Havas, Attila (2007): Locating foresight.
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Abstract
Decision-makers, experts and laymen in different historical periods and in different socio-economic systems shared at least one desire: to know their future in advance or even to influence it for their advantage. They have used very different approaches and methods from spiritual/religious ones to scientific investigations and various modes of planning. This paper is aimed at characterising foresight, first by locating this approach among the various approaches to future-oriented analyses, and then by identifying three types foresight programmes.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Locating foresight |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Technology foresight, Future-oriented analyses, Forward-looking activities, Forecasting, Strategy setting processes |
Subjects: | B - History of Economic Thought, Methodology, and Heterodox Approaches > B5 - Current Heterodox Approaches > B52 - Institutional ; Evolutionary O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O30 - General O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O3 - Innovation ; Research and Development ; Technological Change ; Intellectual Property Rights > O38 - Government Policy |
Item ID: | 69373 |
Depositing User: | Attila Havas |
Date Deposited: | 10 Feb 2016 05:52 |
Last Modified: | 14 Oct 2019 05:37 |
References: | Cuhls, K. (2003): From forecasting to foresight processes: New participative foresight activities in Germany, Journal of Forecasting, Vol. 22, No. 2-3, pp. 93-111. Georghiou, L. (2001): Third Generation Foresight: Integrating the Socio-economic Dimension, in: Technology Foresight - the approach to and potential for New Technology Foresight, Conference proceedings, NISTEP Research Material 77. Georghiou, L. (2002): Policy rationales, sponsors and objectives, presentation at the eFORESEE Workshop on Foresight Basics, Malta, 24-26 July 2002. Georghiou, L. (1996): The UK Technology Foresight Programme, Futures, Vol. 28, No. 4, pp. 359-377. Godet, M. (2001): Creating Futures: Scenario planning as a strategic management tool, London: Economica. Havas, A. (2005): Terminology and methodology for benchmarking foresight programmes, ForSociety Transnational Foresight ERA-Net, paper prepared for Tasks 1.4 and 3.1. Tümer, T. (2004): Technology Foresight in Turkey: Vision 2023 Project, presentation at a UNIDO seminar on Technology Foresight for Organizers, 13-17 December, Gebze, Turkey. Weber, M. (1947): Legitimate Authority and Bureaucracy, in: The Theory of Social and Economic Organisation (translated and edited by A.M. Henderson and T. Parsons), pp. 328-340, Free Press {reprinted in Pugh, D.S. (ed.) (1985): Organization Theory: Selected readings, pp. 15-27, London: Penguin Group} |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/69373 |