Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Histéresis y Asimetría en Delitos: un análisis de los robos a nivel colonias en la ZMG

Cortez, Willy W. (2016): Histéresis y Asimetría en Delitos: un análisis de los robos a nivel colonias en la ZMG. Forthcoming in: Revista de Estudios Demográficos y Urbanos , Vol. 32, No. 3 (September 2017)

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Abstract

One of the delinquency's characteristics that has been underestimated in empirical studies is its temporal persistence, and therefore, its asymmetric response to changes in its explanatory variables. The importance of the hysteresis effect has been noted in several studies. It has been argued that the latter reduces largely the effectiveness of anti-crime policies. Using the victims' reports of different types of robberies in the city of Guadalajara, we find that robberies exhibit a strong hysteresis effect and show an asymmetric response to changes in the economic conditions.

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