Ravago, Majah-Leah and Fabella, Raul and Alonzo, Ruperto and Danao, Rolando and Mapa, Dennis (2016): Filipino 2040 Energy: Power Security and Competitiveness.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_87721.pdf Download (1MB) | Preview |
Abstract
The Filipinos’ vision for themselves by 2040 is for them to enjoy a stable and comfortable lifestyle, having enough for their daily needs and unforeseen expenses, so they can plan and prepare for their own and their children’s futures. This paper looks at one major commodity that bears heavily on every Filipino consumer’s expenses: electricity. By focusing on the generation sector, it presents two possible scenarios for the next 25 years and illustrates how policy reforms on fuel mix can potentially reduce blended generation charges that make up 47% of the total electric bill of households. This paper also provides an assessment of the power sector’s performance and suggests broad key reforms and alternative pathways needed for the sector to contribute to the overall vision of a strong-growth economy and improved well-being of Filipinos by 2040.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Filipino 2040 Energy: Power Security and Competitiveness |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Electricity industry, scenario-building, reforms, Philippines |
Subjects: | Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q41 - Demand and Supply ; Prices Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q42 - Alternative Energy Sources Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q43 - Energy and the Macroeconomy Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q47 - Energy Forecasting Q - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics ; Environmental and Ecological Economics > Q4 - Energy > Q48 - Government Policy |
Item ID: | 87721 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Majah-Leah Ravago |
Date Deposited: | 24 Jul 2018 11:19 |
Last Modified: | 26 Sep 2019 12:10 |
References: | ADB (Asian Development Bank). 2013. Energy Outlook for Asia and the Pacific. Mandaluyong City, Philippines: ADB. http://adb.org/sites/default/files/pub/2013/energy-outlook.pdf. ADB. 2013. Asian Development Outlook 2013: Asia’s Energy Challenge. Mandaluyong City, Philippines: ADB. http://adb.org/sites/default/files/pub/2013/ado2013.pdf. ADB. 1984. Project Number: 36018, Loan Number: dated January 2012 and JICA Report in http://www.jica.go.jp/english/our_work/evaluation/oda_loan/post/2007/pdf/project13_full.pdf BSP (Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas). 2015. “Economic and Financial Statistics: Overseas Filipinos' Remittances.” Accessed October. http://www.bsp.gov.ph/statistics/efs_ext3.asp. Castalla. 2004. “Draft Final Report on Investment Management Contracts (IMC) for Electricity Cooperatives.” Report for the Government of the Philippines DOE. http://siteresources.worldbank.org/EXTRENENERGYTK/Resources/5138246-1237906527727/5950705-1239137586151/Draft0Final0Re1Department0of0Energy.pdf. Danao, R. and G., Ducanes. 2016. “An Error Correction Model for Forecasting Philippine Aggregate Electricity Consumption.” EPDP WP 2016-05. http://www.upecon.org.ph/epdp/working-paper-forecasting-05/ Daway, S. and and R. Fabella. 2015. “Development Progeria: The Role of Institutions and the Exchange Rate.” Philippine Review of Economics 52 (2). Del Mundo, R. 2016. “Competition and Security of Supply in Philippine Electricity Market.” A Presentation at the EPDP Conference 2016: Toward Inclusive and Sustainable Energy Development. Makati. 12-13 January. DOE (Department of Energy). 2012, 2013, 2014. “Power Statistics.” Manila: DOE. https://www.doe.gov.ph/philippine-power-statistics DOE. 2014. “Philippine Energy Plan.” Manila: DOE. https://www.doe.gov.ph/pep DOE. 2015. “Power Development Plan 2009-2030.” Manila: DOE. https://www.doe.gov.ph/2009-2030-PDP DOE. n.d. “Electric Power Supply Demand Outlook for 2012-2030.” http://www2.doe.gov.ph/Presentations/Visayas%20Power%20Summit%20-%20April%2026.pdf. DOE. n.d. “Mindanao Outlook.” http://minbizcon.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/Department-of-Energy.pdf. Department of Energy (DOE) Department Circular 2015-07-0014. https://www.doe.gov.ph/department-circular-no-dc2015-07-0014 Department of Energy (DOE) Circular 2004-06-007. https://www.doe.gov.ph/department-circular-no-2004-06-007 EGAT (Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand). n.d. “Electricity Prices.” http://www.egat.co.th/en/. EIA (Energy International Agency). 