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Will Polish Goods Be Crowded Out by American Ones?

Czarny, Elzbieta and Folfas, Pawel (2017): Will Polish Goods Be Crowded Out by American Ones? Published in: CESifo Forum , Vol. 18, No. 1/2017 (2017): pp. 7-9.

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In this study, we analyse the potential substitution of Polish goods exported to the EU with American ones after tariffs are eliminated within the framework of TTIP (the so-called trade diversion effect). The survey covers the year 2014. Statistics (HS2 classification) come from TRAINS (tariffs) and COMTRADE (exports) databases. Trade diversion effect is possible only in the case of selected commodities and would be rather very limited.

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