 562-574. Benati, Luca. 2008. “Investigating Inflation Persistence Across Monetary Regimes." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(3): 1005-1060. Bils, Mark, Peter J. Klenow, and Benjamin A. Malin. 2009. “Reset Price Inflation and the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks." NBER Working Paper, w14787. Blinder, Alan S., Elie R. D. Canetti, David Lebow, and Jeremy B. Rudd. 1998. “Asking About Prices: A New Approach to Understand Price Stickiness." New York:Russell Sage Foundation. Calvo, Guillermo A. 1983. “Staggered Prices in a Utility-Maximizing Framework". Journal of Monetary Economics, 12(3): 383-98. Carroll, Christopher. 2003. “Macroeconomic Expectations of Households and Professional Forecasters". Quarterly Journal of Economics, 118(1): 269-98. Christiano, Lawrence J., Martin Eichenbaum, and Charles L. Evans. 2005. “Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic E_ects of a Shock to Monetary Policy." Journal of Political Economy, 113(1): 1-45. Clarida, R., Jordi Gali, and Mark Gertler. 2000. “Monetary Policy Rules and Macroeconomic Stability: Evidence and Some Theory." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(1): 147-180. 17 Cogley, Timothy, and Argia Sbordone. 2008. “Trend Inflation, Indexation and Inflation Persistence in the New Keynesian Phillips Curve." American Economic Review, 98(5): 2101-2126. Coibion, Olivier. 2010. “Testing the Sticky Information Phillips Curve. " The Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(1): 87-101. Dhyne, Emmanuel, Luis J. Alvarez, Herv Le Bihan, Giovanni Veronese, Daniel Dias, Johannes Ho_mann, Nicole Jonker, Patrick Lunnemann, Fabio Rumler, Jouko Vilmunen. 2005. “Price Setting in the Euro Area: Some Stylized Facts fromIndividual Consumer Price Data." European Central Bank Working Paper, No. 524. Martin Eichenbaum, Nir Jaimovich, and Sergio Rebelo. 2008. “Reference Prices and Nominal Rigidities." NBER Working Paper, w13829. Fabiani, Silvia, Martine Druant, Ignacio Hernando, Claudia Kwapil, Bettina Landau, Claire Loupias, Fernando Martins, Thomas Y. Math, Roberto Sabbatini, Harald Stahl, and Ad C. J. Stokman. 2005. “The Pricing Behavior of Firms in the Euro Area: New Survey Evidence." Working Paper Series, 535, European Central Bank. Fuhrer, Je_rey C., and George R. Moore. 1995. “Inflation Persistence." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 110(1): 127-59. Fuhrer, Je_rey C. 2000. “Habit Formation in Consumption and Its Implications for Monetary Policy Models." American Economic Review, 90(3): 367-390. Gali, Jordi, and Mark Gertler. 1999. “Inflation Dynamics: A Structural Econometric Analysis." Journal of Monetary Economics, 44(2): 195-222. Klenow, Peter J. and Benjamin A. Malin. 2009. “Reset Price Inflation and the Impact of Monetary Policy Shocks." NBER Working Paper, w15826. Klenow, Peter J. and Jonathan L. Willis. 2007. “Sticky Information and Sticky Prices." Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(Supplement 1): 79-99. Klenow, Peter J. and Oleksiy Kryvtsov. 2008. “State-Dependent or Time-Dependent Pricing: Does It Matter for Recent US Inflation?" The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(3): 863-904. Kozicki, Sharon and Peter A. Tinsley. 2002. “Dynamic Speci_cations in Optimizing Trend-Deviation Macro models." Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 26(9): 1585- 1611. Mankiw, N. Gregory, and Ricardo Reis. 2002. “Sticky Information Versus Sticky Prices: A Proposal to Replace the New Keynesian Phillips Curve." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4): 1295-1328. Nakamura, Emi and Jon Steinsson. 2008. “Five Facts About Prices: A Reevaluation of Menu Cost Models." Quarterly Journal of Economics, 123(4), 1415-1464. Nelson, Edward. 1998. “Sluggish Inflation and Optimizing Models of the Business Cycle." Journal of Monetary Economics, 42(2), 303-322. Roberts, John M. 2006. “Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics." International Journal of Central Banking, 2(3): 193-230. Rotemberg, Julio J. 1982. “Sticky Prices in the United States." Journal of Political Economy, 90(6): 1187-1211. Rotemberg, Julio J. and Michael Woodford 1992. “Oligopolistic Pricing and the Effects of Aggregate Demand on Economic Activity." Journal of Political Economy, 100(6): 1153-1207. Rotemberg, Julio J. 2005. “Customer Anger at Price Increases, Changes in the Frequency of Price Adjustment and Monetary Policy." Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(4): 829-52. Rudd, Jeremy, and Karl Whelan. 2005. “New Tests of the New-Keynesian Phillips Curve." Journal of Monetary Economics, 52(6): 1167-1181. Rudd, Jeremy, and Karl Whelan. 2006. “Can Rational Expectations Sticky-Price Models Explain Inflation Dynamics?" American Economic Review, 96(1): 303-320. Rudd, Jeremy, and Karl Whelan. 2007. “Modeling Inflation Dynamics: A Critical Review of Recent Research." Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(1): 155-170. Sbordone, Argia M. 2007. “Inflation Persistence: Alternative Interpretations and Policy Implications." Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(5): 1311-1339. Smets, Frank, and Rafael Wouters. 2003. “An Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Euro Area." Journal of the European Economic Association, 1(5): 1123-1175. Smets, Frank, and RafaelWouters. 2007. “Shocks and Frictions in US Business Cycles: A Bayesian DSGE Approach." American Economic Review, 97(3): 586-606. Steinsson, Jon 2003. “Optimal Monetary Policy in an Economy with Inflation Persistence." Journal of Monetary Economics, 50(7): 1425-1456. Taylor, John 1979. “Staggered Wage Setting in a Macro Model." American Economic Review, Papers and Proceedings, 69(2): 108-113. Taylor, John 1980. “Aggregate Dynamics and Staggered Contracts." Journal of Political Economy, 88(1): 1-23. Taylor, John B. 1999. “Staggered Price and Wage Setting in Macroeconomics." Handbook of Macroeconomics, North-Holland/Elsevier, 1, Part 2, 1009-1050. Vermeulen, Philip, Daniel Dias, Maarten Dossche, Erwan Gautier, Ignacio Hernando, Roberto Sabbatini, Harald Stahl. 2007. “Price Setting in the Euro Area: Some Stylised Facts from Individual Producer Price Data and Producer Surveys." European Central Bank Working Paper, 727. Walsh, Carl E. 2003. Monetary Theory and Policy, ed. 2, The MIT Press. Woodford, Michael. 1996. “Loan Commitments and Optimal Monetary Policy." Journal of Monetary Economics, 37(3): 573-605. Woodford, Michael. 2007. “Interpreting Inflation Persistence: Comments on the Conference on Quantitative Evidence on Price Determination." Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(s1): 203-210. Yun, Tack. 1996. “Nominal Price Rigidity, Money Supply Endogeneity, and Business Cycles." Journal of Monetary Economics, 37(2): 345-370. Zbaracki, Mark J., Mark Ritson, Daniel Levy, Shantanu Dutta, and Mark Bergen. 2004. “Managerial and Customer Costs of Price Adjustment: Direct Evidence from Industrial Markets." Review of Economics and Statistics, 86(2): 514-533 |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/23109 |