2014. “Annual Energy Outlook 2014 with projections to 2040.” http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/pdf/0383(2014).pdf. EIA (US Energy Information Administration). 2015. Annual Energy Review. http://www.eia.gov. EIA (Energy Information Administration). 2016. “How much carbon dioxide is produced per kilowatt hour when generating electricity with fossil fuels?” https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/faq.cfm?id=74&t=11 EIA (Energy Information Administration). 2016. Annual Energy Outlook. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/data/browser/#/?id=1-AEO2016&cases=ref2016~ref_no_cpp&sourcekey=0 Electric Power Industry Reform Act (EPIRA) of 2001. https://www.doe.gov.ph/epira-ra-9136 ERC (Energy Regulatory Commission). 2016. ERC Case No. 2015-2016 RC. Manila: ERC. Enerdata. n.d. “Energy Data.” https://yearbook.enerdata.asia/southeast-asia-electricity-production-and-data.html#renewable-in-electricity-production-share-asean-countries.html. Enerdata. n.d. “Carbon Emissions.” https://yearbook.enerdata.net/#CO2-emissions-data-from-fuel-combustion.html. Fabella, R. 2016. “The Market Testing of Power Supply Agreements: Rationale and Design Evolution in the Philippines.” EPDP WP 2016-03R. http://www.upecon.org.ph/epdp/working-paper-psa-03/ Feldman, D., G. Barbose, R. Margolis, T. James, S. Weaver, N. Darghouth, R. Fu, C. Davidson, S. Boot, R.Wiser, 2014. “Photovoltaic System Pricing Trends,” US Department of Energy. http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy14osti/62558.pdf EMA (Market Authority). n.d. “Electricity Prices.” https://www.ema.gov.sg/index.aspx. Gayer, T. and K. Viscusi. 2016. “Determining the Proper Scope of Climate Change Benefits in US Regulatory Analysis: Domestic versus Global Approaches.” Review of Environmental Economics and Policy 10(2): 245-263. https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/rev-environ-econ-policy-2016-gayer-reep-rew002.pdf House of Lords. 2008. The Economics of Renewable Energy: Volume I Report. http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200708/ldselect/ldeconaf/195/195i.pdf. House of Lords. 2008. The Economics of Renewable Energy: Volume II Evidence. http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200708/ldselect/ldeconaf/195/195ii.pdf. IEA (International Energy Association). n.d. “Electricity Data.” http://www.iea.org/statistics/topics/Electricity/. IEA. n.d. “Energy Statistics of Non-OECD Countries.” http://www.iea.org/bookshop/662-Energy_Statistics_of_Non-OECD_Countries. IEA–OECD (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development). 2014. “OECD IEA Energy Prices and Taxes.” http://www.iea.org/statistics/topics/pricesandtaxes/. IIEE (Institute of Integrated Electrical Engineers of the Philippines). 2014. “Power Industry Reforms in RCOA and EPIRA.” IRENA (International Renewable Energy Agency). 2015. “Renewable Power Generation Costs in 2014.” http://www.irena.org/documentdownloads/publications/irena_re_power_costs_2014_report.pdf. Joskow, P.L. 1976. “Contributions to the Theory of Marginal Cost Pricing.” The Bell Journal of Economics 7 (1), 197–206. doi: 10.2307/3003196. Knittel, C., K. Metaxoglou, and A. Trindade. 2015. “Natural Gas Prices and Coal Displacement: Evidence from Electricity Markets.” NBER Working Papers. http://www.nber.org/papers/w21627. Kuryente.org 2015. “Power Supply Agreements.” http://www.kuryente.org.ph/ Korea Stat. “Korea Electricity Prices.” http://kostat.go.kr/portal/english/index.action. Lee, R. and A. Mason. 2006. “What is the Demographic Dividend?” Finance and Development: A Quarterly Magazine of the International Monetary Fund 43 (3). http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/fandd/2006/09/basics.htm. MEA (Metropolitan Electricity Authority of Thailand). n.d. “Electricity Prices.” http://www.mea.or.th/home/index.php. MEIH (Malaysia Energy Information Hub). n.d. “Electricity Prices.” http://meih.st.gov.my/. Meralco (Manila Electric Company). 2015. “Metro Manila Electricity Prices.” http://www.meralco.com.ph/consumer-information/rates-archive. Meralco. 2015. “Typical Consumer Rates.” http://www.meralco.com.ph/consumer-information/rates-archive. Meralco. 2015. “Generation.” http://www.meralco.com.ph/consumer-information/rates-archive. Moura, P. and A. de Almeida. 