Bosupeng, Mpho and Biza-Khupe, Simangaliso (2015): The Impact of Money Supply Volatility on the Fisher Effect –A Botswana Empirical Perspective. Published in: Journal of Applied Business and Economics (JABE) , Vol. 1, No. 17 (March 2015): pp. 45-53.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_77920.pdf Download (471kB) | Preview |
Abstract
To the extent that these authors have been able to determine, existing literature on the Fisher Effect has only attempted to vary methodological approaches to test for the existence and validity of the Fisher hypothesis. It is the objective of this paper to expand on the literature by determining the degree of influence of money supply changes on the validity and existence of the Fisher Effect. The study examines interest rates and money supply quantities in Botswana from 1989 to 2013 and uses the Johansen Cointegration test to determine the strength of the relationships. The results indicate that there is no long run relationship between money supply, inflation, as well as the Fisher Effect. Subsequently, the study recommends potential areas of research which should be explored to verify further money supply volatility effects on the Fisher Effect.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Impact of Money Supply Volatility on the Fisher Effect –A Botswana Empirical Perspective |
English Title: | The Impact of Money Supply Volatility on the Fisher Effect –A Botswana Empirical Perspective |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | interest rates; inflation;money supply |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E4 - Money and Interest Rates > E43 - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects |
Item ID: | 77920 |
Depositing User: | Mr Mpho Bosupeng |
Date Deposited: | 27 Mar 2017 14:06 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 21:50 |
References: | Asemota, O. M., & Bala, D. A. (2009). A Kalman Filter Approach to Fisher Effect: Evidence from Nigeria. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 2(1), 71-91. Atkins, F. J., & Chan, M. (2004). Trend Breaks and the Fisher Hypothesis in Canada and the United States. Applied Economics, 36, 1907-1913. Atkins, F. J., & Coe, P. J. (2002). An ARDL Bounds Test of the Long Run Fisher Effect in the United States and Canada. Journal of Macroeconomics, 24, 255-266. Barsky, R. B. (1987). The Fisher Hypothesis and the Forecastability and Persistence of Inflation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 19, 3-24. Bassil, C. (2010). An Analysis of the Ex-Post Fisher Hypothesis at Short and Long Term. Economics Bulletin, 30, 2388-2397. Breitung, J. (2002). Nonparametric Tests for Unit Roots and Cointegration. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 343-363. Coppock, L., & Poitras, M. (2000). Evaluating the Fisher Effect in Long-Term Cross Country Averages. International Review of Economics and Finance, 9, 181-192. Crowder, W. J. & Hoffman, D. L. (1996). The Long-Run Relationship Between Nominal Interest Rates and Inflation: The Fisher Equation Revisited. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 28(1), 102–118. Dwyer, G. P., & Fisher, M. (2009). Inflation and Monetary Regimes. Journal of International Money and Finance, 28, 1221-1241. Dwyer Jr., G. P., & Hafer, R. W. (1999a). Are Inflation and Money Growth Still Related? Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta Economic Review, 84(2), 32–43. Dwyer Jr., G. P., & Hafer, R. W. (1988b). Is Money Irrelevant? Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, 70(3), 1–17. 9 Evans, M. D. D., & Lewis, K. K. (1995). Do Shifts in Inflation Affect Estimates of the Long-Run Fisher Relation? The Journal of Finance, 50(1), 225-253. Fahmy, Y. A. F., & Kandil, M. (2003). The Fisher Effect: New Evidence and Literature. International Review of Economics and Finance, 12, 451-465. Fisher, I. (1930). The Theory of Interest. New York: Macmillan. Granville, B., & Mallicks, S. (2004). Fisher Hypothesis: UK Evidence over a Century. Applied Economics Letters, 11, 87-90. Hatemi-J, A. (2008). Is the Government’s Inter-Temporal Budget Constraint Fulfilled in Sweden? An Application of the Kalman Filter. Applied Economics Letters, 9, 433-439. Ito, T. (2009). Fisher Hypothesis in Japan: Analysis of Long Term Interest Rates Under Different Monetary Policy Regimes. World Economy, 32, 1019-1035. Koustas, Z., & Lamarche, J- F. (2010). Evidence of Non-Linear Mean Reversion in the Real Interest Rate. Applied Economics, 42, 237-248. Koustas, Z., & Serletis, A. (1999). On The Fisher Effect. Journal of Monetary Economics, 44, 105-130. Lee, T- H., & Tse, Y. (1996). Cointegration Tests with Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 73, 401-410. Lucas Jr., R. E. (1980). Two Illustrations of the Quantity Theory of Money. The American Economic Review, 70(5), 1005-1014. McCandless Jr., G. T., & Weber, W.E. (1995). Some Monetary Facts. Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, 19(3), 2–11. Million, N. (2004). Central Bank’s Interventions and the Fisher Hypothesis: A Threshold Cointegration Investigation. Economic Modelling, 21, 1051-1064. Rolnick, A. J., & Weber, W. E. (1997). Money, Inflation and Output Under Fiat and Commodity Standards. Journal of Political Economy 105(6), 1308–1321. Soderlind, P. (2001). Monetary Policy and the Fisher Effect. Journal of Policy Modeling, 23(5), 491-495. Romer, D. (1986). A Simple General Equilibrium Version of the Baumol-Tobin Model. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 101, 663–685. Toyoshima, Y., & Hamori, S. (2011). Panel Cointegration of the Fisher Effect: Evidence from the US, the UK and Japan. Economics Bulletin, 31(3), 2674-2682. Tsong, C- C., & Lee, C- F. (2013). Quantile Cointegration Analysis of the Fisher Hypothesis. Journal of Macroeconomics, 35, 186-198. Vogel, R. C. (1974). The Dynamics of Inflation in Latin America, 1950-1969. American Economic Review, 64, 102-114. Westerlund, J. (2008). Panel Cointegration Tests of the Fisher Effect. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 23, 193-233. Williamson, S. D. (2008). Monetary Policy and Distribution. Journal of Monetary Economics, 55, 1038-1053. Zivot, E., & Andrews, A. (1992). Further Evidence of Great Crash: The Oil Price Shock and Unit Root Hypothesis. Journal of Business and Economics Statistics, 10(3), 251-270. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/77920 |