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A Seasonality in the Pakistani Equity Market: The Ramadhan Effect

Husain, Fazal (1998): A Seasonality in the Pakistani Equity Market: The Ramadhan Effect. Published in: The Pakistan Development Review , Vol. 37, No. 1 (1998): pp. 77-81.

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This paper attempts to explore a seasonal pattern, the Ramadhan effect, in the Pakistani equity market. Ramadhan, the holy month of fasting, is expected to affect the behavior of stock market in Pakistan where the environment in Ramadhan is different from other months as people devote more time to perform rituals and the general economic activity slows down. The effects of Ramadhan on mean return and stock returns volatility are examined by including a dummy variable in regressions and GARCH models respectively. The analysis indicates a significant decline in stock returns volatility in this month although the mean return indicates no significant change.

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