Seidler, Jakub and Gersl, Adam (2012): Excessive credit growth and countercyclical capital buffers in basel III: an empirical evidence from central and east european countries. Published in: ACTA VSFS , Vol. 6, No. 2 (2012): p. 91.
This is the latest version of this item.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_43689.pdf Download (591kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Excessive credit growth is often considered to be an indicator of future problems in the financial sector. This paper examines the issue of how best to determine whether the observed level of private sector credit is excessive in the context of the “countercyclical capital buffer”, a macroprudential tool proposed in the new regulatory framework of Basel II by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. An empirical analysis of selected Central and Eastern European countries, including the Czech Republic, provides alternative estimates of excessive private credit and shows that the HP filter calculation proposed by the Basel Committee is not necessarily a suitable indicator of excessive credit growth for converging countries.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Excessive credit growth and countercyclical capital buffers in basel III: an empirical evidence from central and east european countries |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | credit growth, financial crisis, countercyclical capital buffer, Basel II |
Subjects: | G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G18 - Government Policy and Regulation G - Financial Economics > G0 - General > G01 - Financial Crises G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages |
Item ID: | 43689 |
Depositing User: | Patrik Mottl |
Date Deposited: | 11 Jan 2013 14:44 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 13:51 |
References: | BACCHETTA, P.; GERLACH, S. (1997). Consumption and Credit Constraints: International Evidence. Journal of Monetary Economics. 40(2), Monetary Policy and Financial Markets, pp. 207–238. BACKÉ, P.; ZUMER, T. (2005). Developments in Credit to the Private Sector in Central and Eastern European EU Member States: Emerging from Financial Repression, Comparative Overview. In Focus on European Economic Integration. Vienna: Oesterreichische Nationalbank. BCBS (2009). Strengthening the Resilience of the Banking Sector. December 2009. BCBS (2010a). Consultative Document: Countercyclical Capital Buffer Proposal. July 2010. BCBS (2010b). Guidance for National Authorities Operating the Countercyclical Capital Buffer. December 2010. BLACKBURNE, E.F.; FRANK, M.W. (2007). Estimation of Nonstationary Heterogeneous Panels. The Stata Journal. 7(2), pp. 197–208. BOISSAY, F.; CALVO-GONZALES, O.; KOZLUK, T. (2006). Is Lending in Central and Eastern Europe Developing too Fast? Finance and Consumption Workshop presentation. BORIO, C.; LOWE, P. (2002). Assessing the Risk of Banking Crise. BIS Quarterly Review. December 2002, pp. 43–54. BORIO, C.; DREHMANN, M. (2009). Assessing the Risk of Banking Crises – Revisited, BIS Quarterly Review, March 2009, pp. 29–46. BRZOZA-BRZEZINA, M. (2005). Lending Booms in European Periphery: South-Western Lessons for Central Eastern Members, EconWPA, February 2005. CALZA, A.; GARTNER, C.; SOUSA, J. (2003). Modelling the Demand for Loans to the Private Sector in the Euro Area. Applied Economics. 35(1), pp. 107–117. CNB (2010). Analyses of the Czech Republic’s Current Economic Alignment with the Euro Area. Czech National Bank. COTTARELLI, C.; GIOVANNI, D.; VLADKOVA-HOLLAR, I. (2005). Early Birds, Late Risers, and Sleeping Beauties: Bank Credit Growth to the Private Sector in Central and Eastern Europe and in the Balkans. Journal of Banking & Finance. 29(1), pp. 83–104. DRAGULIN, I. (2008). Coping with Credit Growth: The Romanian Experience. IMF-BSC Workshop on Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe. Vienna, January 2008. ÉGERT, B.; BACKÉ, P.; ZUMER, T. (2006). Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe – New (Over)shooting Stars? European Central Bank Working Paper No. 687. ELLER, M.; FRÖMMEL, M.; SRZENTIC, N. (2010). Private Sector Credit in CESEE: Long-Run Relationships and Short-Run Dynamics, Focus on European Economic Integration. No. 2. ENOCH, C., ÖTKER-ROBE, I. (2007). Rapid Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe: Endless Boom or Early Warning? International Monetary Fund, Palgrave Macmillan Ltd. GERALI, A.; NERI, S., SESSA, L.; SIGNORETTI, F. (2010). Credit and Banking in a DSGE Model of the Euro Area. Working Paper No. 740. Bank of Italy, Economic Research Department. GERŠL, A.; JAKUBÍK, P. (2012). How Important Is the Adverse Feedback Loop for the Banking Sector? Journal of Economics 60(1), pp. 32–49. HERZBERG, V. (2008). The Role of Macro Prudential Measures in Containing Credit Expansions: A Short Overview. IMF-BSC Workshop on Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe. Vienna, January 2008. HILBERS, P.; ÖTKER-ROBE, I.; PAZARBASIOGLU, C.; JOHNSEN, G. (2005). Assessing and Managing Rapid Credit Growth and the Role of Supervisory and Prudential Policies. IMF Working Paper WP/05/151. HOFMANN, B. (2001). The Determinants of Private Sector Credit in Industrialized Countries: Do Property Prices Matter? BIS Working Paper 108. IMF (2004). Are Credit Booms in Emerging markets a Concern? World Economic Outlook, April 2004, Chapter 4. JIMENEZ, G.; SAURINA, J. (2006). Credit Cycles, Credit Risk, and Prudential Regulation. International Journal of Central Banking. 2(2), pp. 65–98. KISS, G.; NAGY, M.; VONNÁK, B. (2006): Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe: Convergence or Boom? MNB Working Papers 2006/10, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (The Central Bank of Hungary). KRAFT, E.; JANKOV, L. (2005). Does Speed Kill? Lending Booms and Their Consequences in Croatia. Journal of Banking and Finance. 29(1), pp. 105–121. PESARAN, M.H.; SHIN, Y.; SMITH, R.P. (1999). Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 94, pp. 621 634. SAURINA, J.; LIS, S.F.; PAGÉS, J.M. (2000). Credit Growth, Problem Loans and Credit Risk Provisioning in Spain. Bank of Spain Working Paper No. 0018. SAURINA, J.; GABRIEL, J.; ONGENA, S.; PEYDRÓ, J. (2008). Hazardous Times for Monetary Policy: What Do 23 Million Bank Loans Say about the Effects of Monetary Policy on Credit Risk? Discussion Paper No. 75, Center for Economic Research, Tilburg University. SEKINE, T. (2001). Modelling and Forecasting Inflation in Japan. IMF Working Paper 01/82. STEINER, K. (2011). Households’ Exposure to Foreign Currency Loans in CESEE EU Member States and Croatia. Focus on European Economic Integration Q1/11, pp. 6–24. TERRONES, M.; MENDOZA, E. (2004). Are Credit Booms in Emerging Markets a Concern? IMF, World Economic Outlook, pp. 147–166. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/43689 |
Available Versions of this Item
-
Excessive credit growth and countercyclical capital buffers in basel III: an empirical evidence from central and east european countries. (deposited 13 Nov 2012 13:08)
- Excessive credit growth and countercyclical capital buffers in basel III: an empirical evidence from central and east european countries. (deposited 11 Jan 2013 14:44) [Currently Displayed]