Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis (2015): Tipo de cambio real en la República Dominicana: Enfoques alternativos de equilibrio y desalineamiento.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_70943.pdf Download (440kB) | Preview |
Abstract
This article has two main objectives. First, estimate the real equilibrium exchange rate (REER) of the Dominican Republic, and second, to determine the misalignment, if any, between the observed real exchange rate (RER) and its equilibrium level. To carry out the analysis six different measurements and six measures of REER of misalignment were used. The empirical results indicate that in the 50s, 60s, 90s and the first decade of the 2000s there was an overvaluation, while in the 70s and 80s there was an undervaluation of the RER. Between the years 2010-2013 the RER stood very close to its long term equilibrium level. However, misalignment and magnitude have different responses depending on the methodology used to estimate the REER.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Tipo de cambio real en la República Dominicana: Enfoques alternativos de equilibrio y desalineamiento |
English Title: | Real exchange rate in the Dominican Republic: Alternative approaches to equilibrium and misalignment |
Language: | Spanish |
Keywords: | Real exchange rate, exchange rate misalignment, purchasing power parity. |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange F - International Economics > F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance > F41 - Open Economy Macroeconomics |
Item ID: | 70943 |
Depositing User: | A Cruz-Rodriguez |
Date Deposited: | 25 Apr 2016 07:07 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 10:43 |
References: | Ajevskis, V.; Rimgailaite, R.; Rutkaste, U. & Tkačevs, O. (2014). The equilibrium real exchange rate: Pros and cons of different approaches with application to Latvia. Baltic Journal of Economics, 14(1-2). Pp. 101-123. Balassa, B. (1964). The purchasing power parity doctrine: A reappraisal. Journal of Political Economy, 72. Pp. 584-596. Bayoumi, T.; Clark, P.; Symansky, S. & Taylor, M. (1994). The robustness of equilibrium exchange rate calculations to alternative assumptions and methodologies. En Williams, J. (editor). Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates. Institute of International Economics. Washington DC. Bello, O. D.; Heresi, R. & Pineda, R. E. (2010). El tipo de cambio real de equilibrio: Un estudio para 17 países de América Latina. Serie Macroeconomía del Desarrollo, No. 82. Comisión Económica para América Latina y El Caribe (CEPAL). Berg, A. & Miao, Y. (2010). The real exchange rate and growth revisited: The Washington Consensus strikes back? Working Paper WP/10/58, International Monetary Fund. Caputo, R. & Núñez, M. (2008). Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en Chile: Enfoques alternativos. Economía Chilena, 11(2). Pp. 59-77. Cassel, G. (1918). Abnormal deviations in international exchanges. Economic Journal, 28 (112). Pp. 413-415. Cerezo, S. & Salazar, D. (2012). Tipo de cambio real en Bolivia: Equilibrio y desalineamientos. Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Económico, 18(1). Pp. 9-32. Cerda, R.; Donoso, A. & Lema, A. (2005). Análisis del tipo de cambio real: Chile 1986-1999. Cuadernos de Economía, 42. Pp. 329-356. Clarida, R., & Gali, J. (1994). Sources of real exchange rate fluctuations: How important are nominal shocks? Working Paper 4658. National Bureau Economic Research. Clark, P. B., & MacDonald, R. (1998). Exchange rates and economic fundamentals: A methodological comparison of BEERs and FEERs. Working Paper WP/98/67. International Monetary Fund. Clark, P. B. & MacDonald, R. (2000). Filtering the BEER: A permanent and transitory decomposition. Working Paper WP/00/144. International Monetary Fund. Colque, P. (2006). Fundamentos del tipo de cambio real de equilibrio. Documento de Trabajo 04/06. Instituto de Investigaciones Socio Económicas. Connolly, M. B. (1992). Política cambiaria en la República Dominicana. En González Vega, C. (editor). República Dominicana: Manejo macroeconómico y reforma financiera. Programa Servicios Financieros Rurales. Ohio State University. Cruz-Rodríguez, A. (2008). Presión y ataque especulativo en el mercado cambiario de la República Dominicana. MPRA Paper 15172. University Library of Munich, Germany. . Cruz-Rodríguez, A. (2013). Choosing and assessing exchange rate regimes: A survey of the literature. Revista de Análisis Económico, 28(2). Pp. 37-61. Díaz-Alejandro, C. (1986). Comment on Herberguer. En Edwards, S. & Ahamed, L. (editores). Economic adjustment and exchange rates in developing countries. University of Chicago Press. Chicago. Driver y Westarway (2004). Concepts of equilibrium exchange rates. Working Paper No. 248. Bank of England. Edwards, S. (1989). Real exchange rates, devaluations and adjustment: Exchange rate policy in developing countries. MIT Press, Massachusetts. Edwards, S. & Savastano, M. A. (1999) Exchange rates in emerging economies: What do we know? What do we need to know? Working Paper No. 7228. National Bereau of Economic Research. Ferreyra, J. & Herrada, R. (2003). Tipo de cambio real y sus fundamentos: Estimación del desalineamiento. Monetaria, XXVI (2). Pp.167-206. Fisher, I. (1930). The theory of interest. MacMillan, New York. Frenkel, J. A. & Goldstein, M. (1986). A guide to target zones. IMF Staff Papers, 33(4). Pp. 633-673. García, Y. & Quijada, J. A. (2015). Estimación del tipo de cambio real de equilibrio de Honduras. Resumen de Políticas No. IDB-PB-247. Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo. Goldfajn, I. & Valdés, R. (1999). The aftermath of appreciations. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(1). Pp. 229-262. Gratereaux, C. M. (2015). Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio, fundamentos y desalineamiento en una economía pequeña y abierta: Metodología BEER adaptada al caso dominicano. Nueva Literatura Económica Dominicana No.19. Banco Central de la República Dominicana. Harberger, A. C. (1986). Economic adjustment and the real exchange rate. En Edwards, S. & Ahamed, L. (editores). Economic adjustment and exchange rates in developing countries. University of Chicago Press. Chicago. Harberger, A. C. (2003). Economic growth and the real exchange rate: Revisiting the Balassa-Samuelson effect. Mimeo. The Higher School of Economics. Moscow. Hinkle, L. E. & Nsengiyumva, F. (1999). External real exchange rates: Purchasing Power Parity, the Mundell-Fleming model, and competitiveness in traded goods. En Montiel, P. J. & Hinkle, L. E. (editores). Exchange rate misalignment: Concepts and measurement for developing countries. Oxford University Press. New York. Hodrick, R. T. & E. C. Prescott (1997). Postwar US business cycles: An empirical investigation. Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking. 29(1). Pp. 1-16. Huizinga, J. (1987). An empirical investigation of the long run behaviour of real exchange rates. Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, 27. Pp. 149-214. Humérez, J. (2005). Reexaminando el desalineamiento del tipo de cambio real. Revista Análisis Económico UDAPE, 20. Pp. 152-176. Isard, P. (2007). Equilibrium Exchange Rates: Assessment Methodologies. Working Paper, WP/07/296. International Monetary Fund. Jaque, R. (1997). Impacto del tipo de cambio real en la economía dominicana. Antecedentes y perspectivas. Nueva Literatura Económica Dominicana. Banco Central de la República Dominicana. Johansen, S. & Juselius, K. (1992). Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for the UK. Journal of Econometrics, 53(1-3). Pp. 211-244. Kaminsky, G.; Lizondo, S. & Reinhart, C. (1998). Leading Indicators of Currency Crisis. IMF Staff Papers, 45(1). Pp. 1-48. MacDonald, R. (2000). Concepts to Calculate Equilibrium Exchange Rates: An Overview. Discussion Paper No. 3/00. Deutsche Bundesbank. Méndez, A. (1997). Tipo de cambio de equilibrio, colapsos cambiarios y crecimiento económico en la República Dominicana. Nueva Literatura Económica Dominicana. Banco Central de la República Dominicana. Montiel, P. J. (1999). Determinats of the long-run equilibrium real exchange rate: An analytical model. En Montiel, P. J. & Hinkle, L. E. (editores). Exchange rate misalignment: Concepts and measurement for developing countries. Oxford University Press. New York. Mora C. & Torres, C (2008). Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio para Costa Rica: Enfoques BEER y DEER. Periodo 1991–2007. Documento de Investigación DIE-01-2008-DI. Banco Central de Costa Rica. Nurkse, R. (1945). Conditions on international monetary equilibrium. Essays in International Finance 4 (spring). Princeton University Press. Obstfeld, M. & Rogoff, K. (1995). Exchange rate dynamics redux. Journal of Political Economy, 103(3). Pp. 624-660. Ravn, M. & H. Uhlig (2002). On Adjusting the HP-Filter for the Frequency of Observations. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 84(2). Pp. 371–380. Razmi, A.; Rappetti, M. & Skott, P. (2012). The real exchange rate and economic development. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 23. Pp. 151-169. Rodrik, D. (2008). The Real Exchange Rate and Economic Growth. Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2. Pp. 365-412. Ruíz, F. E. & Sierra, a. J. (2007). Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio: El caso de la República Dominicana. Mimeo. Secretaría de Estado de Economía, Planificación y Desarrollo. Salazar, D. & Cerezo, S. (2011). Tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en Bolivia: Cinco enfoques alternativos. Banco Central de Bolivia. Mimeo. Banco Central de Bolivia. Samuelson, P. A. (1964). Theoretical notes on trade problems. Review of Economics and Statistics, 46. Pp. 145-164. Siregar, R. Y. (2011). The Concepts of Equilibrium Exchange Rate: A Survey of Literature. MPRA Paper 28987. University Library of Munich, Germany. Solórzano, H. & Ibañez, J. A. (2012). Alternativas metodológicas para el cálculo del tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en Guatemala: 2001-2010. Perspectivas. Revista de Análisis de Economía, Comercio y Negocios Internacionales, 6 (1). Pp. 35-85. Soto, R. (1996). El tipo de cambio real de equilibrio: Un modelo no lineal de serie de tiempo. En Morandé, F. G. & Vergara, R. (editores): Análisis empírico del tipo de cambio en Chile. Centro de Estudios Públicos e ILADES/Georgetown University. Stein, J. L. (1994). The natural real exchange rate of the United States Dollar and determinants of capital flows. En Williams, J. editor, Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates. Institute of International Economics. Washington DC. Vásquez-Ruíz, H. & Rivas, R. A. (2012). Estimación del tipo de cambio real de equilibrio en la República Dominicana. Serie de Estudios Económicos No.8. Banco Central de la República Dominicana. Vásquez-Ruíz, H. & Rivas, R. A. (2014). Análisis del tipo de cambio real en la República Dominicana: Un estudio con base en metodologías de estimación del Fondo Monetario Internacional. Monetaria, XXXVI (1). Pp.145-176. Wadhwani, S. B. (1999). Currency puzzles. Mimeo. Bank of England. Williamson, J. (1983). The exchange rate system. Institute for International economics. Washington DC. Williamson, J. (1994). Estimates of FEER’s. En Williams, J. (editor). Estimating Equilibrium Exchange Rates. Institute of International Economics. Washington DC. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/70943 |