Scenario analysis on greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Southeast Balkans' energy system

Halkos, George and Tzeremes, Panagiotis (2015): Scenario analysis on greenhouse gas emissions reduction in Southeast Balkans' energy system.

Abstract

This paper by using the Long range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) evaluates the progress towards sustainability with long-term scenarios for the energy map of Southeast Balkans, particularly the three countries of Bulgaria, Greece and Romania. The main objective of this work is to examine and compare scenarios based on organizations reports, so that countries achieve the objectives of the European Commission (abating 40% of greenhouse gas emissions by 2030 and 80-95% by 2050) and finally to observe the contribution of each country to reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The results reveal that the main challenge for the Southeast Balkans policy makers will be the energy policies associated with the renewable energy usage. It appears that under the seven different energy policy scenarios the higher the participation of renewable energy the higher the reduction of GHG emissions.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: LEAP software; Renewable energy sources; Scenario analysis; Bulgaria; Greece; Romania.
• Subjects: Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q2 - Renewable Resources and Conservation > Q20 - General; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q40 - General; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q41 - Demand and Supply ; Prices; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q42 - Alternative Energy Sources; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q50 - General; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q54 - Climate ; Natural Disasters and Their Management ; Global Warming; Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q5 - Environmental Economics > Q58 - Government Policy

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