Kirrane, Chris (1995): The Bretton Woods Experience and ERM. Published in: European Economic Integration Review , Vol. 13, (January 1995): pp. 23-34.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_89000.pdf Download (350kB) | Preview |
Abstract
Historical examination of the Bretton Woods system allows comparisons to be made with the current evolution of the EMS. In the past, three main varieties of monetary arrangements have prevailed. One variety is ‘decentralised unconstrained systems’ in which the sovereignty of each country over its monetary policy is complete (e. g. floating exchange rates arrangements). Another variety is ‘fully centralised systems’ in which monetary policy is transferred to some supranational authority. Finally, a hybrid variety is ‘decentralised but constrained systems’ (e. g. the Bretton Woods system and the EMS) where nations are usually (i) sovereign over their domestic policies, but (ii) constrained by a set of widespread rules (for instance, they need to take into account the policies of different nations). This paper attempts to provide a cost-benefit analysis of these various options. Two chief conclusions emerge. Firstly, the apparent autonomy provided} under the ‘decentralised unconstrained system’ is most likely illusory as the inherent difficulties associated with floating of the various currencies wipe out most of the advantages related to sovereignty. Secondly, ‘decentralised but unconstrained systems’ such as EMS usually induce a deflationary bias which renders these kinds of arrangements both costly as well as unsustainable. This finally indicates that the fundamental dilemma of global arrangements is that there might not be a stable regime without the construction of a supranational monetary policy institution.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | The Bretton Woods Experience and ERM |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Bretton Woods Agreement, ERM |
Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F31 - Foreign Exchange |
Item ID: | 89000 |
Depositing User: | Dr Christopher Kirrane |
Date Deposited: | 15 Sep 2018 07:12 |
Last Modified: | 30 Sep 2019 19:13 |
References: | Alesina, A., & Grilli, V. (1993). On the feasibility of a Multi-Speed European Monetary Union. NBER WP n° 4350. Alogoskoufis., & Smith, G. & R.. (1991). The Phillips Curve, the Persistence of Inflation, and the Lucas Critique: Evidence from Exchange Rate Regimes. American Economic Review, 81, 1254-1275. Arrow, Kenneth J. (1951). Social Choice and Individual Values. Cowles Foundation. Barro, & Gordon, R. & D.. ( 1983). Rules, discretion, and Reputation, in a model of Monetary Policy. Journal of Monetary Economics. Bayoumi, T.,(1990). Saving-Investment Correlations : Immobile Capital, Government Policy, or Endogenous Behavior ?. IMF Staff Papers, 37, 360-387. Bayoumi, T., & Eichengreen. (1994). Macroeconomic Adjustment Under Bretton Woods and the Post-Bretton-Woods Float : An Impulse-Response Analysis. The Economic Journal, vol. 104, 813-827. Casella, AI., & J. Feinstein. (1989). Management of a Common Currency in DeCecco et Giovannini. A European Central Bank., 131-161. De Grauwe, P. (1994).Towards European Monetary Union without the EMS. Economic Policy, n°18, 150-174. Dornbusch, Rudiger., & Krugman, Paul. (1976). Flexible Exchange Rates in the Short Run. Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, n° 3, 537-575. Eichengreen, В. (1990). Is Europe an Optimum Currency Area?. CEPR Discussion Paper n° 817. Eichengreen, В. (1993). Epilogue in M. Bordo and B. Eichengreen eds. A Retrospective on the Bretton Woods System. Chicago, the University of Chicago Press. Eichengreen, B., & Wyplosz, Charles. (1993). The Unstable EMS, Brooking Papers on Economic Activity. Emerson, Michael. et alii. (1992). One Market, One Money, An Evaluation of the Potential Benefits and Costs of Forming an Economic and Monetary Union. Oxford University Press. Feldstein, Martin., & Horioka, Charles. (1980). Domestic Savings and International Capital Flows. Economic Journal, 90, 314-318. Feldstein, Martin. (1992). Europe's Monetary Union. The Economist, 13 June 1992. Fitoussi, Jean-Paul & Le Cacheux, Jacques. ( 1989). Une Théorie des années 80, Observations et Diagnostics Economiques. Revue de l'OFCE, n° 29, 117-160. Fitoussi, Jean-Paul,& Phelps, Edmund. (1988). The Slump in Europe. Oxford, Basil Blackwell. Fleming, J.M. (1962). Domestic Financial Policies under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates, IMF Staff Papers, 9, 369-380. Flandreau, Marc. (1993). On the Inflationary Bias of Common Currencies: the Latin Union Puzzle. European Economic Review, 37. Flandreau, Marc. (1994). Was the Latin Union a Franc-Zone?, in Jaime Reis, Perspectives on the History of International Monetary Arrangements. London, Macmillan. Giavazzi, F., & Giovannini, A. (1989). Limiting Exchange Rate Flexibility: the European Monetary System, Cambridge, Mass. MIT Press. Giovannini, A. (1989). How Fixed Exchange rate Systems Work, in Blueprints for Exchange Rate Management. London : Academic. Hallet, H., & Vines, D. (1991). Adjustment difficulties within a European Monetary Union : can they be reduced?. CEPR discussion Paper, n°517. Henriksen. & Kaergard. (1994). The Scandinavian Monetary Union, in Jaime Reis, Perspectives on the History of International Monetary Arrangements. London, Macmillan. Hirsch, F., (1967). Money International., London, Penguin. Jeanneney, Jean-Marcel. (1994). De Bretton Woods à la Jamaïque : Contestations Françaises, mimeo. Kirrane, C. (1993). Lessons from the History of European EMU. European Economic Integration Review, 11-22. Kirrane, C. (1994). Implications of EMU for the European Community. European Economic Integration Review, 117-135. Mundell,Robert A. (1961) A Theory of Optimum Currency Areas, American Economic Review, June-December, 657-665. Mundell, Robert A. (1963). Capital Mobility and Stabilization Policy under Fixed and Flexible Exchange Rates. Canadian Journal of Economics, 29, 475-485. Phelps, Edmund. (1967). Phillips Curves, Expectations of Inflation, and Optimal Unemployment over Time. Economica, 34, 254-281. Teles, Pedro. (1993). Currency Substituability as a Source of Inflationary Discipline. Mimeo, Université Catholique, Lisbonne. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/89000 |