Taguchi, Hiroyuki (2003): The Recent Trend of Real Effective Exchange Rate in Selected East Asian Countries. Published in: Journal of International Development Studies , Vol. 12, No. 2 (November 2003): pp. 111-124.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_63219.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
This article evaluates the pre-crisis and post-crisis exchange rate management in the selected East Asian countries by focusing on examining the trend of real effective exchange rate (REER), an indicator of a country’s international price competitiveness. The main findings of the study are as follows: First, we found that the REER shows a clear trend of appreciation during the pre-crisis period while it reveals a rather stable movement during the post-crisis period. Second, we verified that the pre-crisis REER appreciation, which came from the pre-crisis dollar peg regime, gave the significantly negative impact on trade balance in some East Asian countries. Third, Our empirical evidence indicated that in the post-crisis exchange rate management, some East Asian countries have come to care more about the factor of the inflation adjustment in addition to the US dollar linkage. We speculate that they may have learned the lessons that the Asian crisis was partly caused by the simple US dollar peg regime accompanied by the REER appreciation and the worsened trade balance.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Recent Trend of Real Effective Exchange Rate in Selected East Asian Countries |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Real effective exchange rate, East Asian Countries |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 63219 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Hiroyuki Taguchi |
Date Deposited: | 05 Apr 2015 17:27 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 02:22 |
References: | ADB (Asian Development Bank). 1998. Asian Development Outlook 1998. Manila: Oxford University Press. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi. 2001. “The Effect of Exchange Rate on Bilateral Trade Balance: New Evidence from Malatsia and Thailand.” Asian Economic Journal. Vol.15. No.3. pp. 291-312. Calvo, Guillermo A., and Carmen M. Reinhart. 2000. “Fear of Floating.” NBER Working Paper. No.7993. Davidson, R., and J. MacKinnon. 1993. Estimation and Inference in Econometrics. New York: Oxford University Press. Dornbusch, Rugigar, and Stanley Fischer. 1990. Macroeconomics (Fifth edition). New York: McGraw-Hill International Editions. Frankel, Jeffrey A., and S. J. Wei. 1994. “Yen Bloc or Dollar Bloc? Exchange Rate Policies in the East Asian Economies.” Macroeconomic Linkage: Savings, Exchange Rates, and Capital Flow (NBER-East Asia Seminar on Economics 3). pp.295-333. IMF (International Monetary Fund). 1999. Exchange Rate Arrangements and Currency Convertibility: Developments and Issues (World Economic and Financial Surveys). Washington, D.C.: IMF. IMF. 2002. International Financial Statistics (IFS). (CD-ROM, February 2002). Washington, D.C.: IMF. Ito, Takatoshi. 2001. “Growth, Crisis, and the Future of Economic Recovery in East Asia.” Rethinking the East Asian Miracle (World Bank). pp.55-94. JP Morgan. 2002. “JP Morgan Real Broad Effective Exchange Rate Indices.” JP Morgan. http://www.jpmorgan.com/MarketDataInd/Forex/currIndex.html (January 10, 2003). Kawai, Masahiro. 1997. “East Asia currency turbulence: Implications of financial system fragility.” A paper prepared for a seminar at the World Bank. Kawai, Masahiro. 2002. “Exchange Rate Arrangements in East Asia: Lessons from the 1997-98 Currency Crisis,” IMES Discussion Paper Series 2002-E-17. Matsuura, Katsumi, and Colin Mckenzie. 2001. Eviews niyoru Keiryou Keizai Bunseki (Econometric Analysis by Eviews). Tokyo: Toyo Keizai Shinpo Sha. Mckinnon, Ronald. 2001. “After the Crisis, the East Asian Dollar Standard Resurrected: an Interpretation of High-frequency Exchange Rate Pegging.” Rethinking the East Asian Miracle (World Bank). pp.197-246. Rose, A.K. and J. L. Yellen. 1989. “Is There a J-curve?” Journal of Monetary Economics. No.24. pp.53-68. Williamson, John. 2000. Exchange Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets: Reviving the Intermediate Option. Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics. World Bank. 1998. East Asia: The Road to Recovery. Washington D.C.: World Bank. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/63219 |