Fagerberg, Jan (1988): Technology, Growth and Trade: Schumpeterian Perspectives.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_59156.pdf Download (9MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This is an attempt to apply Schumpeterian theory to the study of "international economics". The first chapter gives a brief out line of the Schumpeterian perspective, considers how it may apply (and has been applied) to the study of international economics and presents some preliminary hypotheses, to be further developed and tested in later chapters. Chapter 2 uses the Schumpeterian model of innovation-diffusion as a framework for the study of "why growth rates differ" between countries, while chapter 3 extends the analysis to include international trade - or "competitiveness" - as well. The main finding of chapters 2-3 is that differences in the growth of national technological activities, whether measured through R&D or patent statistics, contribute significantly to differences in economic growth and export performance across countries. Chapter 4, which focuses on the relation between innovation-diffusion, structural changes in world trade and export performance, extends the analysis of the preceding chapters to the multi-sector frame-work. The results show that the structural changes in world trade in the Post-War period were most favourable for countries with a high level of national technological activity, an advanced export structure and a large domestic market. However, the rapid growth in world trade in this period did at the same time allow countries on a lower level of economic and technological development to catch up through imitation and exploitation of cost-advantages. The countries least favourably affected were small countries with a high level of income and costs, but a relatively low level of national technological activity. Chapter 5 considers the problems of small, developed countries in more detail, using the Nordic countries as illustrations, while chapter 6 uses the same empirical material to discuss the implications of innovation-diffusion for changes in specialization patterns/intra-industry trade. The final chapter (7) contains summary and conclusions.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Technology, Growth and Trade: Schumpeterian Perspectives |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Technology, Innovation, Growth, Trade, Competitiveness, Schumpeterian |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F14 - Empirical Studies of Trade F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F43 - Economic Growth of Open Economies O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O33 - Technological Change: Choices and Consequences ; Diffusion Processes |
Item ID: | 59156 |
Depositing User: | Jan Ernst Fagerberg |
Date Deposited: | 10 Oct 2014 16:36 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 10:45 |
References: | Abramovitz, M.(1956) Resources and output trends in the United States since 1870. American Economic Review Abramovitz, M.(1979) Rapid Growth Potential and its Realization: The Experience of Capitalist Economies in the Postwar Period, in Malinvaud, E.(ed.) Economic Growth and Resources. London: MacMillan Abramovitz, M. (1986) Catching Up, Forging Ahead, and Falling Behind. Journal of Economic History Aho, M.C and Rosen H.F.(1980) Trends in Technology Intensive Trade: With Special Reference to US Competitiveness, US Department of Labor Ames, E. and N. Rosenberg (1963) Changing Technological Leadership and Industrial Growth. Economic Journal Andersen, E.S., B. Dalum and G. Villumsen (1981) International Specialization and the Home Market, Aalborg: Aalborg University Press (1981a) Andersen, E.S., B. Dalum and G. Villumsen (1981) The Importance of the Home Market for the Technological Development and the Export Specialization of Manufacturing Industry, in Freeman, c. (ed) Technological Innovation and National Economic Performance, Aalborg: Aalborg University Press (1981b) Andersen,E.S.(1984) Teknologisk udvikling og samfunds0konomi in Lundvall, B.A. (ed) (1984) Teknologi mellom 0konomi og politik Copenhagen: Blytmanns forlag Andersson, J.O. and Tolonen, Y.(1985) Intra-Industry Trade in the Nordic Countries, EFTA Occasional Paper No. 12, Geneva Aquino, A.