Humanicki, Marcin and Kelm, Robert and Olszewski, Krzysztof (2013): Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment in the contemporary globalized world: should they be still treated separately?
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_58410.pdf Download (527kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Foreign direct investment (FDI) and foreign portfolio investment (FPI) have been long considered as distinct and independent forms of international capital flows, but in the globalized world there are reasons to treat them as interconnected phenomena. This paper analyzes the mutual relationship between FDI and FPI and attempts to answer the question whether they complement or substitute for each other from a foreign investor’s point of view. Firstly, the paper describes the main characteristics of FDI and FPI in terms of a trade-off between their volatility and profitability. Secondly, it provides a literature review on the determinants of these two types of foreign investment. Finally, we analyse the long-run and short-run relationships between FDI and FPI running VECM regressions on data for Poland. Our research suggests that these two forms of foreign investment are substitutes. To be more specific, in economically stable periods FDI tends to dominate over FPI, but during insecurity and economic distress, both in source and host countries, FPI starts to gain importance.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Foreign Direct Investment and Foreign Portfolio Investment in the contemporary globalized world: should they be still treated separately? |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, emerging market economies, cointegration |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business > F21 - International Investment ; Long-Term Capital Movements F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development |
Item ID: | 58410 |
Depositing User: | Krzysztof Olszewski |
Date Deposited: | 08 Sep 2014 14:46 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:43 |
References: | Albuquerque, R., (2003). The composition of international capital flows: risk sharing through foreign direct investment. Journal of International Economics, 61 (2), 353–383. Alfaro, L., Kalemli-Ozcan, S., Volosovych, V., (2005). Why doesn’t capital flow from rich to poor countries? An empirical investigation. NBER Working Paper, 11901. Amuedo-Dorantes C. and Pozo S., 2001. Foreign exchange rates and foreign direct investments in the United States. The International Trade Journal, 15, 323–343. Barrell, R., Pain, N., (1996). An econometric analysis of U.S. foreign direct investment. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 78(2), 200-207. Bevan, A., Estrin, S., (2004). The determinants of foreign direct investment into European transition economies. Journal of Comparative Economics, 32, 775–787. Bloningen, B. A., (2005). A review of the empirical literature on FDI determinants. Atlantic Economic Journal, 33, 383-403. Brennan, M. J., Cao, H. H., (1997). International portfolio investment flows. Journal of Finance, 52, 1851-1880. Campa, J. M., (1993). Entry by foreign firms in the United States under exchange rate uncertainty. Review of Economics and Statistics, 75, 885–904. Carstensen, K., Toubal, F., (2004). Foreign direct investment in central and eastern European countries: a dynamic panel analysis. Journal of Comparative Economics, 32, 3–22. Claessens, S., Dooley, M., Warner, A., (1995). Portfolio capital flows: hot or cold? The World Bank Economic Review, 9(1), 153–74. Cushman, D. O., (1985). Real exchange rate risk: Expectations and the level of direct investment. Review of Economics and Statistics, 67, 297–308. Daude, C., Fratzscher, M., (2008). The pecking order of cross-border investment. Journal of International Economic, 74, 94-119. Dickey, D., Fuller, W., (1981). Likelihood ratio tests for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Econometrica, 49, 1057-1072. Dunning, J. H., (1993). Multinational enterprises and the global economy. Harlow: Addison-Wesley. Elliott, G., Rothenberg, T., Stock, J., (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica, 64, 813-836. Fernandez-Arias, E., Montiel, P. J., (1996). The surge in capital inflows to developing countries: An analytical overview. The World Bank Economic Review, 10, 51-77. Froot, K. A., O’Conell, P. G. J., Seasholes, M. S., (2001). The portfolio flows of international investors. Journal of Financial Economics, 59, 151-193. Froot, K. A., Stein, J. C., (1991). Exchange rates and foreign direct investment: An imperfect capital market approach. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 103, 1191–1217. Goldberg, L. S., (1993). Exchange rates and investments in United States industry. Review of Economics and Statistics, 75, 575–588. Goldberg, L. S., Kolstad, C. D., (1995). Foreign direct investment exchange rate variability and demand uncertainty. International Economic Review, 36, 855–873. Goldstein, I., Razin, A., (2006). An information-based trade-off between foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment. Journal of International Economics, 70(1), 271-295. Goldstein, I., Razin, A., Tong, H., (2010). Liquidity, institutional quality and the composition of international equity flows. NBER Working Paper, 15727. Grossman, A., Simpson, M.W., Brown, C. J., (2009). The impact of deviation from relative purchasing power parity equilibrium on U.S. foreign direct investment. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 49, 521-550. Hattari, R., Rajan, R. S., (2011). How different are FDI and FPI flows?: Does distance alter the composition of capital flows? HKIMR Working Paper, 09. Jevčák, A., Setzer, R., Suardi, M., (2010). Determinants of capital flows to the new EU member states before and during the financial crisis. Economic Papers, 425. Johansen, S., (1995a). Likelihood-based inference in cointegrated vector auto-regressive models. New York, Oxford University Press. Johansen, S., (1995b). A statistical analysis for I(2) variables. Econometric Theory, 11, 25-29. Johnson, A., (2006). FDI inflows to the transition economies in eastern Europe: Magnitude and determinants. CESIS Electronic Working Paper Series, 59. Jun, J., (1990). U.S. tax policy and direct investment abroad. In A. Razin and J. Slemrod (Eds.). Taxation in the Global Economy (pp. 55-78). NBER Project Report. Juselius, K., (2006). The cointegrated VAR model. Methodology and Applications. New York. Oxford University Press. Juselius, K. (2010). Testing exchange rate models based on rational expectations versus imperfect knowlegde economics: A scenario analysis. Department of Economics, University of Copenhagen, mimeo (http://www.econ.ku.dk/okokj/papers/RE_IKEscenarios.pdf), to be published in Economics E-Journal, www.economics-ejournal.org Kribaeva, K., Razin, A., (2011). Composition of international capital flows: A survey. HKIMR Working Paper, 14. Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P., Schmidt, P., Shin, Y., (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics, 54, 159-178. Mody, A., Taylor, M. P., Kim, J. Y., (2001). Modelling fundamentals for forecasting capital flows to emerging markets. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 6, 201-216. Paruolo, P., (1996). On the determination of integration indices in I(2) systems. Journal of Econometrics, 72, 313-356. Pfeffer, B., (2008). FDI and FPI – strategic complements? MAGKS Joint Discussion Paper Series in Economics, 12, Universität Marburg. Razin, A., Sadka, E., (2007). Foreign direct investment: Analysis of aggregate flows. New Jersey, Princeton University Press. Taylor, M. P., Sarno, L., (1997). Capital flows to developing countries: long- and short-term determinants. World Bank Economic Review, 11, 451-470. UNIDO, (2009). Multinational enterprises’ foreign direct investment location decisions within the global factory. Research and Statistics Branch Working Paper, 04. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/58410 |