Hanif, Muhammad Nadim (2012): A Note on Food Inflation in Pakistan. Published in: Pakistan Economic and Social Review , Vol. 50, No. 2 (2012): pp. 183-206.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_45009.pdf Download (675kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Food inflation hurts poor more than rich as poor spend higher proportion of their income on food items compared to rich. Higher global food and crude oil prices in 2008 resulted in higher (than historical average) food inflation in Pakistan. Global food inflation caused food inflation in Pakistan. However, food inflation diffusion has been lower compared to non-food inflation in Pakistan. Food inflation volatility in Pakistan was found to be half of that observed in the world. Compared to global food inflation persistence, there is no evidence of food inflation persistence in Pakistan. However, within the food group, most of the goods which were manufactured exhibited inflation persistence. With the help of comparison of food inflation with wage increases for labour (after 2008 global commodity prices shock), the poor (labour class) was found to be at disadvantage.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | A Note on Food Inflation in Pakistan |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Inflation, Food Inflation, Persistence, Volatility, Diffusion, Pakistan |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E31 - Price Level ; Inflation ; Deflation |
Item ID: | 45009 |
Depositing User: | Nadim Hanif |
Date Deposited: | 13 Mar 2013 11:56 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 11:13 |
References: | Akhtar, Sajjad (2009), “Macroeconomics of Food Inflation in Pakistan,” NUST Journal of Business and Economics, 2(1), pp. 10-23 Bilquees, F. (1988), “Inflation in Pakistan: Empirical Evidence on the Monetarist and Structuralist Hypotheses,” The Pakistan Development Review 27(2), pp. 109–130 Choudhary, M.A., S. Naeem, A. Faheem, N. Hanif, and F. Pasha (2011). “Formal Sector Price Discoveries: Preliminary Results for a Developing Country,” SBP Working Paper No 42, and Surrey University Discussion Paper No. 10/11 Ciccarelli, M. and B. Mojon (2008), “Global Inflation,” ECB Working Paper No. 537 Cheung, L., J. Szeto, C. Tam, and S. Chan (2008), “Rising Food Prices in Asia and Implications for Monetary Policy,” Hong Kong Monetary Authority Quarterly Bulletin, September, pp. 1-10 Dickey, D. A. and Fuller, W.A. (1979), "Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root ," J. American Statistical Assn., 74, pp. 427-431 Friedman, Milton (1963), “Inflation: Causes and Consequences,” published by The Council for Economic Education, Bombay, India Fuhrer, J.C. (2009). “Inflation Persistence,” Working Paper No. 09-14 of Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Galí, J. and M. Gertler (1999). “Inflation Dynamics: A Structural Econometric Analysis, Journal of Monetary Economics 44(2), pp. 195-222 Granger, Clive W. J. (1969), “Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods,” Econometrica 37(3), pp. 424-438 Hanif, M. N. and I. Batool (2006), “Openness and Inflation: A Case Study of Pakistan,” Pakistan Business Review, Karachi, Vol. 7 No. 4 Hanif, M. N., M.J. Malik and J. Iqbal (2012), “Intrinsic Inflation Persistence in a Developing Country,” SBP Working Paper No. 52 Hanif, M. N, Z. Hyder, M.A.K. Lodhi, M.H. Khan, I. Batool (2011) “A Small Size Macroeconometric Model of Pakistan Economy,” SBP Working Paper No. 34 IMF (2007), World Economic Outlook, October 2007, pp 13-15 http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2007/02/pdf/text.pdf Irfan, M. (2008), “Pakistan’s Wage Structure during 1990/91-2006/07,” Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad Khan, M. S., and A. Schimmepfennig (2006), “Inflation in Pakistan: Money or Wheat?” IMF Working Paper No. 60 Khan, M.U.H. and Hanif, M.N. (2012), “Role of Demand and Supply Shocks in Driving Inflation: A Case Study of Pakistan,” Journal of Independent Studies and Research, MSSE (Volume 10, No. 2, forthcoming) Khan, M.U.H. (2008), “Short-Run Effects of an Unanticipated Change in Monetary Policy: Interpreting Macroeconomic Dynamics in Pakistan,” SBP Working Paper No. 22 Riazuddin, R. (2008), “An Exploratory Analysis of Inflation Episodes in Pakistan,” The Lahore Journal of Economics, Special Edition, pp. 63-93 UN (2008), “Higher Food Prices in Pakistan: Impact Assessment and Way Forward,” The UN Inter Agency Assessment Mission FAO/UNDP/UNESCO/UNICEF/WFP/WFO, prepared at the request of Ministry of Food, Agriculture, and Livestock (Government of Pakistan) |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/45009 |