Harmonization of seismic hazard and risk reduction in the Vrancea zone: scientific results of a NATO research project

Zaicenco, Anton and Craifaleanu, Iolanda-Gabriela and Lungu, Dan and Paskaleva, Ivanka and Özcebe, Güney (2009): Harmonization of seismic hazard and risk reduction in the Vrancea zone: scientific results of a NATO research project. Published in: Constructii , Vol. VIII, No. 2/2009 (2009): pp. 34-51.

Abstract

The paper presents some of the main scientific results achieved in the framework of a recently completed NATO Science for Peace and Security research project. The project aimed to harmonize the different seismic hazard maps of Romania, Moldova and Bulgaria and to develop standard maps in Eurocode 8 format, reflecting the real transboundary geophysical effects of the seismic phenomenon. In order to achieve these results, an important amount of research work in the field was carried out by the project teams of the three countries. The project also involved training of young scientists in the fields of seismic hazard, vulnerability and risk, organizing of seminars and workshops with international experts and upgrading the national seismic networks with new digital equipments. The general coordination of project activities and the evaluation of the project progress were performed by a scientific team from the Middle East Technical University (METU) in Ankara, Turkey.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: seismic hazard; seismic risk; Vrancea zone; NATO research project
• Subjects: O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O18 - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis ; Housing ; Infrastructure; L - Industrial Organization > L7 - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction > L78 - Government Policy; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O13 - Agriculture ; Natural Resources ; Energy ; Environment ; Other Primary Products; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O33 - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences ; Diffusion Processes; L - Industrial Organization > L7 - Industry Studies: Primary Products and Construction > L74 - Construction; O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O19 - International Linkages to Development ; Role of International Organizations; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters and Their Management ; Global Warming; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q58 - Government Policy

References

Alkaz V., Zaicenco A., Isiciko E. (2008) Seismic Microzonation of Chisinau: a Tool for Reducing Seismic Risk, Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone, Springer, NATO Science for Peace and Security Series - C

Ambraseys, N., Smit, P., Sigbjornsson, R., Suhadolc, P. and Margaris, B. (2002), Internet-Site for European Strong-Motion Data,European Commission, Research-Directorate General, Environment and Climate Programme.

Ardeleanu, L., Radulian, M. (1998). 21-22 February, 1983 seismic sequences of Ramnicu Sarat: focal mechanism and source time function inferred from short period waveform inversion, Rev. Roum. Geophys, 47, Bucharest, 27–38.

Berrill, J. B., Davis, R. O. (1980), Maximum entropy and the magnitude distribution, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; 70: 1823-1831.

Craifaleanu, I. G. (2005). Nonlinear Single-Degree-of-Freedom Models in Earthquake Engineering. Matrix Rom Publishers. Bucharest (in Romanian).

Craifaleanu, I. G., Lungu, D., Borcia, I. S. (2006). Shakemaps of Nonlinear Spectral Ordinates for Vrancea Earthquakes. Proceedings of the First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology, Geneva, Switzerland, 3-8 September, Paper No.1257 (on CD-ROM).

Craifaleanu, I. G. (2007), An Assessment of the Damage Potential of Romanian Vrancea Earthquakes, Proceedings of the International Symposium on Strong Vrancea Earthquakes and Risk Mitigation, Bucharest, Oct. 4-6, pp. 317-327, Matrix Rom Eds., Bucharest.

Craifaleanu, I. -G. (2008), An Assessment of Damage Potential and Building Performance Demands for Romanian Vrancea Earthquakes, Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone with Special Emphasis on Seismic Risk Reduction, Proceedings of the NATO Science for Peace Project on Harmonization of Seismic Hazard and Risk Reduction in Countries Influenced by Vrancea Earthquakes Chisinau, Moldova 20 May 2008, Zaicenco, A.; Craifaleanu, I.; Paskaleva, I. (Eds.), Springer.

Craifaleanu, I.-G. (2008), A Comparison Between the Requirements of Present and Former Romanian Seismic Design Codes, Based on the Required Structural Overstrength, Proc. 14WCEE, paper No. 08-01-0035 (on CD-ROM)

Dong W.M., Bao A.B. and Shah H.C. (1984). Use of maximum entropy principle in earthquake recurrence relationships. Bull. Seism. Soc. Am., v.74, pp.725-737.