(1978) Intra-Industry Trade and Inter-Industry Specialization as Concurrent Sources of International Trade in Manufactures, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Arrow, K.(1962) "The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing", Review of Economic Studies Balassa, B. (1965) Trade Liberalization and 'Revealed' Comparative Advantage, The Manchester School Balassa, B.(1986) Intra-Industry Specialization. A Cross-Country Analysis, European Economic Review Baldwin, R.E.(1958) The Commodity Composition of World Trade: Selected Industrial Countries 1900-1954, Review of Economics and Statistics Cappelen, A., Gleditsch, N. P. and Bjerkholt, 0.(1984) Military Spending and Economic Growth in the OECD Countries. Journal of Peace Research Caves, R.E.(1982) Multinational Enterprise and Economic Analysis, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press Chenery, H. (1986) Growth and Transformation, in Chenery, H. et al.(1986) Chenery, H., Elkington, H. and C.Sims (1970) A Uniform Analysis of Development Patterns, Harvard University Center for International Affairs, Economic Development Report 148, Cambridge, Ma. Chenery, H. Ro inson, R. and M. Syrquin(1986) Industrialization and Growth. Oxford University Press Chesnais,F(1981) The Notion of International Competitiveness. Discussion Paper DSTI/SPR/81.32 OECD Paris Choi, K. (1983) Theories of Comparative Economic Growth. Ames: Iowa State University Press Clark, J. Freeman, C. and Soete. L.(1982) Unemployment and Technical Innovation. London: Frances Pinter Cornwall, J.(1976) Diffusion, Convergence and Kaldor's Law. Economic Journal Cornwall, J.(1977) Modern Capitalism. Its Growth and Transformation. London: Martin Robertson Culem, C. and Lundberg, L.(1986) The Product Pattern of Intra Industry Trade: Stability among Countries and over Time, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Dalum, B., J. Fagerberg and U. J0rgensen (1988) Small Countries in the World Market for Electronics - The Case of the Nordic Countries, in Freeman, c. and B.A. Lundvall.(eds): Small Countries Facing the Technologic ! Revolution, London: Frances Pinter Davies, S.(1979) The Diffusion of Process Innovations, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press Denison, E. F. (1962) The Sources of Economic Growth in the United States and the Alternatives before Us. New York: Committee for Economic Development Denison, E.F.(1967) Why Growth Rates Differ: Post-War Experience in Nine Western Countries. Washington, D.C: Brookings Institution Denison, E.F.(1969) Some Major Issues in Productivity Analysis: An Examination of Estimates by Jorgenson and Griliches, Survey of Current Business Dixit, A.K. and Norman, V.(1980) Theory of International Trade, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press Dixit, A.(1987) Issues of Strategic Trade Policy for Small Countries, Scandinavian Journal of Economics Domar, E. et al.(1964) Economic Growth and Productivity in the United States, Canada, United Kingdom, Germany and Japan in the Post-War Period, Review of Economics and Statistics Dosi,G.(1983) "Technological Paradigmes and Technological Trajectories", in Freeman(l983) Dosi,G. and Soete,L.(1985) Technology Gaps and Cost-based Adjustment: Some Explorations of the Determinants of International Competitiveness, Metroeconomica Eliasson, G.(1972) International Competitiveness - an Empirical Analysis of Swedish Manufacturing. Federation of Swedish Industries, Mimeographed Series B3, September. Stockholm EMF(1984) Report on International Industrial Competitiveness. Geneva Fagerberg, J.(1985) A Post-Keynesian Approach to the Theory of International Competitiveness, NUPI notat nr 335 Oslo: Norwegian Institute of International Affairs Fagerberg, J. (1987) A Technology Gap Approach to Why Growth Rates Differ, Research Policy Fagerberg, J. and Sollie,G.(1987) "The Method of Constant-Market Shares An lysis Reconsidered", Applied Economics Feder, G. (1986) Growth in Semi-Industrial Countries: A Statistical Analysis, in Chenery, H. et al.(1986) Fetherston, B., Moore, B. and Rhodes, J.(1977) Manufacturing Export Shares and Cost Competitiveness of Advanced Industrial Countries. Cambridge Economic Policy Review Finger, J. M. (1975) "Trade Overlap and Intra-Industry Trade" Economic Inquiry Freeman, C., Fuller,J.K. og Young,A.(1963) The Plastics Industry: A Comparative Study of Research and Innovation, National Institute Economic Review Freeman,C. et al.