Ulgen, Faruk (2010): Shaky emerging economies in view of the global financial crisis: the Turkish economy after three decades of liberal reforms.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_35467.pdf Download (512kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In the wake of the global change of a new accumulation regime in main capitalist economies, the opening up and liberalisation process of emerging economies from the 1980s has provoked great expectations that resulted in recurrent disappointing crises. Studied as a stylized fact, the Turkish experience leads us to evaluate the role of liberalised macroeconomic environment, unsuitable economic policies and hesitant and weak regulatory mechanisms as the main sources of perverse sequencing in the reform area. The paper shows that the Turkish crises since the 1980s arose from bad macroeconomic policies which implemented the neo-liberal shock therapy model and triggered boom-and-bust cycles. After three decades of liberal reforms, the Turkish economy remains still subject to structural downturns as the economic recovery is not guaranteed by a hasty liberalisation but by consistent policies which should frame economic actors‟ behaviour in the aim of a sustainable macroeconomic development.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Shaky emerging economies in view of the global financial crisis: the Turkish economy after three decades of liberal reforms |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Liberalisation; stability; sustainable growth regime; Turkish economy |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F32 - Current Account Adjustment ; Short-Term Capital Movements E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O5 - Economywide Country Studies > O52 - Europe G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G01 - Financial Crises F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F36 - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration |
Item ID: | 35467 |
Depositing User: | Faruk ULGEN |
Date Deposited: | 19 Dec 2011 01:13 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 04:33 |
References: | Akyüz, Y. And Boratav, K. 2002, “The Making of the Turkish Financial Crisis”, UNCTAD Discussion Papers N°158, April. Alper, C. E. and Öniş, Z. 2002, “Soft Budget Constraints, Government Ownership of Banks and Regulatory Failure: The Political Economy of the Turkish Banking System in the Post-Capital Account Liberalization Area”, Working Papers 02/02, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul. Aydın, F. 2002, Türkiye’de kamu kesimi iç borçlanmasının bankacılık sektörü bilançolarına ve risklerine olan etkileri, TCMB, Araştırma Genel Müdürlüğü, Temmuz 2002, Ankara. Bhattacharya, R. 1997, “Pace, Sequencing and Credibility of Structural Reforms”, World Development, 25(7), July, pp. 1045-1061. Cardarelli, R. Elekdağ, S. and Lall, S. 2009, “Financial Stress, Downturns, and Recoveries”, IMF Working Paper, WP/09/100. Chang, R. and Velasco, A. 2001, “A model of currency crises in emerging markets”, Quarterly Journal of Economics,116(2), pp. 489-517. Eichengreen, B. 2001, “Crisis Prevention and Management: Any New Lessons from Argentina and Turkey?” Background paper for the World Bank‟s Global Development Finance 2002, October. FEMISE 2005, The Road Ahead for Turkey, Economic Research Forum, August. Ganioğlu, A. 2007, “Prudential Regulation and Supervision of the Banking Sector and Banking Crises: A Cross Country Empiricial Investigation”, BDDK Bankacılık ve Finansal Piyasalar, 1(2), pp. 11-29. Goldstein, M. and Turner, P. 1996, « Banking crises in emerging economies: origins and policy options », BIS Economic Papers, 46, October. Green, C. J., Kirkpatrick, C. H. and Murinde, V. (eds.) 2005, Finance and Development, E. Elgar. Griefel-Tatje, E. and Lovell, C. A. K. 1996, “Deregulation and productivity decline: the case of Spanish savings banks”, European Economic Review, 40(6), p.1281-1303. Hein, E., Niechoj, T., Spahn, P. And Truger, A. (eds.) 2008, Finance-led Capitalism? Metropolis-Verlag: Marburg. Hellman, J., Jones, J. and Kaufmann, D. 2000, “Beyond the „Grabbing Hand‟ of Government in Transition: Facing up to „State Capture‟ by the Corporate Sector”, Transition: The Newsletter about Reforming Economies, 11, pp. 8-12. Hellman, J., Murdock, K. and Stiglitz, J. 2000, “Liberalization, Moral Hazard in Banking, and Prudential Regulation: Are Capital requirements Enough?”, American Economic Review, 90(1), pp. 147-165. Humphrey, D. B. and Pulley L. B. 