The economic, environmental and public health impacts of new power plants: a sequential interindustry model integrated with GIS data

Avelino, André Fernandes Tomon and Hewings, Geoffrey J.D. and Guilhoto, Joaquim José Martins (2010): The economic, environmental and public health impacts of new power plants: a sequential interindustry model integrated with GIS data.

Abstract

The electrical sector is responsible for a considerable amount of greenhouse gases emissions worldwide, but also the one in which modern society depends the most for maintenance of quality of life as well as the functioning of economic and social activities. Invariably, even CO2 emission-free power plants have some indirect environmental impacts due to the economic effects they produce during their life cycle (construction, O&M and decommissioning). Thus, sustainability issues should be always considered in energy planning, by evaluating the balance of positive/negative externalities on different areas of the country. This study aims to introduce a social-environmental economic model, based on a Regional Sequential Interindustry Model (SIM) integrated with geoprocessing data, in order to identify economic, pollution and public health impacts in state level for energy planning analysis. The model is based on the Impact Pathway Approach Methodology, using geoprocessing to locate social-environmental variables for dispersion and health evaluations. The final goal is to provide an auxiliary tool for policy makers to assess energy planning scenarios in Brazil.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Energy planning, input-output, energy economics
• Subjects: C - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > C6 - Mathematical Methods ; Programming Models ; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling > C67 - Input-Output Models; D - Microeconomics > D5 - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium > D57 - Input-Output Tables and Analysis; R - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics > R1 - General Regional Economics > R15 - Econometric and Input-Output Models ; Other Models

References

ANÁLISE. Análise Energia: Anuário 2010. São Paulo: Ibep, 2010.

ANEEL. BIG – Banco de Informação de Geração. 2010. Available in: <http://www.aneel. gov.br/15.htm>. Access in May 28, 2010.

DATASUS. Banco de dados do Sistema Único de Saúde. 2010. Available in <www.datasus.gov.br>. Access in May 28, 2010. EUROPEAN COMMISSION. ExternE – Externalities of Energy: Methodology 2005 Update. Luxemburg: European Communities, 2005.

GOUVEIA, N. et al. Hospitalizações por causas respiratórias e cardiovasculares associadas à contaminação atmosférica no Município de São Paulo, Brasil. Cadernos de Saúde Pública, v.22, n.12, pp.2669-2677, 2006.

GUILHOTO, J.; SESSO FILHO, U. Estimação da Matriz Insumo-Produto a partir de Dados Preliminares das Contas Nacionais. Economia Aplicada, Ribeirão Preto, v.9, n.1, april-june 2005a.

GUILHOTO, J.; SESSO FILHO, U. Estrutura Produtiva da Amazônia - Uma Análise de Insumo-Produto. Belém: Banco da Amazônia, 2005b. 320 p.

LABANDERA, X.; LABEAGA, J. M. Estimation and Control of Spanish Energy-related CO2 Emissions: an Input–Output Approach. Energy Policy, v.30, pp.597-611, 2002.

MCT. Inventário Brasileiro das Emissões e Remoções Antrópicas de Gases de Efeito Estufa: Relatório Preliminar. Second Edition. Brasília: MCT, 2009.

MILLER, R.; BLAIR, P. Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions. New Jersey: Prentice Hall, 2009. 464p.

MME. Balanço Energético Nacional 2009 – Ano Base 2008. Rio de Janeiro: EPE, 2009.

ONS. 2010. Histórico da Geração Elétrica. Available in: <http://www.ons.org.br>. Access in: Apr. 16, 2010. POPE, C. Invited Commentary: Particulate Matter-Mortality Exposure-Response Relations and Threshold. American Journal of Epidemiology, v.152, n.5, pp.407-412, 2000.

ROMANOFF, E.; LEVINE, S. Impact Dynamics of Large Construction Projects: Simulations by the Sequential Interindustry Model. Discussion Paper No. 80-2, Regional Science Research Center, 1980.

ROMANOFF, E.; LEVINE, S. Antecipatory and Responsive Sequential Interindustry Models. IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, v.11, n.3, 1981.

SALBY, M. Fundamentals of Atmospheric Physics. San Diego: Academic Press, 1996.

SWERA. CEPEL - Brazil Wind Data (10km). Available in: <http://swera.unep.net/>. Access in: Apr. 16, 2010.

TOLMASQUIM, M. T. (Org.). Geração de Energia Elétrica no Brasil. Rio de Janeiro: Interciência, 2005. 198p.