Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Turkey

Demir, Firat (2010): Exchange Rate Volatility and Employment Growth in Developing Countries: Evidence from Turkey. Published in: World Development , Vol. 8, No. 38 (August 2010): pp. 1127-1140.

Abstract

Employing a unique panel of 691 private firms that accounted for 26% of total value-added in manufacturing in Turkey, the paper explores the impacts of exchange rate volatility on employment growth during the period of 1983 - 2005. The empirical analysis using a variety of specifications, estimation techniques, and robustness tests suggests that exchange rate volatility has a statistically and economically significant employment growth reducing effect on manufacturing firms. Using point estimates, the results suggest that for an average firm a one standard deviation increase in real exchange rate volatility reduces employment growth in the range of 1.4 - 2.1 percentage points.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Exchange Rate Volatility; Employment Growth; Manufacturing Firms; South Eastern Europe; Turkey
• Subjects: E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E24 - Employment ; Unemployment ; Wages ; Intergenerational Income Distribution ; Aggregate Human Capital ; Aggregate Labor Productivity; L - Industrial Organization > L6 - Industry Studies: Manufacturing; F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange

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