Panousi, Vasia (2009): Financial Integration and Capital Accumulation.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_24238.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
How does financial integration impact capital accumulation when countries differ in the efficacy of internal financial markets? We examine this question within a two-country incompletemarkets model featuring a specific financial friction: agents face uninsurable idiosyncratic risk in their investment, or entrepreneurial, opportunities. Under financial autarchy, the South (the country with the least developed risk-sharing possibilities) features a higher precautionary motive for saving and a lower risk-free rate, but also a lower capital stock and lower output. Upon financial integration,capital flies out of the poor, capital-scarce South, causing a prolonged deep in domestic activity. At the same time, the rich, capital-abundant North runs large currentaccount deficits and enjoys a prolong boom. However, these effects are more than reversed in the long run: as time passes, capital starts flowing back into the South, eventually leading to higher domestic activity than under autarchy. Taken together, these results help explain the emergence of global imbalances while also providing a distinct policy lesson regarding the intertemporal costs and benefits of financial integration.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Financial Integration and Capital Accumulation |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Financial integration, capital-account liberalization, incomplete markets, idiosyncratic risk, entrepreneurship, current-account deficits, global imbalances |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E13 - Neoclassical F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics |
Item ID: | 24238 |
Depositing User: | Vasia Panousi |
Date Deposited: | 04 Aug 2010 00:06 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 16:46 |
References: | [1] Aiyagari, S. Rao (1994), “Uninsured Idiosyncratic Risk and Aggregate Saving,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 109, 659-684. [2] Angeletos, George-Marios (2007), “Uninsured Idiosyncratic Investment Risk and Aggregate Saving,” Review of Economic Dynamics 10, 1-30. [3] Angeletos, George-Marios, and Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet (2000), “Incomplete Markets, Growth, and the Business Cycle,” MIT Department of Economics Working Paper 00-33. [4] Angeletos, George-Marios, and Laurent-Emmanuel Calvet (2006), “Idiosyncratic Production Risk, Growth, and the Business Cycle,” Journal of Monetary Economics 53, 1095-1115. [5] Aoki, Kosuke, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki, and Gianluca Benigno (2009), “Adjusting to Capital Account Liberalization,” London School of Economics/Princeton University mimeo. [6] Backus, David, Espen Henriksen, Frederic Lambert, and Chris Telmer (2005), “Current account facts and Actions,” unpublished manuscript, Stern School of Business, NYU. [7] Benhabib, Jess, and Shenghao Zhou (2008), “Age, Luck, and Inheritance,” NBER Working Paper No. 14128. [8] Bewley, Truman (1977), “The Permanent Income Hypothesis: A Theoretical Formulation,” Journal of Economic Theory 16, 252-292. [9] Bewley, Truman (1986), “Stationary monetary equilibrium with a continuum of independent fluctuating consumers,” in Werner Hildenbrand and Andrew Mas-Colell (eds.), Contributions to Mathematical Economics in Honor of Gerard Debreu, North-Holland, Amsterdam. [10] Blanchard, Olivier, Francesco Giavazzi, and Filipa Sa, “International Investors, the U.S. Current Account, and the Dollar,” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Spring 2005. [11] Broner, Fernando, and Jaume Ventura (2008), “Rethinking the Effects of Financial Liberalization,” CREI mimeo. [12] Boyd, John H., and Bruce D. Smith (1997), “Capital Market Imperfections, International Credit Markets, and Nonconvergence,” Journal of Economic Theory 73(2), 335-364. [13] Caballero, Ricardo J., Emmanuel Farhi, and Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas (2008), “ An equilibrium model of global imbalances and low interest rates,” American Economic Review 98 (1), 358-93. [14] Cagetti, Marco, and Mariacristina De Nardi (2006), “Entrepreneurship, Frictions, and Wealth,” Journal of Political Economy 114, 835-870. [15] Covas, Francisco (2006), “Uninsured Idiosyncratic Production Risk with Borrowing Constraints,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 30, 2167-2190. [16] Croke, Hilary, Steven B. Kamin, and Sylvain Leduc (2005), “Financial market developments and economic activity during current account adjustments in industrial economies,” International Finance Discussion Papers No. 827, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. [17] Engel, Charles, and