González-Val, Rafael and Marcén, Miriam (2017): Unemployment, Marriage, and Divorce.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_80644.pdf Download (460kB) | Preview |
Abstract
In this paper, we examine whether the business cycle plays a role in marriage and divorce. We use data on Spain, since the differences between recession and expansion periods across regions are quite pronounced in that country. We find that the unemployment rate is negatively associated with the marriage rate, pointing to a pro-cyclical evolution of marriage; however the response of the divorce rate to the business cycle is mixed. Results show the existence of different patterns, depending on geography: divorce rates in coastal regions are pro-cyclical, while in inland regions divorces react to unemployment in a counter-cyclical way.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Unemployment, Marriage, and Divorce |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Divorce, marriage, divorce law, unemployment, business cycle, geography |
Subjects: | J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J12 - Marriage ; Marital Dissolution ; Family Structure ; Domestic Abuse |
Item ID: | 80644 |
Depositing User: | Rafael González-Val |
Date Deposited: | 06 Aug 2017 21:19 |
Last Modified: | 27 Sep 2019 14:55 |
References: | Amato, P. R., and B. Beattie, (2011). Does the unemployment rate affect the divorce rate? An analysis of state data 1960–2005. Social Science Research, 40: 705–715. Ariizumi, H., Y. Hu, and T. Schirle, (2015). Stand together or alone? Family structure and the business cycle in Canada. Review of Economics of the Household, 13: 135–161. Baghestani, H., and M. Malcolm, (2014). Marriage, divorce and economic activity in the US: 1960–2008. Applied Economics Letters, 21(8): 528–532. Becker, G. S., (1973). A theory of marriage: part I. Journal of Political Economy, 81(4): 813–846. Becker G. S., E. M. Landes, and R. T. Michael, (1977). An economic analysis of marital instability. Journal of Political Economy, 85(6):1141–1187. Bentolila, S., P. Cahuc, J. J. Dolado and T. Le Barbanchon, (2012). Two-tier labour markets in the great recession: France versus Spain, The Economic Journal, 122: F155-F187. Blanco, F., V. Martín, and G. Vázquez, (2016). Regional house price convergence in Spain during the housing boom. Urban Studies, 53 (4): 775–798. Bruze, G., M. Svarer, and Y. Weiss, (2015). The dynamics of marriage and divorce. Journal of Labor Economics, 33(1): 123–170. Connolly, M., (2013). Some like it mild and not too wet: The influence of weather on subjective well-being. Journal of Happiness Studies, 14(2): 457–473 Doiron, D., and S. Mendolia, (2011). The impact of job loss on family dissolution. Journal of Population Economics, 25(1): 367–398. Eckstein, Z., and O. Lifshitz, (2011). Dynamic female labor supply. Econometrica, 79(6): 1675–1726. Fenelon, B., (1971). State variations in United States Divorce Rates. Journal of Marriage and Family, 33(2): 321–327. Fernández, R., and J. C. Wong, (2014a). Divorce Risk, Wages and Working Wives: A Quantitative Life-Cycle Analysis of Female Labour Force Participation. The Economic Journal, 124(576): 319–358. Fernández, R., and J. C. Wong, (2014b). Unilateral Divorce, the Decreasing Gender Gap, and Married Women's Labor Force Participation. American Economic Review, 104(5): 342–347. Fischer, T., and A. C. Liefbroer, (2006). For richer, for poorer: The impact of macroeconomic conditions on union dissolution rates in the Netherlands 1972-1996. European Sociological Review, 22(5): 519–532. Friedberg, L., (1998). Did Unilateral Divorce Raise Divorce Rates? Evidence from Panel Data. American Economic Review, 88(3): 608–627. Furtado, D., M. Marcen, and A. Sevilla-Sanz, (2013). Does Culture Affect Divorce? Evidence from European Immigrants in the US. Demography, 50(3): 1013–1038. Glenn, N. D., and B. A. Shelton, (1985). Regional Differences in Divorce in the United States. Journal of Marriage and Family, 47(3): 641–652. González, L., and T. K. Viitanen, (2009). The Effect of Divorce Laws on Divorce Rates in Europe. European Economic Review, 53: 127–138. González-Val, R., and M. Marcén, (2012a). Breaks in the breaks: A time series analysis of the divorce rate in Europe. International Review of Law and Economics, 32: 242– 255. González-Val, R., and M. Marcén, (2012b). Unilateral divorce versus child custody and child support in the U.S. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 81(2): 613– 643. González-Val, R., and M. Marcén, (2017). Divorce and the Business cycle: A cross-country analysis. Review of Economics of the Household, 15(3): 879–904.. Gruber, J., (2004). Is Making Divorce Easier Bad for Children? The Long-Run Implications of Unilateral Divorce. Journal of Labor Economics, 22(4): 799–833. Gutiérrez-Domènech, M., (2008). The impact of the labour market on the timing of marriage and births in Spain. Journal of Population Economics, 21(1): 83–110. Hellerstein, J. K., and M. S. Morrill, (2011). Booms, Busts, and Divorce. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy, 11(1) (Contributions), Article 54. Hellerstein, J. K., M. S. Morrill, and B. Zou, (2013). Business cycles and divorce: Evidence from microdata. Economics Letters, 118: 68–70. Hoynes, H. W., D. L. Miller, and J. Schaller, (2012). Who suffers in recessions and jobless recoveries. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 26(3): 27–48. Jensen, P., and N. Smith, (1990). Unemployment and marital dissolution. Journal of Population Economics, 3(3): 215–229. Jimeno, J. F., and S, Bentolila, (1998). Regional unemployment persistence (Spain, 1976–1994). Labour Economics, 5: 25–51. Kirk, D., and D. S. Thomas, (1960). The influence of business cycles on marriage and birth rates. In: Roberts GB (ed) Universities-National Bureau Committee for Economic Research Demographic and economic change in developed countries. NBER Books 257–276. Nunley, J. M., (2010). Inflation and other aggregate determinants of the trend in US divorce rates since the 1960s. Applied Economics, 42(26): 3367–3381. Ogburn, W. F., and D. S. Thomas, (1922). The influence of the business cycle on certain social conditions. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 18: 324–340. Peters, E. H., (1986). Marriage and Divorce: Informational Constraints and Private Contracting. American Economic Review, 76(3): 437–454. Schaller, J., (2013). For richer, if not for poorer? Marriage and divorce over the business cycle, Journal of Population Economics, 26: 1007–1033. Shore, S. H., (2009). For better, for worse: intra-household risk-sharing over the business cycle. Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(3): 536–548. Silver, M., (1965). Births, marriages, and business cycles in the United States. Journal of Political Economy, 73(3): 237–255. South, S. J., (1985). Economic conditions and the divorce rate: A time-series analysis of the postwar United States. Journal of Marriage and the Family, 47: 31–41. Stevenson, B., and J. Wolfers, (2007). Marriage and divorce: changes and their driving forces. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 21(2): 27–52 Stouffer, S. A., and L. M. Spencer, (1936). Marriage and divorce in recent years. The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, 188: 56–69. Wolfers, J., (2006). Did unilateral divorce laws raise divorce rates? A reconciliation and new results. American Economic Review, 96(5): 1802–1820. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/80644 |