Nenovski, Tome and Makrevska, Elena (2012): Uncertainty in creating macroeconomic policy: knowledge, skills and (un)predictability. Forthcoming in:
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_42255.pdf Download (168kB) | Preview |
Abstract
“If economists could manage to get themselves thought of as humble, competent people on a level with dentists, that would be splendid.” (Keynes, 1931). Then macroeconomics would transform into a useful and routine type of engineering, which will prevent the emerging of recessions. However, the appearance of stagnation and enormous financial crises started to change the economy postulates. Even though it poses significant findings, macroeconomics is not an exact science which has the ability to completely and accurately presuppose the actions of the economic entities and employ one general solution in every situation. The unpredictability of their conduct designates the dynamics of the science of macroeconomics and the need to adjust it to the contemporary economic status. The ongoing crisis undoubtedly proves that.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Uncertainty in creating macroeconomic policy: knowledge, skills and (un)predictability |
English Title: | Uncertainty in creating macroeconomic policy: knowledge, skills and (un)predictability |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | macroeconomics, science, economic entities, postulates, adjustment |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook |
Item ID: | 42255 |
Depositing User: | PhD Tome Nenovski |
Date Deposited: | 23 Feb 2013 11:20 |
Last Modified: | 04 Oct 2019 06:31 |
References: | 1. Andrew B. Abel, Ben S. Bernanke, Dean Croushore, Macroeconomics, Macedonian translation, Tabernakul, 2009, Skopje; 2. Austrian National Bank, The Forecasting Process, www.oenb.at/en/geldp_volksw/prognose /the_forecasting_process.jsp; 3. Barnett, William A., Is Macroeconomics a Science?, MPRA Munich Personal RePEc Archive, January 2006, http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/415; 4. Christopher Adam and David Vines, Remarking macroeconomic policy after the global financial crisis: a balance-sheet approach, http://oxrep. Oxfordjournals,org/content/25/4/507.short?res=1&source=mfr; 5. Czech National Bank, How is the forecast drawn up?, www.cnb.ez/fag/how_is_forecast_drawn_up.html; 6. David Aikman, Philip Barett, Sujit Kapadia, Mervyn King, James Proudman, Tim Taylor, Iain de Weymarn and Tony Yates (Bank of England), Uncertainty in macroeconomic policy making: art or science?, Paper delivered to Royal Society Conference on “Handling Uncertainty in Science”, March 2010, London, http://www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/Pages/news/2010/034.aspx; 7. Dimitar Bogov, National Bank of Macedonia prepares reserve scenarios for crisis in Euro zone, National Bank of Republic of Macedonia, November 2011, Skopje, www.dnevnik.mk/default.asp?ItemID=D96896E2D0072246ASE7BEB1EB1AF704; 8. European Central Bank, A Guide to Eurosystem staff Macroeconomic Projection Exercises, June 2011, ECB, www.ecb.int; 9. Gregory N. Mankiw, The Macroeconomist as Scientist and Engineer, Harvard Unuversity, May, 2006, http://www.cep.ccer.edu.cn/cn/userfiles/Other/2010-05/2010051110440438644377.pdf; 10. Martin Weale, Uncertain uncertainty, Speech To the Institute and Faculty of Actuaries London, March 2011, www.bankofengland.co.uk/publications/speeches; 11. Sandra Pianalto, Forecasting in Uncertain Times, Economic Club of Cleveland, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, May 2010, http://www.clevelandfed.org/For_the_Publi /News_and_Media/Speeches/2010/Pianalto_20100518.cfm; 12. Tome Nenovski, Macroeconomics, University American College Skopje, 2010, Skopje; |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/42255 |