(1965) Research and Development in Electronic Capital Goods, National Institute Economic Review Freeman,C. et al.(1968) Chemical Process Plant: Innovation and the World Market, National Institute Economic Review Freeman, C.(1982) The Economics of Industrial Innovation 2nd Edition. London: Frances Pinter Freeman,C.(ed)(1983) Long Waves in the World Economy. Kent: Butterworth Gerschenkron, A.(1962) Economic Backwardness in Historical Perspective, Cambridge(USA): The Belknap Press Gomulka,S.(1971) Inventive Activity, Diffusion and Stages of Economic Growth. Skrifter fra Aarhus universitets 0konomiske institutt nr. 24, Aarhus Greenaway, D. and Milner, C.(1981) Trade Imbalance Effects in the Measurement of Intra-Industry Trade, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Grube!, H.G. and Lloyd,P.J.(l975) Intra-industry-trade, London: Macmillan Gruber,W.H, Metha,D. and Vernon,R.(l967) The R and D Factor in International Trade and International Investment of US Industries. Journal of Political Economy Gruber, W.H. og Vernon,R.(1970) The Technology Factor in a World Trade Matrix, in Vernon(1970) Hahn, F.H.and R.C.O. Matthews (1964) The Theory of Economic Growth: A Survey. Economic Journal Hirsch, S.(1967) Location of Industry and International Competitiveness, Oxford: Clarendon Press Houthakker, H.S. and Magee, S.P.(1969) Income and Price Elasticities in World Trade. Review of Economics and Statistics Hufbauer,G.(1966) Synthetic Materials and the Theory of International Trade London: Duckworth Hufbauer,G.(1970) "The Impact of National Characteristics and Technology on the Commodity Composition of Trade in Manufactured Goods" i Vernon(1970) Johnston, J.(1984) Econometric Methods. McGraw-Hill Jorgensen, D. and z. Griliches (1967) The Explanation of Productivity Change. Review of Economic Studies Jorgensen, D. and Z. Griliches(1972) Some Major Issues in Growth Accounting:A Reply to Denison. Survey of Current Business Kaldor, M., Sharp, M., and Walker, W.(1986) Industrial Competitiveness and Britain's Defence. Lloyds Bank Review Kaldor, N.(1978) The Effect of Devaluations on Trade in Manufac tures, in Further Essays on Applied Economics. London: Duckworth Kaldor, N.(1981) The Role of Increasing Returns, Technical Progress and Cumulative Causation in the Theory of International Trade and Economic Growth. Economie Applique Kamien,M.I. and Schwartz,N.L.(1982) Market Structure and Innovation London: Cambridge University Press Katzenstein, P. (1985) Small States in World Markets, Itacha: Cornell University Press Keesing, D. B. (1968) Population and Industrial Development: Some Evidence from Trade Patterns. American Economic Review Kellman,M.(1983) Relative Prices and International Competitiveness: An Empirical Investigation. Empirical Economics Kelly, R.(1977) The Impact of Technological Innovation on International Trade Patterns, US Department of Commerce Kendrick, J. w. (1961) Productivity Trends in the United States. New York: Princeton University Press Kendrick, J.W.(1981) "Why Productivity Growth Rates Change and Differ" in Giersch, H.(ed)(1981) Towards an Explanation of Economic Growth, Tubingen: J.C.B.Mohr(Paul Siebeck) (1981a) Kendrick, J.W.(1981) "International Comparisons of Recent Productivity Trends" in Fellner, W.(ed)(1981) Essays in Contemporary Economic Problems, Washington: American Enterprise Institute (1981b) Kleiman, E and Y. Kop (1984) "Who Trades with Whom - The Income Pattern of International Trade", Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Kleinknecht, A.(1984) Prosperity, Crises and Innovation Patterns, Cambridge Journal of Economics Kravis,I.B.(1956) "Availability" and Other Influences on the Commodity Composition of Trade, Journal of Political Economy Kravis, I., Heston, A. and R. Summers (1982) World Product and Income. Published by the World Bank. Baltimore: The John Hopkins University Press Krugman,P.(1979) A Model of Innovation,Technology Transfer and the World Distribution of Income.Journal of Political Economy Krugman, P.(1981) Intraindustry Specialization and the Gains from Trade, Journal of Political Economy Krugman,P.(1983) New Theories of Trade Among Countries, American Economic Review Lancaster, J.J.(1980) Intra-Industry Trade under Perfect Monopolistic Competition, Journal of International Economics Landes, D. (1969) The Unbound Prometheus. