Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Business Valuation: Modelling Forecasting Hurdle Rate

Nangia, Vinay Kumar and Agrawal, Rajat and Reddy, K. Srinivasa (2011): Business Valuation: Modelling Forecasting Hurdle Rate. Published in: Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting , Vol. 3, No. 1 (2011): pp. 86-102.

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Abstract

Consolidation, Combination and Diversification (CCD’s) in the emerging globalized market leads to competition and escalating the monopoly power. Given the increasing liberalization of rules, regulations and law, a number of firms are going beyond national borders and making deals triumphant. We suggest an innovative firm valuation model for M&A in the area of Corporate Finance that is NRR Approach 1.0. The methodology is divided into five phases, modeling forecasting hurdle rate, finding sales growth rate, computation of free cash flows & estimation of future free cash flows and finally determination of firm value under NRR approach. The findings suggest that NRR approach considers various imperative factors while valuing target firms for the benefit of shareholders. The value of study could be credited by NRR Approach 1.0. and this is the first of its kind model considers political, transfer and commercial risk factors while estimating hurdle rate. Hence, approach is the first version of development thought and has limited scope to validate in other industries. We believe that NRR model shall be of great help to M&A advisory firms and investment bankers while negotiating deal value in acquisition process. This would be help in exploring new dimensions of judgment and approach for academia as well as for the benefit of target firm shareholders in corporate arena.

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