Chirwa, Themba (2016): Interpreting sustainable development goals for 2030: implications for Malawi.
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Abstract
The paper assesses the likelihood of Malawi achieving its post-2015 sustainable development goals by 2030, especially goal number 1 of eradicating extreme poverty. The results show that for Malawi to eliminate extreme poverty of less than $1.25 a day from an estimated 74.4% in 2015 to as low as 1.0% in 2030; real GDP per capita is expected to grow at a rate of 21% p.a. If this is to be achieved, Malawi will be expected to invest approximately US$136 billion within the post-2015 period in order for real incomes to increase to levels that eliminate extreme poverty. These are extreme and very hard growth conditions to be achieved for a low-income economy like Malawi; especially when the average growth in real GDP per capital during the period 2010-2014 averaged 1.6% p.a. The study concludes that concerted efforts and significant financial support from the global community is required and needs to be put in place as quickly as possible if countries with high poverty incidences like Malawi are to achieve this ambitious goal of eliminating extreme poverty by 2030.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Interpreting sustainable development goals for 2030: implications for Malawi |
English Title: | Interpreting sustainable development goals for 2030: implications for Malawi |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Malawi; Post-2015 Sustainable Development Goals; Extreme Poverty; Economic Growth |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E1 - General Aggregative Models > E17 - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications N - Economic History > N1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics ; Industrial Structure ; Growth ; Fluctuations > N17 - Africa ; Oceania O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O11 - Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development |
Item ID: | 84192 |
Depositing User: | Themba G. Chirwa |
Date Deposited: | 29 Jan 2018 07:29 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 09:47 |
References: | Chirwa, T. G., and N. M. Odhiambo. 2016. “The Drivers of Real Sector Growth in Malawi: An empirical investigation.” Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, Vol. 11, No. 6(44), pp. 1157-1169. Chirwa, T. G. 2016. “Electricity Revenue and Tariff Growth in Malawi.” International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Vol. 6, No. 2, pp. 183-194, April Government of Malawi. 2012. Integrated Household Survey 2010-2011: Household socio-economic characteristics report. National Statistics Office: Zomba, September. International Monetary Fund. 2015. World Economic Outlook Database, Retrieved from www.imf.org on January 1, 2016 Pesaran, M. H., Y. Shin and R. J. Smith. 2001. “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships”. Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 16, No. 3, pp. 289-326. The President of the General Assembly. 2015. Transforming our World: The 2030 agenda for sustainable development. Retrieved from www.un.org on January 1, 2016. World Bank. 2015a. Poverty and Equity Database 2015. Retrieved from www.worldbank.org on January 1, 2016. World Bank. 2015b. World Development Indicators 2015. Retrieved from www.worldbank.org on May 5, 2015. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/84192 |