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press Leamer, E. and Stern, R.(1970) Quantitative International Economics, Chicago: Aldine Publishing Company Lemola, T. and Lovio, R. (1988) Possibilities for a Small Country in High Technology Production - The Electronics Industry in Finland, in Freeman, C. and B.A. Lundvall.(eds): Small Countries. Facing the Technological Revolution, London: Frances Pinter Leontief,W.(1953) Domestic Production and Foreign Trade: The American Capital Position Reexamined, Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society Linder,S.B.(1961) An Essay on Trade and Transformation, Uppsala: Almquist & Wicksell Lundvall, B.A. (1988) Innovation as an Interactive Process - from User-Producer Interaction to the National System of Innovation", in Dosi, G. et al.(eds): Technical Change and Economic Theory, London: Frances Pinter Maddala, G.S.(1971) The Use of Variance Components Models in Pooling Cross-Section and Time-Series Data. Econometrica Maddala, G.S. and Mount, T.D. (1973) A Comparative Study of Alternative Estimators for Variance Components Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association Maddala, G.S.(1977) Econometrics. McGraw-Hill Maddison, A. (1979) Long Run Dynamics of Productivity Growth, Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review Maddison,A.(1982) Phases of Capitalist Development. New York: Oxford University Press Maddison, A. (1984) Comparative Analysis of Productivity Situa tion in the Advanced Capitalist Countries" Kendrick, J. W. (1984)(ed. International Comparisons of Productivity and Causes of the Slowdown. Cambridge(Ma).: Ballinger Publishing Company Maddison, A. (1987) Growth and Slowdown in Advanced Capitalist Economies: Techniques of Quantitative Asessment, Journal of Economic Literature Mansfield,E.a.o.(1982) Technology Transfer, Productivity and Economic Policy. New York: Norton McCombie, J.S.L.(1981) Are International Growth Rates Constrained by the Balance of Payments? A Comment on Professor Thirlwall. Banca Nazionale del Lavoro Qarterly Review, MCGregor, P.G. and Swales, J.K.(1985) Professor Thirlwall and Balance of Payments Constrained Growth. Applied Economics McGregor, P.G and Swales, J.K.(1986) Balance of Payments Constrained Growth: A Rejoinder to Professor Thirlwall, Applied Economics Mensch,G.(1979) Stalemate in Technology, Cambrigde: Ballinger Michaely, M.(1977) Exports and Growth: An Empirical Investigation, Journal of Development Economics Nelson, R. (1973) Recent Exercises in Growth Accounting: New Understanding or Dead End? American Economic Review Nelson, R. (1981) Research on Productivity Growth and Productivity Differentials: Dead Ends and New Departures. Journal of Economic Literature Nelson,R. and Winter,S.G.(1977) In Search of a Useful Theory of Innovation, Research Policy Nelson,R. and Winter,S.G.(1982) An Evolutionary Theory of Economic Change, Cambridge: The Belknap Press Nerlove, M.(197L) Further Evidence on the Estimation of Dynamic Economic Relations from a Time Series of Cross Sections. Econometrica Norman, V. (1983) En liten Åpen 0konomi, Oslo: Universitetsforlaget OECD (1985) Trade in High Technology Products. An Initial Contribution to the Statistical Analysis of Trade Patterns in High Technology Products, DSTI/SPR/84/66 <1st Revision) Pasinetti, L.(l973) The Notion of Vertical Integration in Economic Analysis, Metroeconomica Pasinetti, L. (1974) Growth and Income Distribution. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. Parvin, M.(l975) Technological Adaptation, Optimum Level of Backwardness and the Rate of per Capita Income Growth: An Econometric Approach. American Economist Pavitt,K.(l979/1980) Technical Innovation and Industrial Development. Futures Pavitt, K. (1982) R&D, Patenting and Innovative Activities. Research Policy Pavitt,K. and Soete,L.(l980) "Innovative Activities and Export- shares: Some Comparisons between Industries and Countries", in Pavitt,K.(ed)(l980) Technical Innovation and British Economic Performance, London: MacMillan Pavitt, K. and Soete, L.G.(l982) "International Differences in Economic Growth and the International Location of Innovation", in Giersch, H.(ed.)