Marire, Juniours and Sunde, Tafirenyika (2012): Economic Growth and Tax Structure in Zimbabwe: 1984–2009.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_86606.pdf Download (813kB) | Preview |
Abstract
We examine the tax-growth nexus in Zimbabwe using parametric and non-parametric analysis. We use a two-stage estimation procedure that first generates efficiency scores for the country using a Data Envelopment Approach. We use the efficiency scores in the second stage to normalise growth to get a proxy for potential economic growth. Using this potential growth, we run a translog model that allows computation of time-varying elasticities of growth to changes in tax policy. The translog model results we got indicate that economic growth is inelastic to tax structure in Zimbabwe. As such, we recommend policies that rely on non-tax stimuli to the economy to buttress growth. We find that the most inefficient years were those punctuated with bad economic governance and droughts.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Economic Growth and Tax Structure in Zimbabwe: 1984–2009 |
English Title: | Economic Growth and Tax Structure in Zimbabwe: 1984–2009 |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | tax; growth; Zimbabwe; translog model; efficiency scores; structural adjustment policy; unit roots; DEA; economic policy; emerging economies. |
Subjects: | E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E6 - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook H - Public Economics > H6 - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt |
Item ID: | 86606 |
Depositing User: | Mr. Tafirenyika Sunde |
Date Deposited: | 09 May 2018 19:08 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 20:58 |
References: | Branson, J. and Lovell, C.A.K. (2001) ‘A growth-maximizing tax structure for New Zealand’, International Tax and Public Finance, Vol. 8, No. 2, pp.129–146. Engen, E.M., and Skinner, J. (1996) ‘Taxation and economic growth’, National Tax Journal, Vol. 49, No. 4, pp.617–642. Farrell, M.J. (1957) ‘The measurement of productive efficiency’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Vol. 120, Series A, General Part 3, pp.253–281. Gordon, R.H. and Wilson, J.D. (1999) Tax Structure and Government Behaviour: Implications for Tax Policy, NBER Working Paper No. 7244, p.19. Hall, R.E. (1968) ‘Consumption taxes versus income taxes: implications for economic growth’, Proceedings of the 61st Tax Conference, San Francisco, CA, pp.125–145. Harberger, A.C. (1964) ‘The measurement of waste’, American Economic Review LIV, pp.58–76. Jones, L.E., and Manuelli, R.E. (1990) ‘A convex model of equilibrium growth: theory and policy implications’, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, No. 5.1, pp.1008–1038. Kerr, I.A., and Macdonald, G.A. (1999) ‘Economic growth and taxation mix in selected Asian economies’, Paper presented to the 12th World Congress of the International Economic Association, Buenos Aires, Argentina. Kim, S.J. (1998) ‘Growth effects of taxes in an endogenous growth model: To what extent do taxes affect economic growth?’, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Vol. 23, No. 1, pp.125–158. King, R.G., and Rebelo, S. (1990) ‘Public policy and economic growth: developing neoclassical implications’, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 98, No. 5, part 2, pp.s126–s150. Koch, S.F., Schoeman, N.J. and Van Tonder, J.J. (2005) ‘Economic growth and the structure of taxes in South Africa: 1960–2002’, South African Journal of Economics, Vol. 73, June, pp.190–210. Koopmans, T.C. (1951) ‘An analysis of production as an efficient combination of activities’, Activity Analysis of Production and Allocation, Cowles Commission for Research in Economics, Monograph, No. 13, Wiley, New York. Lovell, C.A.K. and Pastor, J.T. (1995) ‘Units invariant and translation invariant DEA models’, Operations Research Letters, Vol. 18, No. 3, pp.147–151. Lucas, R.E. (1990) ‘Supply-side economics: an analytical review’, Oxford Economic Papers, Vol. 42, No. 2, pp.293–316. Marsden, K. (1990) ‘Taxes and growth’, in Bird, R.M. and Oldman, O. (Eds.): Taxation in Developing Countries, The Johns Hopkins University Press, Baltimore, MD, USA, pp.620–641. McMillan, M.S., and Masters, W.A. (2000) Africa’s Growth Trap: A Political-Economy Model of Taxation, R & D, and Investment, Centre for International Development Working Paper No. 50, p.45. Mendoza, E.G., Milesi-Firretti, G.M. and Asea, P. (1997) ‘On the ineffectiveness of tax policy in altering long-run growth: Harberger’s superneutrality conjecture’, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 66, pp.99–126. Pecorino, P. (1993) ‘Tax structure and growth in a model with human capital’, Journal of Public Economics, Vol. 52, No. 2, pp.251–271 Skinner, J. (1987) Taxation, and Output Growth: Evidence from African Countries, NBER Working Paper No. 2335, p.42. Stokey, N.L and Robelo, S. (1995) ‘Growth effects of flat-rate taxes’, Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 103, pp.419–450. Tanzi, V. and Shome, P. (1992) ‘The role of taxation in the development of East Asian Economies’, in Ito, T. and Krueger, A.O. (Eds.): The Political Economy of Tax Reform, The University of Chicago Press, Chicago, IL, USA. Wang, P. and Yip, C.K. (1992) ‘Taxation and economic growth: the Case of Taiwan’, American Journal of Economics and Sociology, Vol. 51, No. 3, pp.317–331. Yamarik, S. (2001) ‘Nonlinear tax structures and endogenous growth’, The Manchester School, Vol. 69, No. V, pp.16–30. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/86606 |