Mutascu, Mihai and Shahbaz, Muhammad and Tiwari, Aviral Kumar (2011): Revisiting the relationship between electricity consumption, capital and economic growth: Cointegration and causality analysis in Romania.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_29233.pdf Download (178kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The paper empirically analyzes, in the Romania’s case, the cointegration and causality between electricity consumption, capital and economic growth. The data set is covering the period 1980 - 2008. The results show the existence of bidirectional causality between electricity consumption and economic growth and between economic growth and capital use. In the same time, a unidirectional causal relation is also found from capital use to electricity consumption.
The main finding suggests that electricity conservation policies may retard economic growth by reduction in electricity consumption. Moreover, in the opposite direction, from economic growth to electricity consumption, the fluctuations in economic growth may reduce demand for electricity.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Revisiting the relationship between electricity consumption, capital and economic growth: Cointegration and causality analysis in Romania |
English Title: | Revisiting the relationship between electricity consumption, capital and economic growth: Cointegration and causality analysis in Romania |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Electricity Consumption, Growth, Cointegration |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F15 - Economic Integration O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O16 - Financial Markets ; Saving and Capital Investment ; Corporate Finance and Governance B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B2 - History of Economic Thought since 1925 > B29 - Other |
Item ID: | 29233 |
Depositing User: | aviral tiwari |
Date Deposited: | 06 Mar 2011 21:31 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 13:43 |
References: | Abosedra, S., Dah, A. and Ghosh, S. (2009) Electricity consumption and economic growth, the case of Lebanon. Applied Energy, 86, pp. 429-432. Acaravci, A., Ozturk, I. (2010). Electricity consumption-growth nexus: Evidence from panel data for transition countries. Energy Economics. Vol. 32(3): 604-608. Acaravici, A. (2010) Structural breaks, electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence from Turkey. Journal for Economic Forecasting, 2, pp. 140-154. Aktas, C. and Yilmaz, V. (2008) Causality between electricity consumption and economic growth in Turkey. ZKÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 4, pp. 45–54. Alinsato, A. S., (2007). Electricity consumption and GDP in an electricity community: Evidence from bound testing cointegration and Granger-causality tests. mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/20816. Altinay, G. and Karagol, E. (2005) Electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence from Turkey. Energy Economics, 27, pp. 849-856. Apergis, N. and Payne, J.E. (2010) Energy consumption and growth in South America: Evidence from a panel error correction model, Energy Economics, 32, pp. 1421-1426. Aqeel, A. and Butt, M.S. (2001) The relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Pakistan. Asia-Pacific Development Journal, 8, pp. 101-110. Bartleet, M and Rukmani, G. (2010) Energy consumption and economic growth in New Zealand: results of trivariate and multivariate models. Energy Policy, (38) pp: 3508-3517. Blomström, M., R.E. Lipsey and M. Zejan., (1996). Is Fixed Investment the Key to Economic Growth? Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111(1), 269-276. Böhm, D.C. (2008) Electricity consumption and economic growth in the European Union: A causality study using panel unit root and cointegration analysis. University of Hohenheim / Robert Bosch GmbH, Germany. Chandran, V.G.R., Sharma. S. and Madhavan. K. (2009) Electricity consumption–growth nexus: The case of Malaysia. Energy Policy, 38, pp. 606-612. Chang, T., Fang, W. and Wen, L.F. (2001) Energy consumption, employment, output and temporal causality: Evidence from Taiwan based on cointegration and error-correction modelling techniques. Applied Economics, 33, pp. 1045-1056. Chen, S.T., Kuo, H.I. and Chen, C.C. (2007) The Relationship between GDP and Electricity Consumption in 10 Asian Countries. Energy Policy, 35, pp. 2611–2621. Ciarreta, A and Zarraga, A. (2010) Electricity consumption and economic growth in Spain. Applied Economics Letters, (14), pp. 1417–1421. De Long, J. B and Summers, L. H, (1991). Equipment Investment and Economic Growth, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106(2), 445-502. De Long, J. B and Summers, L. H, (1992). Are All Economic Hypotheses False?, Journal of Political Economy, 100(6), 1257-1272. Ghali, K. H and Al-Mutawa, A., (1999). The Intertemporal Causal Dynamics between Fixed Capital Formation and Economic Growth in the Group-of-Seven Countries, International Economic Journal, 13(2), 31-37. Ghosh, S. (2002) Electricity consumption and economic growth in Taiwan. Energy Policy, 30, pp. 125–129. Gupta, G. and Chandra, S.N. (2009) Causality between electricity consumption and economic growth: Empirical evidence from India. http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/22942. Ho. C. and Sui, K. (2006) A dynamic equilibrium of electricity consumption and GDP in Hong Kong: An empirical investigation. Energy Policy, 35, pp. 2507-2513. Hondroyiannis, G., Lolos, S and Papapetrou, E. (2002) Energy consumption and economic growth: assessing the evidence from Greece. Energy Economics, (24), pp. 319–336. Hsiao, C., (1981). Autoregressive modelling and money-income causality detection, Journal of Monetary Economics, 7(1), 85-106. Jamil, F. and Ahmad, E. (2010) The relationship between electricity consumption, electricity prices and GDP in Pakistan. Energy Policy, 38, pp. 6016-6025. Jumbe, C.B.L. (2004) Cointegration and causality between electricity consumption and GDP: Empirical evidence from Malawi. Energy Economics, 26, pp. 61–68. Karanfil, F. (2009) How many times again will we examine the energy–income nexus using a limited range of traditional econometric tools? Energy Policy, 37, pp. 1191–119. Kayhan, S., Uğur, A., Bayat, T., Lebe, F. (2010). Causality Relationship between Real GDP and Electricity Consumption in Romania (2001-2010). Romanian Journal for Economic Forecasting. Issue 4: 169-183. Kraft, J. and Kraft, A. (1978) On the relationship between energy and GNP. Journal of Energy and Development, 3, pp. 401–403. Lean, H.H. and Smyth, R. (2010) Multivariate Granger causality between electricity generation, exports, prices and GDP in Malaysia. Energy, 35, pp. 3640-3648. Lee, C.C. and Chang, C.P. (2007) The impact of energy consumption on economic growth: Evidence from linear and nonlinear models in Taiwan. Energy, 32, pp. 2282-2294. Lorde. T., Waithe, K and Francis, B. (2010) The importance of electrical energy for economic growth in Barbados. Energy Economics, 32, pp. 1411-1420. Lütkepohl, H. (1982) Non-causality due to omitted variables. Journal of Econometrics, 19, pp. 367-378. Lütkepohl, H. (2005) New Introduction to multiple time series analysis. Germany: Springer-Verlag. Menegaki, A. (2010). Growth and renewable energy in Europe: A random effect model with evidence for neutrality hypothesis. Energy Economics. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2010.10.004: 1-7. Mozumder, P and Marathe, A. (2007) Causality relationship between electricity consumption and GDP in Bangladesh. Energy Policy, 35, pp. 395–402. Narayan, P. K and Singh, B. (2007) The Electricity consumption and GDP nexus for the Fiji Islands. Energy Economics, 29, pp. 1141-1150. Narayan, P.K and Smyth, R. (2005) Electricity consumption, employment and real income in Australia: Evidence from multivariate granger causality Tests. Energy Policy, 33, pp. 1109-1116. Narayan, P.K. and Prasad, A. (2008) Electricity consumption-real GDP causality nexus: Evidence from a bootstrapped causality test for 30 OECD countries. Energy Policy, 36, pp. 910-918. Ng, S and Perron, P. (2001) Lag Length Selection and the Construction of Unit Root Test with Good