John Rogers (2006), “The U.S. Current Account Deficit and the Expected Share of World Output,” Journal of Monetary Economics 53, 1063-1093. [18] Fogli, Alessandra, and Fabrizio Perri (2006), “The great moderation and the US external imbalance,” NBER Working Paper No. 12708. [19] Gertler, Mark, and Kenneth Rogoff (1990), “North-South lending and endogenous domestic capital market inefficiencies,” Journal of Monetary Economics 26(2), 245-266. [20] Guvenen, Fatih (2006), “Reconciling Conflicting Evidence on the Elasticity of Intertemporal Substitution: A Macroeconomic Perspective,” Journal of Monetary Economics 53, 1451-1472. [21] Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, and Jeanne, Olivier (2006), “The elusive gains from international financial integration,” Review of Economic Studies 73 (3), 715-741. [22] Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, and Jeanne, Olivier (2007), “Capital flows to developing countries: the allocation puzzle,” NBER Working Paper No. 13602. [23] Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier, and Hélène Rey (2007), “From world banker to world venture capitalist: US external adjustment and the exorbitant privilege,” in Richard H. Clarida (ed.), G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois. [24] Hausmann, Ricardo, and Federico Sturzenegger (2006), “U.S. and global imbalances: can dark matter prevent a big bang?,” Center for International Development, Harvard University, Working Paper No. 124. [25] Heathcote, Jonathan, Kjetil Storesletten, and Gianluca Violante (2009), “Quantitative Macroeconomics with Heterogeneous Households,” Annual Review of Economics 1, 319-354. [26] Huggett, Mark (1997), “The One-Sector Growth Model With Idiosyncratic Shocks,” Journal of Monetary Economics 39, 385-403. [27] Hunt, Benjamin, and Alessandro Rebucci (2005), “The U.S. dollar and the trade deficit: what accounts for the late 1990s?,” International Finance 8 (3), 399-434. [28] Kraay, Aart, and Jaume Ventura (2007), “The Dot-Com Bubble, the Bush Deficits, and the U.S. Current Account,” in Richard Clarida (ed.), G-7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, University of Chicago Press, Chicago. [29] Krebs, Tom (2003), “Human Capital Risk and Economic Growth,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 118, 709-744. [30] Krusell, Per, and Anthony A. Smith (1998), “Income and Wealth Heterogeneity in the Macroeconomy,” Journal of Political Economy 106, 867-896. [31] Krusell, Per, and Anthony A. Smith (2006), “Quantitative Macroeconomic Models with Heterogeneous Agents,” in Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications, Ninth World Congress of the Econometric Society. [32] Lane, Philip. R., and Maria Milesi-Ferretti (2007), “A global perspective on external position,” in Richard H. Clarida (ed.), G7 Current Account Imbalances: Sustainability and Adjustment, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, Illinois. [33] Levhari, David, and T. N. Srinivasan (1969), “Optimal Savings Under Uncertainty,” Review of Economic Studies 36, 153-163. [34] Lucas, Robert E. Jr, (1990), “Why Doesn’t Capital Flow from Rich to Poor Countries?,” American Economic Review 80(2), 92-96. [35] McGrattan, Ellen R., and Prescott, Edward C. (2007), “Technology capital and the U.S. current account,” Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Staff Report 406. [36] Meh, Césaire, and Vincenzo Quadrini (2006), “Endogenous Market Incompleteness with Investment Risks,” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 30, 2143-2165. [37] Mendoza, Enrique, Vincenzo Quadrini, and Victor Rios-Rull (2008), “Financial Integration, Financial Deepness and Global Imbalances,” Journal of Political Economy 115, 665-703. [38] Mendoza, Enrique, Vincenzo Quadrini, and Victor Rios-Rull (2007), “On the welfare implications of Financial globalization without Financial development,” NBER Working Paper No. 13412. [39] Obstfeld, Maurice (1994), “Risk-Taking, Global Diversification, and Growth,” American Economic Review 84, 1310-1329. [40] Obstefeld, Maurice, and Kenneth Rogoff (2004), “The unsustainable U.S. current account position revisited,” NBER Working Paper No. 10869. [41] Panousi, Vasia (2009), “Capital Taxation with Entrepreneurial Risk,” Federal Reserve Board mimeo. [42] Panousi, Vasia, and Dimitris Papanikolaou (2008),“Investment, Idiosyncratic Risk, and Ownership,” Federal Reserve Board/Northwestern University mimeo. [43] Quadrini, Vincenzo (2000), “Entrepreneurship, Saving, and Social Mobility,” Review of Economic Dynamics 3, 1-40. [44] Song, Zheng, Kjetil Storesletten, and Fabrizio Zilibotti (2009), “Growing Like China,” mimeo. [45] Willen, Paul. S. (2004), “Incomplete markets and trade,” Working Paper Series No. 04-8, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/24238 |