The Nexus between Industrial Exports and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Empirical Analysis

elmakki, asma and Bakari, Sayef and MABROUKI, Mohamed (2017): The Nexus between Industrial Exports and Economic Growth in Tunisia: Empirical Analysis.

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in Tunisia. In order to achieve this purpose, annual data for the periods between 1969 and 2015 were tested using the Johansen co-integration analysis of VECM and the Granger-Causality tests. According to the result of the analysis, it was determined that there is a negative relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in the long run term. Otherwise, and on the basis of the results of the Granger causality test, we noted the absence of a causal relationship between industrial exports and economic growth in the short term. These results provide evidence that industrial exports, thus, are not seen as the source of economic growth in Tunisia and suffer a lot of problems and poor economic strategy.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Industrial Export, Economic Growth, Tunisia, Cointegration, VECM and Causality.
• Subjects: F - International Economics > F1 - Trade; F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F14 - Empirical Studies of Trade

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