Wani, Mr. Nassir Ul Haq and Dhami, Dr. Jasdeep Kaur and Sidana, Dr. Neeru (2016): India's trade linkage with BRCS: An econometric study.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_81949.pdf Download (747kB) | Preview |
Abstract
India has put stress on enhancing trade relations with BRCS (Brazil, Russia, China and South Africa) economies, from the recent past. As a result India’s export to BRCS’s economies has been momentous. From the modeling exercise of this paper, the price and import elasticities of export flows attract a great deal of attention because of its significant implications on India’s export earnings from BRCS. Time series data ranging from 2000-2014 has been taken into consideration and to avoid non-stationarity issue on their level, DF and ADF test have been applied at level and first difference. In connection to the model results, Phillips-Hansen’s Fully Modified (FM) Method has been employed to get the estimated value of price and import elasticity of export demand for India. The results advocate that India’s export are appreciably prejudiced by BRCS economic growth and are very price competitive in the BRCS market. In other words, the depreciation of Indian rupee will be helpful for expanding India’s exports to BRCS.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | India's trade linkage with BRCS: An econometric study |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | BRCS, DF, ADF, FM and India. |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F1 - Trade F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F14 - Empirical Studies of Trade F - International Economics > F1 - Trade > F18 - Trade and Environment |
Item ID: | 81949 |
Depositing User: | Dr Nassir ul Haq Wani |
Date Deposited: | 16 Oct 2017 20:51 |
Last Modified: | 29 Sep 2019 21:18 |
References: | Armington, P. S. (1969). A theory of demand for products distinguished by place of production. IMF Staff Papers, 159-178. De, P. (2005). Trade in IBSA economic cooperation:The role of transport linkages. RIS Discussion Papers, 1-23. Dominic Wilson, R. P. (2003). dreaming with BRICs: The Path to 2050. New York: Goldman Sachs & Co. Faini, R. (1992). The fallacy of composition argument: Is it relevant for LDCs' manufactures exports? European Economic Review, 865-882. Fuller, D. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for the autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Assosciation, 427-431. Hansen, P. C. (1990). Statistical inference in instrumental variables regression with I(1) processes. The Review of Economic Studies, 99-125. Holly, M. F. (1992). The determinants of West German exports of manufactures: An integrated demand and supply approach. Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), 498-512. Horner, F. B. (1952). Elasticity of Demand for the Exports of a Single Country. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 34, No 4, 326-342. Hui Fang Cheng, M. G. (2007). A future global economy to be built by BRICs. Global Finance Journal, 143-156. Husein, J. (21-28). Traditional export demand relation: A cointegration and parameter constancy. International Journal of Applied Econometrics and Quantitative Studies , 2008. Ibrahim, M. A. (2012). Merchandise Export Demand Function for Egypt: A Panel data analysis. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 1-12. J.A.Sawyer. (1979). Modelling the international transmission mechanism. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company. J.L.Waelbroeck. (1976). The models of project LINK. Amsterdam: North-Holland Publishing Company. Jose Nelson Bessa Maia, F. A. (2015). The BRICS report. New Delhi: Oxford University Press. Julian M. Alston, C. A. (1990). Whither Armington Trade Models? American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 455-467. Kabir, R. (1988). Estimating Import and Export Demand Function: The Case of Bangladesh. The Bangladesh Development Studies, 16, No. 4, 115-127. Khan, M. G. (1978). The supply and demand for exports: A simultaneous approach. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 275-286. Khan, M. G. (1978). The Supply and Demand for Exports: A Simultaneous Approach. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 275-286. Khan, M. G. (1985). Income and price effects in foreign trade. In R. a. P.Kenen, Handbook of International Economics (pp. 99-1042). Amsterdam, Holland: Princeton University Press. Knight, M. S. (1988). Import compression and export performance in developing countries. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 315-321. Lewis, W. (1980). The slowing down of the engine of growth. The American Economic Review, 555-564. Montenegro, A. S. (1999). Time series analysis of export demand equations: A cross country analysis. IMF Staff Papers, 259-273. Naseeb Zada, M. M. (2011). Determinants of Exports of Pakistan: A Country-wise Disaggregated Analysis. Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad, Vol. 50, No. 4,, 715-732. Nassir Ul Haq Wani, A. S. (2013). The experience and future potentialities of BRICS as a trading bloc. Asian journal of Rsearch in Buisness Economics and Management, 76-89. Neill, J. O. (2001). Building better global economic BRICs. London: Goldman Sachs Economic Research Group. P.Ranuzzi. (1981). The experience of the E.E.C. Eurolink Project in modeling bilateral trade linkage equations. Journal of Policy Modelling, 153-173. Patricia A. Duffy, M. K. (1990). The Elasticity of Export Demand for U.S. Cotton. American Journal of Agricultural Economics,, 468-474. Reidel, J. (1984). Trade as the engine of growth in Developing countries, revisited. The Economic Journal, 56-73. Reidel, J. (1988). The demand for LDC exports of manufactures: Estimates from Hong Kong. The Economic Journal, 138-148. Roy, S. S. (2007). Demand and Supply Factors in the Determination of India's disaggregated manufactured exports: A simultaneous error-correction aprroach. Munich Personal RePEc Archive, 1-43. Saleem Khan, S. A.-U.-Z. (2013). Pakistan’s Export Demand Income and Price Elasticity Estimates: Reconsidering the Evidence. Research Journal of Recent Sciences, 59-62. Sarkar, A. (2009). India's trade linkage with ASEAN: An econometric study. Foreign Trade Review, 271-286. Sincai, I. M. (2015). BRICS current economic situation: An adaptive phase. Knowledge Horizons-Ecconomics, 41-45. Stephen A. Rensick, E. M. (1973). An empirical examination of bilateral trade in Western Europe. Journal of International Economics(3), 305-335. Syed Mushtaque Ahmed, M. N. (1993). Estimating Export Demand Function for Bangladesh: An Application of Cointegration and. The Bangladesh Development Studies, 89-104. Theodore W. Schultz, S. A. (1979, December 8). Noble Prize.org. Retrieved from www.nobleprize.org: http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_prizes/economic-sciences/laureates/1979/lewis-lecture.html V. A. Muscatelli, T. G. (1992). Demand and Supply Factors in the Determination of NIE exports: A simultaneous error-correction model for Hong Kong. The Economic Journal, 1467-1477. Vito Antonio Muscatelli, A. A. (1995). Modeling aggregate manufactured exports for some Asian newly industrialized economies. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 147-155. Wasmália Bivar, A. S. (2014). BRICS Joint Statistical Publication 2014. Rio de Janeiro: BRICS : joint statistical publication. Winter, L. (1984). Separability and the specification of foreign trade functions. Journal of International Economics, 239-263. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/81949 |