Size and Power. Econometrica, (69), pp. 1519-1554. Odhiambo, N.M. (2009a) Electricity consumption and economic growth in South Africa: A trivariate causality test. Energy Economics, 31, pp. 635-640. Odhiambo, N.M. (2009b) Energy consumption and economic growth nexus in Tanzania: An ARDL bounds testing approach. Energy Policy, (37), pp. 617–622. Ouédraogo, M. (2010) Electricity consumption and economic growth in Burkina Faso: A cointegration analysis. Energy Economics, 3, pp. 524-531. Ozturk, I., Acaravci, A. (2010). The causal relationship between energy consumption and GDP in Albania, Bulgaria, Hungary and Romania: Evidence from ARDL bound testing approach, Applied Energy, Vol. 87(6): Pages 1938-1943. Pesaran, M.H., Shin, Y. and Smith, R. (2001) Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, pp. 289-326. Seabra, F and Flach, L., (2005). Foreign Direct investment and Profit Outflows: A Causality Analysis for the Brazilian Economy. Economics Bulletin, 6(1), 1-15. Shahbaz, M. (2010) Income inequality-economic growth and non-linearity: A case of Pakistan, International Journal of Social Economics, 37, 613-736. Shiu, A and Lam, P. L. (2004) Electricity consumption and economic growth in China. Energy Policy, (32), pp. 47-54. Squalli, J. (2007) Electricity consumption and economic growth: Bounds and causality analysis for OPEC members. Energy Economics, 29, pp. 1192–1205. Squalli, J. and Wilson, K. (2006) A bounds analysis of electricity consumption and economic growth in the GCC. Working Paper -06-09, EPRU, Zayed University. Stern, D. I. (1993) Energy use and economic growth in the USA: a multivariate approach. Energy Economics, (15), pp. 137-150. Tang, C.F. (2008) A re-examination of the relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in Malaysia. Energy Policy, 36, pp. 3077-3085. Tang, C.F. (2009) Electricity consumption, income, foreign direct investment, and population in Malaysia: New evidence from multivariate framework analysis. Journal of Economic Studies, 36, pp. 371-382. Tang, CF and Shahbaz, M. (2011) Revisiting the electricity consumption-growth nexus for Portugal: Evidence from a multivariate framework analysis. mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/28393. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar (2010) On the Dynamics of Energy Consumption and Employment in Public and Private Sector, Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences, 4(12): 6525-6533. Tiwari, Aviral Kumar (2011) On the dynamics of Energy consumption, Co2 emission and economic growth: Evidence from India, Indian economic Review (forthcomming) Toda, H.Y. and Yamamoto, T. (1995) Statistical inferences in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66, pp. 225-250. Tsani, S. Z. (2010) Energy consumption and economic growth: a causality analysis for Greece. Energy Economics, (32), pp. 582-590. Turner, P. (2006) Response surfaces for an F-test for cointegration. Applied Economics Letters, 13, pp. 479-482. Yoo, S and Kwak, S. (2010) Electricity consumption and economic growth in Seven South American countries. Energy Policy, 38, pp. 180-188. Yoo, S. (2006) The causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in ASEAN countries. Energy Policy, 34, pp. 3573-3582. Yoo, S. H and Kim, Y. (2006) Electricity generation and economic growth in Indonesia. Energy, 31, pp. 2890-2899. Yoo, S. H. (2005) Electricity consumption and economic growth: Evidence from Korea. Energy Policy, 33, pp. 1627-1632. Yuan, J., Zhao, C., Yu, S., Hu, Z. (2007) Electricity consumption and economic growth in China: Cointegration and co-feature analysis. Energy Economics, 6, pp. 1179-1191. Yusaf. M and Latif. A., (2007). Causality between Electricity Consumption and Economic Growth in Malaysia: Policy Implications. www.energyseec.com/econometrcis_en.asp. Zachariadis, T and Pashourtidou, N. (2007) An empirical analysis of electricity consumption in Cyprus. Energy Economics, 29, pp. 183-198. Zamani, M. (2006) Energy consumption and economic activities in Iran. Energy Economics, (29), pp. 1135–1140. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/29233 |