McMinn, David (1986): 9/56 Year Cycle: Financial Panics. Published in: The Australian Technical Analyst Association Newsletter. (September 1993): pp. 28-37.
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Abstract
The 9/56 year cycle consists of a grid repeating the intervals 56 years vertically (called sequences) and 9 years horizontally (called subcycles). Since 1760, US and Western European financial panics have clustered with significance in this grid pattern. Seasonality was also observed within the 56 year sequences and within the 18/56 year grids. Artifact subcycles were also apparent within this cycle as shown by the 20 year subcycles. The 9/56 year pattern can be intimately linked to Moon – Sun cycles and thus it is hypothesized that lunisolar tidal harmonics activated financial panics within the 9/56 year grid.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | 9/56 Year Cycle: Financial Panics |
English Title: | 9/56 Year Cycle: Financial Panics |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | 9/56 year cycle, financial panics, seasonality, artifact subcycles |
Subjects: | Z - Other Special Topics > Z0 - General |
Item ID: | 52541 |
Depositing User: | Mr David McMinn |
Date Deposited: | 29 Dec 2013 05:12 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 02:53 |
References: | Adams, A B. 1936. Analyses of Business Cycles. McGraw - Hill. 232p. Calomiris, C W & Gorton, Gary. 1991. The Origin of Banking Panics. Paper in Financial Markets & Financial Crises. Edited by Hubbard, R G. The University of Chicago Press. Dichev, Ilia & Janes, Troy. 2003. Lunar Cycle Effects In Stock Returns. Working paper. The Journal of Private Equity. 6 (4): p 8–29. Encyclopedia Americana. 1995. Grolier. Vol 5, p 46-47 & Vol 21, p 358. Funk, J M. 1933. The 56 Year Cycle in American Business Activity. Ottawa, IL. Kindleberger, C P, 1996, Manias, Panics & Crashes. John Wiley & Sons. 3rd edition. 263p. Kitchin, J M. 1933. Trade Cycles Chart. Published by The Times Annual Financial & Commercial Review. 1920, 1924, 1930. Revised chart to 1933 presented in Gold. A reprint of The Special Number of The Times. June 20, 1933. Times Publishing Co Ltd. McMinn, David, 1986, The 56 Year Cycles & Financial Crises. 15th Conference of Economists. The Economics Society of Australia. Monash University, Melbourne. 18p. Aug 25-29. McMinn, David, 1993. US Financial Crises & The Number 56. The Australian Technical Analyst Association Newsletter. p 21-25. September. McMinn, David. 1994. Mob Psychology & The Number 56. The Australian Technical Analyst Association Newsletter. p 28-37. March. McMinn, David. 1995. Financial Crises & The Number 56. Twin Palms Publishing. 124p. McMinn, David. 1996. Financial Crises & The Number 56. Cycles. The Foundation For The Study of Cycles. p 11-17. Vol 46, No 1. Aug. McMinn, David. 2002. Market Timing By The Number 56. Twin Palms Publishing. 134p. McMinn, David, 2006. Market Timing by The Moon & The Sun. Twin Palms Publishing. 163p. McMinn, David, 2011a. 9/56 Year Cycle: Californian Earthquakes. New Concepts In Global Tectonics Newsletter. No 58. p 33-44. March. McMinn, David, 2011b. 9/56 Year Cycle: Record Earthquakes. New Concepts In Global Tectonics Newsletter. No 59. p 88-104. June. McMinn, David, 2011c, 9/56 Year Cycle: Hurricanes. New Concepts In Global Tectonics Newsletter. No 59. p 105-111. June. McMinn, David. 2011d. 9/56 Year Cycle: Earthquakes in Selected Countries. New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter. No 60. p 9-37. Sep. McMinn, David. 2012. 9/56 Year Cycle: World Mega Volcanic Eruptions. New Concepts in Global Tectonics Newsletter. No 64. p 7-18. Sep. Sobel, Robert. 1965. The Big Board: A History of The New York Stock Market. Free Press. Sobel, Robert. 1968. Panic on Wall Street: A History of America’s Financial Disasters. Macmillan. Yuan, Kathy et al. 2006. Are Investors Moonstruck? Lunar Phases and Stock Returns. Journal of Empirical Finance, Volume 13, Issue 1, Jan. p 1-23. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/52541 |
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