(1982) Emerging Technologies: Consequences for Economic Growth, Structural Change, and Employment. Tubingen: J.C.B.Mohr(Paul Siebeck) Perez, c. (1983) Structural Change and Assimilation of New Technologies in the Economic and Social Systems.Futures Perroux, F.(l955) Note sur la notion de pole de croissance, Economie Appliquee Petterson, L.(1984) Svensk utrikeshandel 1871-1980. En studie i den intraindustriella handelns framvekst, Lund Economic Studies No. 30: Lund Porter, M.(1986) Changing Patterns of International Competition, California Management Review Posner, M.V.(1961) International Trade and Technical Change. Oxford Economic Papers Richardson, J.D.(1971) Constant Market Shares Analysis of Export Growth, Journal of International Economics Rosenberg, N.(1982) Inside the Black Box: Technology and Economics, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press Rosenberg,N. and Frischtak,C.(1984) Technological Innovation and Long Waves, Cambridge Journal of Economics, Rostow,W.(1983) The Fifth Upswing and the Fourth Industrial Revolution, Economic Impact Rotchild, K.W. (1985) Exports, Growth and Catching-Up: Some Remarks and Crude Calculations, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Samuelson,L.(1973) A New Model of World Trade. OECD Occasional Studies, December. Paris Schmookler,J.(1966) Invention and Economic Growth. Cambridge,MA.: Harvard University Press Schumpeter, J.(1928) The Instability of Capitalism, Economic Journal Schumpeter,J.(1934) The Theory of Economic Development. Oxford University Press Schumpeter,J.(1939) Business Cycles I-II. New York: McGraw-Hill Schumpeter,J.(1943) Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy. London Singer, H and L. Reynolds (1976) Technological Backwardness and Productivity Growth. Economic Journal Smith,R. (1977) Military Expenditure and Capitalism. Cambridge Journal of Economics Soete,L.(1978) Inventive Activity, Industrial Organisation and International Trade, PHD-theses, University of Sussex Soete,L. (1981) A General Test of Technological Gap Trade Theory. Weltwirtschaftliches Arkiv Soete,L.(1987) The Impact of Technological Innovation on Inter national Trade Patterns: The Evidence Reconsidered. Research Policy Solow, R.(1957) Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function. Review of Economics and Statistics Spiegelglas, S.(1959) World Exports of Manufactures, 1956 vs. 1937, The Manchester School Stoneman, P.(1983) The Economic Analysis of Technological Change, Oxford: Oxford University Press Tharakan, P. (1983) The Economics of Intra-Industry Trade, in Tharakan, P. (ed.) (1983) Intra-Industry Trade: Empirical and Methodological Aspects Amsterdam Tharakan, P. (1986) The Intra-Industry Trade of Benelux with the Developing World, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv Thirlwall, A.P.(1979) The Balance of Payments Constraint as an Explanation of International Growth Rate Differences. Banco Nazionale del Lavoro Quarterly Review. Thirlwall, A.P.(1980) Balance-of-Payments Theory and the United Kingdom Experience, London:MacMillan Thirlwall, A.P.(1981) A Reply to Mr McCombie. Banco Nazionale del Lavoro Qarterly Review. Thirlwall, A.P. (1986) Balance of Payments Constrained Growth: A Reply to McGregor and Swales, Applied Economics Tinbergen, J.(1942) Zur Theorie der langfristigen Wirtschaftsentwicklung, Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv TREASURY(1983) International Competitiveness, Economic Progress Report No 158, July Tyszynski, H.(1951) World Trade in Manufactured Commodities, 1899-1950, The Manchester School Van Duijn, J.J.(1983) The Long Wave in Economic Life, London: Allen and Unwin Veblen, T.(1915) Imperial Germany and the Industrial Revolution, New York: Macmillan Vernon, R.(1966) International Investment and International Trade in the Product Cycle, Quarterly Journal of Economics Vernon, R.(ed)(1970) The Technology Factor in International Trade, New York: Columbia University Press Vernon, R.(1979) The Product Cycle Hypothesis in a New International Environment, Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics - Walker, W.B.(1979) Industrial Innovation and International Trading Performance, Greenwich: JAI Press Walsh w. (1987) Technology, Competitiveness and the Special Problems of Small Countries, Paris: OECD STI Review Wells, L.T.(ed)(1972) The Product Life Cycle and International Trade, Cambridge: Harvard University Press |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/59156 |