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Sammenkobling af makroøkonomiske og teknisk-økonomiske modeller for energisektoren. Hybris

Klinge Jacobsen, Henrik and Morthorst, Poul Erik and Nielsen, Lise and Stephensen, Peter (1996): Sammenkobling af makroøkonomiske og teknisk-økonomiske modeller for energisektoren. Hybris.

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The report is documenting the findings of a Danish research project with an objective of to integrate the Danish macroeconomic model ADAM with elements from the energy simulation model BRUS, developed at Risø. The project has been carried out by Risø National Laboratory with assistance from Ministry of Finance. A theoretical part focuses on the differences between top-down and bottom-up modeling of the energy-economy interaction. A combined hybrid model seems a relevant alternative to the two traditional approaches. The hybrid model developed is called Hybris and includes modules for: supply of electricity and heat, household demand for electricity, and household demand for heat. These three modules interact in a iterative procedure with the macroeconomic model ADAM through a number of links. A reference case as well as a number of scenarios illustrating the capabilities of the model has been set up. Hybris is a simulation model which is capable of analyzing combined CO2 reduction initiatives as regulation of the energy supply system and a CO2 tax in an integrated and consistent way.

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