Ombaire Birundu, William (2016): Macroeconomic determinants of emigration from Kenya.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_77130.pdf Download (865kB) | Preview |
Abstract
The study examined the economic determinants of migration from Kenya to USA, Canada, Australia, Germany and United Kingdom by applying a unilateral migration gravity model during the period 2000-2015.The study applied the Least Square Dummy Variable specification technique to estimate the gravity model. The pull factors from Kenya were high inflation, exchange rate appreciation, high population and a rise in Kenyan GDP per capita.In considering the relative attractiveness of the destination countries in increasing order the finding showed Australia, Canada, UK and Germany were the prominent migration destinations. When emigration was considered overtime there was generally a positive trend except for 2007.Finallythe findings showed that if all the macroeconomic factors were held constant there will be a significant decline in migration from Kenya thus we conclude that besides other factors influencing migration, economic factors play a key role too.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Macroeconomic determinants of emigration from Kenya |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Emigration, Least Square Dummy Variable, Gravity Model, Kenya, Macroeconomic factors |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F2 - International Factor Movements and International Business > F22 - International Migration |
Item ID: | 77130 |
Depositing User: | MR WILLIAM BIRUNDU OMBAIRE |
Date Deposited: | 27 Feb 2017 19:17 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 08:10 |
References: | Ahmad N, Hussain Z, Sial M H, Hussain I, Akram, W. (2008). Macroeconomic determinants of international migration from Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review.85-99. __________________________________________________________ Arango, J. (2000). Explaining migration: a critical view, International Social Science Journal 52(165): 283–96. ____________________________________________________________ Ahlburg, D., and Levin,J (1990). The Northeast Passage: A Study of Pacific Islander Migration to American Samoa and the United States. Pacific Research Monograph, no. 23. Canberra. ___________________________________________________________ Bach, S. (2003). International Migration of Health Workers: Labor and Social Issues’, Sectoral Activities Programme Working Paper, International Labor Office. Geneva. ___________________________________________________________ Bauer, T., and Zimmerman, F (1999). “Assessment of Possible Migration Pressure and Its Labor Market Impact following EU Enlargement to Central and Eastern Europe.”Research Report 3, IZA, Bonn, Germany. ____________________________________________________________ Beyene B, M. (2011). Determinants of internal and international migration in Ethiopia.Memorandum.24: 1-48. ____________________________________________________________ Bijak, J.( 2006). “Forecasting international migration: selected theories, models and methods”, CEFMR Working Paper no. 4, Central European Forum for Migration Research,Warsaw. ___________________________________________________________ Bonin, Holier et al. 2008. “Geographic Mobility in the European Union: Optimising its Economic and Social Benefits”. IZA Research Report No. 19. July ___________________________________________________________ Borjas, G. (1999).The economic analysis of immigration. In: Ashenfelter, Card (Eds) Handbook of Labor Economics,3,Elsevier, Amsterdam. ___________________________________________________________ Bretell, C and J.F. Hollifield. (2008). Migration Theory. New York: Routledge. ___________________________________________________________ Castles, S. (2010).Understanding global migration: a social transformation perspective, Journal of Ethnic and Migration Studies 36(10): 65–86. __________________________________________________________ Chant, S. and S. Radcliffe. (1992) "Migration and Development: The Importance of Gender." Pp. 1-29 in Gender and Migration in Developing Countries, ed. S. Chant. London and New York: Bellhaven Press. ___________________________________________________________ Cuaresma, J.C., Moser M, Raggl A. (2013). On the determinants of global bilateral migration flows. Working Paper No. 5. ___________________________________________________________ De Haas, H. (2008) ‘North-African migration systems: evolution, transformations and development linkages’, in S. Castles and R. Delgado Wise (eds.) ___________________________________________________________ De Haas, H. (2009) Mobility and Human Development, New York: UNDP. ___________________________________________________________ De Haas, H. (2010a) ‘Migration Transitions: a Theoretical and Empirical Inquiry into the Developmental Drivers of International Migration’, IMI Working Paper 24 ___________________________________________________________ De Haas, H. and S. Vezzoli (2011) ‘Leaving Matters: The Nature, Evolution and Effects of Emigration Policies’, IMI Working Paper 34 ___________________________________________________________ Faist, T. (2000).The Volumes and Dynamics of International Migration and Transnational Social Spaces, Oxford: Clarendon press ___________________________________________________________ Feenstra, R.C. (2002) Border Effects and the Gravity Equation: Consistent Methods for estimation, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 49(5):491-506 ___________________________________________________________ Jennissen, R. (2003). Economic determinants of net international migration in Western Europe. European Journal of Population.19: 171-198 ____________________________________________________________ Karemera, D., Oguledo, V.I., Davis, B. (2000) a Gravity Model Analysis of International Migration to North America, Applied Economics, 32(13):1745-1755 ___________________________________________________________ Lewer J.J. and Berg, H. Van den (2008) A Gravity Model of Immigration, Economic Letters, 99(1):164-167. ____________________________________________________________ Lowry, I. (1966), Migration and metropolitan growth: two analytical models. San Francisco: Chandler ___________________________________________________________ Matyas,L.(1997):Proper Econometric Specification of the Gravity Model,The world Economy,vol20,pp 363-368. ___________________________________________________________ Mayda A M (2010). International migration: A panel data analysis of the determinants of bilateral flows. Journal of Population Economics. 23(4): 1249-1274. ___________________________________________________________ Mendoza, J. E. (2006). Regional macroeconomic determinants of Mexican migration.MPRAPaper2860, University Library of Munich, Germany ___________________________________________________________ Ruth,w.(2007).Brain drain waste or gain?What we know about Kenyan Case. Georgia Institute of technology. ____________________________________________________________ Sassen, S. (1988).The Mobility of Labor and Capital: A Study in International Investment and Labor Flow, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. __________________________________________________________ Smith, D.( 2007). ―Migrants Ease the Inflation Pressure.‖ The Sunday Times, October 28. http://www.economicsuk.com/blog/000585.html ___________________________________________________________ Stark, O. (1991).The Migration of Labor, Cambridge and Oxford: Blackwell. ___________________________________________________________ Taylor, J. E. (1999) ‘The new economics of labour migration and the role of remittances in the migration process’, International Migration 37(1): 63–88. ___________________________________________________________ Todaro, M. and Smith P., (2009). Economic Development: 11th Ed’, Addison-Wesley-Longman, Massachusetts ___________________________________________________________ Ullah, M . (2012). Determinants of international labour migration from Bangladesh: a gravity model of panel data. ____________________________________________________________ Viljoen, J.( 2005). Migration pattern of foreign informal traders at the Harttebeespoort dam. University of South Africa.Unpublished. ___________________________________________________________ Wouterse, F and Van den Berg. (2004).Migration for Survival or Accumulation: Evidence from Burkina Faso.Wageningen University and Research Center, Mansholt Graduate School of Social Sciences. ____________________________________________________________ Zimmermann, F (1994). European migration: push and pull“. Proceedings of the World Bank Annual Conference on Development Economics 1994. World Bank. ___________________________________________________________ Zohry, A. and Harrell-Bond, B. (2003).Contemporary Egyptian Migration: An Overview of Voluntary and Forced Migration. University of Sussex, Development Research Centre. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/77130 |