Munich Personal RePEc Archive

9/56 Year Cycle: Financial Panics

McMinn, David (1986): 9/56 Year Cycle: Financial Panics. Published in: The Australian Technical Analyst Association Newsletter. (September 1993): pp. 28-37.

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The 9/56 year cycle consists of a grid repeating the intervals 56 years vertically (called sequences) and 9 years horizontally (called subcycles). Since 1760, US and Western European financial panics have clustered with significance in this grid pattern. Seasonality was also observed within the 56 year sequences and within the 18/56 year grids. Artifact subcycles were also apparent within this cycle as shown by the 20 year subcycles. The 9/56 year pattern can be intimately linked to Moon – Sun cycles and thus it is hypothesized that lunisolar tidal harmonics activated financial panics within the 9/56 year grid.

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