1997, «Banks‟ responses to deregulation: Profits, technology, and efficiency», Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, p. 73-93. Irwin, G. and Vines, D. 1999, “A Krugman-Dooley-Sachs Third Generation Model of the Asian Financial Crisis”, CEPR Discussion Papers, 2149. Johnson, S., La Porta, R., Lopez-De-Silanes, F. and Shleifer, A. 2000, « Tunneling », AEA Papers and Proceedings, 90(2), pp. 22-27. Masson, P. 1998, “Contagion: Mansoonal Effects, Spillovers, and Jumps Between Multiple Equilibria”, IMF Working Paper, WP/98/142. McKinnon, R. I. 1991, The Order of Economic Liberalization: Financial Control in the Transition to a Market Economy, The John Hopkins University Press: Baltimore. 27 Mohanty, M. S. and Klau, M. 2004, “Monetary policy rules in emerging market economies: issues and evidence”, BIS Working Papers, N°149. Ocampo, J. A. 2009, “Latin America and the global financial crisis”, Cambridge Journal of Economics, 33, pp. 703-724. Özatay, F. and Sak, G. 2003, “Banking Sector Fragility and Turkey‟s 2000-01 Financial Crisis”, The Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey Discussion Paper, December. Özkan-Günay, N. and Günay, G. 2007, “Potential insolvency, prudential regulation and supervision in emerging market banking systems: the case of Turkey”, Int. J. Liability and Scientific Enquiry, 1(1-2), pp. 164-174. Prasad, E., Rajan, R. and Subramanian, A. 2006, “Foreign Capital and Economic Growth”, paper presented at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Symposium, August. Rajan, R. G. and Zingales, L. 1998, « Financial dependence and growth », American Economic Review, 88(3), p. 559-86. Rodrik, D. 2009, “The Turkish Economy After the Crisis”, paper prepared for the occasion of the 80th anniversary of the Turkish Economics Association. Schroeder, S. K. 2002, “A Minskian Analysis of Financial Crisis in Developing Countries”, Center for Economic Policy Analysis Working Paper 2002-09, August. Stiglitz, J.-E. 2008, “China: Towards a new model of development”, China Economic Journal, 1(1), pp. 33-52. Stiglitz, J.-E., Ocampo, J. A., Spiegel, S., Ffrench-Davis, R. and Nayyar, D. 2006, Stability with growth: Macroeconomics, Liberalization, and Development, Oxford and New York: Oxford University Press. Stockhammer, E. 2009, “The finance-dominated accumulation regime, income distribution and the present crisis”, Department of Economics Working Paper Series N°127, April, Vienna University of Economics&B.A. Şenses, F. 2003, « Economic Crisis as an Instigator of Distributional Conflict: The Turkish Case in 2001 », in Z. Öniş and B. Rubin (eds.) The Turkish Economy in Crisis, London: Frank Cass. TBB (Türkiye Bankalar Birliği) 2009, Türkiye’de Bankacılık Sistemi, Rapor N°YT07, December. TCMB (Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey) 2010, Economic Indicators, August, Ankara. TCMB 2010, Finansal İstikrar Raporu, N°10, May 2010. 28 TSPAKB (The Association of Capital Market Intermediary Institutions of Turkey) 2010, Turkish Economy and Capital Markets, Publication N°50, September, İstanbul. TÜİK (Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu) 2010, Economic Indicators, N°3467, July, Ankara. TÜİK (Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu) 2009, Statistical indicators 1923-2008, N°3361, December, Ankara. TÜİK (Türkiye İstatistik Kurumu) 2006, Statistical indicators 1923-2005, N°3047, December, Ankara. Undersecretary of Treasury (Turkish) 2010, Turkish Economy, October, Ankara. Uygur, E. 2010, “The Global Crisis and the Turkish Economy”, Turkish Economic Association Discussion Paper, 2010/3, Ferbruary. Ülgen, F. 2010, “In search of relevant regulatory policies: A Minskian lecture in view of the current financial crisis”, in T. Lagoarde-Segot (ed.) After the Crisis: Rethinking Finance, NOVA Science Publishers, Inc.: N.Y. USA. Ülgen, F. 2008, « Libéralisation financière et stabilité macroéconomique : des liens ambigus (l‟expérience turque) », Réunion ad hoc d'experts sur la mobilité des capitaux en Afrique du nord, Nations Unies-Commission économique pour l‟Afrique-Bureau pour l‟Afrique du nord, Casablanca-Maroc, 1-19 janvier (www.uneca-na.org). Ülgen, F. 2007, “Intégration financière et désintégration monétaire : La Turquie en crise de confiance”, Economie et institutions, N° 10-11, pp. 67-97. Yayla, M., Hekimoğlu, A. and Kutlukaya, M. 2008, “Financial Stability of the Turkish Banking Sector”, BDDK Bankacılık ve Finansal Piyasalar, 2(1), pp. 9-26. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/35467 |