Chiwaula, Levison and Waibel, Hermann (2011): Seasonal bias in household vulnerability to poverty stimates: insights from a natural experiment.
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Using data from 260 households from the Hadejia-Nguru wetlands, the paper shows that vulnerability to poverty estimates are biased if the data used is seasonal. The seasonal bias in the consumption expenditure is less pronounced than in its variance. The paper further shows that the relative sizes of the seasonal bias in expected consumption expenditure and its variance determines the final magnitude of the bias. However, the bias in the expected consumption expenditure is sufficiently corrected by including seasonal dummy variables. We therefore encourage researchers to consider seasonality when they are modelling consumption expenditure with the aim of estimating vulnerability.
|Item Type:||MPRA Paper|
|Original Title:||Seasonal bias in household vulnerability to poverty stimates: insights from a natural experiment|
|English Title:||Seasonal bias in household vulnerability to poverty stimates: insights from a natural experiment|
|Keywords:||Seasonal bias; vulnerability to poverty; natural experiment; Nigeria|
|Subjects:||C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C1 - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General > C13 - Estimation: General
?? C42 ??
I - Health, Education, and Welfare > I3 - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty > I32 - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty
|Depositing User:||Levison/S Chiwaula|
|Date Deposited:||06. May 2011 12:22|
|Last Modified:||16. Feb 2013 02:19|
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