Dziewonsky, A. M., Ekstrom, G., Woodhouse, J. H., Zwart, G. (1991), Centroid moment tensor solutions for April-June 1990, Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 66, 133 - 143.

Engdahl, E. R. (2003). Global Seismicity: 1900-1999, International Handbook of Earthquake and Engineering Seismology, 81A, 665–690.

Ginsari, V. (2008) Estimation of the recurrence and probability of Vrancea intermediate depth earthquakes, Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone, Springer, NATO Science for Peace and Security Series – C

Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Programme. Annali di Geofisica, V. XXXVI, No 3-4, 1993.

Gutenberg B. and Richter C.F. (1956). Magnitude and energy of earthquakes. Ann. geophys., v.9, N1, 1-15.

Gruenthal G. (1993) European Macroseismic Scale 1992 (updated M.S.K. scale). Conseil de l’Europe, Cahiers du Centre Europeen de Geodynamique et de Seismologie, Vol.7, 79, Luxembourg

Hwang H. H. M., Huo J. R. (1994), Generation of hazard-consistent fragility curves for seismic loss estimation studies. Technical Report NCEER-94-0015, National Center for Earthquake Engineering Research, State University of New-York at Buffalo, USA.

Kouteva-Guentcheva, M.P., Paskaleva, I.P., Panza, G.F. (2008a) Strong Intermediate-Depth Vrancea Earthquakes: Damage Capacity in Bulgaria, 14WCEE, October 12-17, Beijing China, Ref. 07-0050.

Kouteva M. and Paskaleva I. (2008b), Seismic Monitoring: a Contribution to the Sustainable Development of the Russe Region of Bulgaria, In: Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone with Special Emphasis on Seismic Risk reduction, Editors: A. Zaicenco. I. Craifalenu, I. Paskaleva, NATO Science for Peace and Security Series-C: Env. Security, Springer, pp.183-197.

Kouteva-Guentcheva M., Paskaleva I., Panza G.F. (2008c) Earthquake Source and Local Geology Effects on the Seismic Site Response In: Site Effects and Soil Structure Interaction, NATO ARW, Editors: T. Shanz and R. Iankov, Springer (in Print).

Lungu, D., Aldea,A., Demetriu, S., Craifaleanu, I. (2004) Seismic strengthening of buildings and seismic instrumentation -two priorities for seismic risk reduction in Romania, CD, 1st Int. Conf. Science and Technology for Safe Development of Lifeline Systems, Natural Risks: Developments, Tools and Techniques in the CEI Area .

Lungu, D., Craifaleanu, I. G. (2007), Spatial Distribution of Strength and Displacement Demands for Romanian Earthquakes, Proceedings of the International Symposium on Seismic Risk Reduction, The JICA Technical Cooperation Project in Romania, Bucharest, April 26-27, pp. 407-412, Paper ID: 79.

Lungu D., Craifaleanu I.-G. (2008), Shake Maps of Strength and Displacement Demands for Romanian Vrancea Earthquakes, Proceedings of the 14WCEE, Beijing, China, Oct. 12-17, Paper No. 03-03-0060 (on CD-ROM)

Mohniuc R., Zaicenco A., Kuendig C., Kurmann T. (2008) 4.9. 4.10. MEMS-based Data Logger for Seismic Arrays and Structural Health Monitoring, Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone, NATO Science for Peace and Security, Series-C, Springer.

Nenov, D., Paskaleva, I., Georgiev, G., Trifunac, M. (1990) CATALOG of strong earthquake ground motion data in EQINFOS: Accelerograms recorded in Bulgaria between 1981 and 1987. Report No CE 90-02, Sofia and Los Angeles, 1990, 55 pages, published in Southern California University.

Panza G.F., Romanelli F., Vaccari F. (2001) “Seismic Wave Propagation in Laterally Heterogeneous Anelastic media: theory and applications to the seismic zonation”, Advances in Geophysics, Academic press; 43, pp. 1-95.

Paskaleva I., Kouteva M. (2007) Intermediate Progress Report, NATO SfP Project 980468, CLSMEE - Bulgarian Acad. Sci.

