Armstrong, J. Scott (2012): Moneyball: a Message for Managers.
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Abstract
A critique of the analysis of the hiring process featured in Michael Lewis' book and film, Moneyball. The study suggests that intuition is insufficient for providing guidance in the selection of employees.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Commentary on: | Eprints 0 not found. |
Original Title: | Moneyball: a Message for Managers |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | employee selection; hiring process; seer-sucker theory; statistical analysis |
Subjects: | M - Business Administration and Business Economics ; Marketing ; Accounting ; Personnel Economics > M1 - Business Administration |
Item ID: | 36648 |
Depositing User: | J Armstrong |
Date Deposited: | 02 Oct 2017 13:39 |
Last Modified: | 10 Oct 2019 12:57 |
References: | Ahlburg, Dennis A. (1992). “Predicting the job performance of managers: What do the experts know?” International Journal of Forecasting, 7, 467-472. Armstrong, J. Scott (1980), “The seer-sucker theory: The value of experts in forecasting,” Technology Review, 83 (June/July), 18-24. Armstrong, J. S. (2012), “Illusions in regression analysis,” International Journal of Forecasting. 28 [Forthcoming; available at http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1969740] Goldin, C. & C. Rouse (2000), “Orchestrating impartiality: The effect of 'blind' auditions on female musicians,” American Economic Review, 90 (4), 715-741. Grove, W.M. et al. (2000), “Clinical versus mechanical prediction: A meta-analysis,” Psychological Assessment, 12, 19–30. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/36648 |