2010. “The Role of Demand-side Management in the Grid Integration of Wind Power.” Applied Energy 87 (8): 2581–2588. NGCP (National Grid Corporation of the Philippines). 2014. “Typical Load Curve by Fuel Source for each Grid during Peak Demand (Wet and Dry Season).” NGCP. 2014. “Typical Daily Visayas to Luzon Hourly HVDC Loading during Peak Demand (actual data).” Nordhaus, William. 2011. "Estimates of the Social Cost of Carbon: Background and Results from the RICE-2011 Model." Cowles Foundation Discussion Paper No. 1826. Yale University. Oren, S., G. Gross, and F. Alvarado. 2002. “Alternative Business Models for Transmission Investment and Operation: National Transmission Grid Study, Appendix C.” Accessed March 2016. http://eetd.lbl.gov/publications/alternative-business-models-for-trans. PLN (Perusahaan Listrik Negra). n.d. “Indonesia Electricity Prices.” http://www.pln.co.id/. Renewable Energy Law (RA 9513). 2008. https://www.doe.gov.ph/laws-and-issuances/republic-act-no-9513 Republic Act (RA) 9511. http://lia.erc.gov.ph/documents/359 Roumasset, J., M. V. Ravago, K. Jandoc, and C. Arellano. 2016. “Beyond GDP: The Natural Environment, Shocks, Energy and Economic Policy.” EPDP Working Paper 2016-02. http://www.upecon.org.ph/epdp/working-paper-fil-2040-envi-02/ Roumasset, J. A., and K. R. Smith. 1990. “Exposure Trading: An Approach to More Efficient Air Pollution Control.” Journal of Environmental Economics and Management 18 (3): 276–291. Shelanki and Obstfeld 2015. “Estimating the Benefits from the Carbon Dioxide Emissions Reductions.” https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/blog/2015/07/02/estimating-benefits-carbon-dioxide-emissions-reductions SingStat (Singapore Statistics). “Singapore Electricity Prices.” www.singstat.gov.sg. Stephenson, M. 2015. Shale Gas and Fracking: The Science Behind the Controversy. First edition. UK: Elsevier. Strbac, G. 2008. “Demand-Side Management: Benefits and Challenges.” Energy Policy 36 (12): 4419–4426. Tol, R. 2013. “Targets for Global Climate Policy: An Overview.” Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 37 (5):911-928. doi:10.1016/j.jedc.2013.01.001. UN (United Nations). 2014. “UN Data.” http://data.un.org/Data.aspx?d=MDG&f=seriesRowID:751. UNFCCC (United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change). 2011. Tracking Greenhouse Gases: An Inventory Manual. http://www.emb.gov.ph/portal/Portals/54/GHG%20Manual%20(1).pdf. UNPP (United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division). 2015. World Population Prospects: The 2015 Revision. DVD Edition. http://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/DVD/ United States Environmental Protection Agency (US EPA). 2013. “The Social Cost of Carbon: Estimating the Benefits of Reducing Greenhouse Gas Emissions”. https://www.epa.gov/climatechange/social-cost-carbon. Accessed: January 10, 2017 US EIA (United States Energy Information Agency). 2016. “Annual Energy Outlook.” Accessed December 2016. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/data/browser/#/?id=1-AEO2016&cases=ref2016~ref_no_cpp&sourcekey=0 US EIA. 2017. Annual Energy Outlook. Accessed February 2017. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/aeo/ Van Kooten, G. 2010. “Wind Power: The Economic Impact of Intermittency.” Letters in Spatial and Resources Sciences 3 (1):1-17. Van Kooten, G. 2013. "Economic Analysis of Feed-in Tariffs for Generating Electricity from Renewable Energy Sources". In Handbook on Energy and Climate Change. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar Publishing. Accessed November 20, 2015. http://www.elgaronline.com/view/9780857933683.00017.xml Visayan Electric Company (VECO) 2016. Generation Rates for Visayas and Mindanao. http://www.veco.com.ph/ Viswanathan, R., K. Coleman, and U. Rao. 2006. “Materials for Ultra-Supercritical Coal-fired Power Plant Boilers.” International Journal of Pressure Vessels and Piping 83 (11–12):778–783. World Coal Association. 2015. “Reducing CO2 Emissions.” https://www.worldcoal.org/reducing-co2-emissions/high-efficiency-low-emission-coal. WDI (World Development Indicators]). 2014. “Development Indicators.” http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators. WRI (World Resources Institute). 2014. “Data Sets.” http://www.wri.org/resources/data_sets. WWF (World Wildlife Fund for Nature)–Philippines. 2003. “Power Switch! Scenarios and Strategies for Clean Power Development in the Philippines.” |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/87721 |