Teguh, Dartanto (2009): The determinants of fertility in southeast and south Asian countries: an analysis of panel data. Published in: LPEM FEUI Staff Paper No. No.6 (2009): pp. 1-18.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_41412.pdf Download (360kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The fertility rate in Southeast and South Asia is relatively high compared to other region in the world, but the trend tends to decrease rapidly. This paper aims to quantitatively explore the factors influencing fertility rate in Southeast and South Asia by applying econometric model of the panel data. Applying the fixed effect estimation method on the 2003-2008 panel data, this study found that the infant mortality rate is an important factor influencing the high fertility rate in this area. The high elasticity of infant mortality rate implies that parents cover their risk from losing children by producing more children. Surprisingly, the demand for children (fertility rate) follows the demand of normal goods in which one digit increase in log income per capita will increase the fertility rate by 0.334 births per woman.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The determinants of fertility in southeast and south Asian countries: an analysis of panel data |
English Title: | The Determinants of Fertility in Southeast and South Asian Countries: An Analysis of Panel Data |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Fertility, Infant Mortality, Demand for Children, Demographic |
Subjects: | J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J13 - Fertility ; Family Planning ; Child Care ; Children ; Youth J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J19 - Other J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J18 - Public Policy J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J11 - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts |
Item ID: | 41412 |
Depositing User: | Teguh Dartanto |
Date Deposited: | 18 Sep 2012 13:49 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 00:46 |
References: | Ainsworth et al. (1996).” the Impact of Women’s Schooling on Fertility and Contraceptive Use: A Study of Fourteen Sub-Saharan African Countries”, The World Bank Economic Review, Vol.10, p. 85-122. http://wber.oxfordjournals.org accessed at Nagoya University on April 5, 2010 Al-Qudsi, Sulaiman (1998). “The Demand for Children in Arab countries: Evidence from Panel and Count Data Model”, Journal of Population Economic, vol.1998, no.11, p.435-452. Baltagi, B (1995). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (New-York: John Wiley & Sons). Becker, Garry (1960), an Economic Analysis of Fertility, NBER: www.nber.org/chapters/c2387.pdf De Tray, Dennis N. (1973). “Child Quality and the Demand for Children”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 81, No. 2, Part 2: New Economic Approaches to Fertility, (Mar. - Apr., 1973), p. S70-S95. Friedlander, Stanley and Morris, Silver (1967). “A Quantitative Study of the Determinants of Fertility Behavior”, Demography, Vol. 4, No. 1 (1967), pp. 30-70. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/2060350 Accessed: 05/04/2010 21:23 Greene, William H. (2000), Econometric Analysis 4th edition (New-Jersey: Prentice-Hall). Hirschman, C. and Guest, P. (1990). “the Emerging Demographic Transitions of Southeast Asia”, Population and Development Review, Vol. 16, No. 1, (Mar., 1990), p. 121-152. Hirschman, Charles (1994). “Why Fertility Changes, Annual Review of Sociology”, Vol. 20, (1994), p. 203-233. Michael, Robert T. (1973).”Education and the Derived Demand for Children”, The Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 81, No.2, Part 2: New Economic Approaches to Fertility, (mar.-Apr., 1973), p. S128-S164. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1840417 accessed: 11/06/2008 Panopoulou, Giota and Tsakloglou, Panos (1999). “Fertility and economic development: theoretical considerations and cross-country evidence”, Applied Economics, Vol 31: 11, p. 1337-1351. URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/000368499323229 Rosenzweig, Mark R. (1977). “the Demand for Children in Farm Households”, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 85, No. 1, (Feb., 1977), p. 123-146. URL: http://www.jstor.org/stable/1828332 Accessed: 11/06/2008 01:29 Turke, Paul W. (1989). “Evolution and Demand for Children”, Population and Development Review, Vol. 15, No. 1, (Mar., 1989), p. 61-90. Yamada, Tadashi (1984). “Causal Relationships between Infant Mortality and Fertility in Developed and Less Developed Countries”, NBER Working Paper Series, December 1984, w1528. http://www.nber.org/tmp/81378-w1528.pdf Yamamoto, T. (2008). “Lecturer Note No.5”, Intermediate Econometric Course, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University, Japan, Summer Semester 2008 (unpublished). |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/41412 |