Paskaleva I., Kouteva M., Vaccari F., Panza G.F. (2008) Application of the Neo-Deterministic Seismic Microzonation Procedure in Bulgaria and Validation of the Seismic Input Against Eurocode 8, Proc. of 2008 Seismic Eng. Conf. commemorating the 1908 Messina and Reggio Calabria Earthquake, Reggio Calabria, Italy, 8-11 July, 2008, Part one, Editors: A. Santini and N. Moraci, American Institute of Physics, AIP Conference Proc. 1020, pp. 394-402.

Pondrelli, S., Salimbeni, S., Ekstrom, G., Morelli, A., Gasperini, P., and Vannucci, G. (2006). The Italian CMT dataset from 1977 to the present, Phys. Earth Planet. Int., 159,3-4, 286–303.

Purcaru, G. (1979). The Vrancea, Romania, earthquake of March 4, 1977 - a quite successful prediction. Physics of the Earth and Planetary Interiors, 18, 274–287.

Radu C. (1982.). Catalogul cutremurelor puternice produse pe teritoriul Romăniei. Partea I,II. In: Cutremil de pămînt din Romania de la 4 martie 1977. Ed. Academiei Romănia, Bucureşti, 1982, 78-85.

Radu C. (2003). Catalogul istoric al cutremurelor din Vrancea în perioada 984-1900. In: Construcţii amplasate în zone cu mişcări seismice puternice. Ed. Orizonturi Universitare, Timişoara, p.25.

Radulian, M., Mindrescu, N., Popescu, E., Utale, A., Panza, G. F. (1996). Seismic Activity and Stress Field Characteristics for the Seismogenic Zones of Romania, International Center for Theoretical Physiscs, Miramare-Trieste, December, IC/96/256

Radulian, M., Vaccari, F., Manderscu, N., Panza, G.F., Moldoveanu, C. (2000). Seismic Hazard of Romania: Deterministic Approach, PAGEOPH, Vol.157, no1/2, 221-247.

Ratnikova L.I. Computation of oscillations at the free surface and internal points of horizontally layered damped soil. In: Seismic microzoning, M., Nauka, 1984, 235 p (in Russian).

Sandu, I., Zaicenco, A. (2007). Focal Mechanism Solution Catalogue for SE Carpathian Region, Thirty Years from the Romania Earthquake of March 4, 1977, Bucharest, Romania.

Sandu I., Zaicenco A. (2008) Focal Mechanism Solutions for Vrancea Seismic Area, Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone, Springer, NATO Science for Peace and Security Series – C

Steven, L. K. (1996). Geotechnical Earthquake Engineering, Prentice-Hall Civil Engineering and Engineering Mechanics Series.

Trifu, C., Oncescu, M. (1987). Fault geometry of August 30, 1986 Vrancea earthquake, Ann. Geophys., 5B, 727–729.

Tshoher, V., Tischenko, V. (1941). Report “The Carpathian Earthquakes of October, 22 and November, 10, 1940”. Archives of the Institute of Geology and Seismology, Academy of Schences, Republic of Moldova (in Russian).

Wenzel F., Lorentz F.P., Sperner B., Oncescu M.C., (1999). Seismotectonics of the Romanian Vrancea Area. In: Vrancea Earthquakes: Tectonics, Hazard and Risk Mitigation, 15-25, Wenzel et al. (eds.), Kluwer Academic Publishers.

Zahradnik J. (1982). Seismic response analysis of two-dimensional absorbing structures. Stud. Geophys. and Geod., vol.26, pp.24-41

Zaicenco A., Gavin H.P., Dickinson B.W. (2008) 4.9. A Parametric Model Combining Gabor Wavelet and Stochastic Component for the August 30, 1986 Vrancea Earthquake, Harmonization of Seismic Hazard in Vrancea Zone, Springer, NATO Science for Peace and Security Series - C

CEN (2004). Eurocode 8: Design of structures for earthquake resistance. Part 1: General rules, seismic actions and rules for buildings, EN 1998-1. European Committee for Standardization.

Code for Design of Structures in Seismic Regions (1987), Sofia, Bulgaria.

MTCT (2006). Seismic Design Code – P100. Part I – P100-1/2006: Design Rules for Buildings. Ministry of Transport, Constructions and Tourism, Construction Bulletin. 12-13, edited by INCERC (in Romanian).

MLPAT (1992) Code for the Seismic Design of Residential, Agricultural and Industrial Structures – P100-92. Ministry of Public Works and Regional Planning, Construction Bulletin. 1-2-3, edited by INCERC (in Romanian).