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The roles of the public sector and the private sector in the economy of North Cyprus: Empirical evidence from Markov Switching.

Tursoy, Turgut (2018): The roles of the public sector and the private sector in the economy of North Cyprus: Empirical evidence from Markov Switching.

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Abstract

This paper purpose is to examine the regime shift of public sector and private sector investments on economic growth in North Cyprus using with the Markov Switching Regression technique for the period from the first quarter of the year 1982 to the last quarter of the year of 2015. Both sector investments having a causal effect on the economic growth at the concerned period and method provide the necessary evidence for the regime shifts. Two-regime (growth path/recession path) model has been estimated to analyse the Markov-switching model, Markov transition probabilities, constant expected durations, and smoothed regime probabilities.

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