Rossi, Giovanni (2004): Euro Weakness in the Late Nineties. Published in: European Political Economy Review , Vol. 3, No. Summer (1 July 2004): pp. 132-138.
|
PDF
MPRA_paper_90272.pdf Download (171kB) |
Abstract
The depreciation of the euro vis-à-vis the dollar over its first two years is a fact of life. By contrast the present paper offers some econometric evidence with daily data that, within a sticky price framework, monetary fundamentals may have played a role in this depreciation. A fast monetary expansion with continental European interest rate convergence in 1998 and an accommodative ECB monetary stance in 1999 would thus bear some responsibility in the weakening of the euro.
| Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
|---|---|
| Original Title: | Euro Weakness in the Late Nineties |
| Language: | English |
| Keywords: | Euro, EMU |
| Subjects: | F - International Economics > F3 - International Finance > F36 - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration |
| Item ID: | 90272 |
| Depositing User: | Dr Giovanni Rossi |
| Date Deposited: | 29 Nov 2018 08:01 |
| Last Modified: | 02 Oct 2019 04:29 |
| References: | BILSON J.F.O [1978] The monetary approach to the exchange rate some empirical evidence I.M.F Staff Papers 25 48-75 DORNBUSCH [1976] Expectations and exchange rate dynamics, Journal of Political Economy 84 1161-76 ESTRELLA and MISHKiN F.S [1995] The term structure of interest rates and its role in monetary policy for the European central bank NBER Working Paper no 5279 PAVERO C. FREIXAS X. PERSSON and WYP OSZ [2000] Monitoring the European Central Bank Update Center for Economic policy Research London June FRANKEL J.A [1979] On the mark theory of floating exchange rates based on real interest differentials American Economic Review 601-622 FRANKEL J.A [1993] International financial integration relations between interest rates and exchange rates in DAS D.K ed. International Finance Contemporary Issues London Routledge 333-60 FRENKEL J.A [1978] The monetary approach to the exchange rate doctrinal aspects and empirical evidence in FRENKEL and JOHNSON H.G (eds) The Economics of Exchange Rates Addison-Wesley 1-25 GONZALO [1994] Five alternative methods of estimating long run relationships Journal of Econometrics 60 203-233 HAIRAULT J.O. PATUREAU et SOPRASEUTH [2000] Dombusch revisited Document de travail EURE Qua Université Paris 1er November JOHANSEN [1988] Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 12 231-54 JOHANSEN and JUSELIUS [1990] Maximum likelihood estimation and inference on cointegration with applications to the demand for money Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 52 169-210 JONDEAU and RICART [1999] Le contenu en information de la pente des taux application au cas francais economie et Prévision 140-41 1-20 KIRRANE, C. [2003] The IMS and the Euro. European Political Economy Review No. 1 (March 2003), pp. 153-65 McCALLUM B.T 1994] Reconsideration of uncovered interest parity relationship, Journal of Monetary Economics 33 105-32 McDoNALD and MARSH [1999] Exchange Rate Modelling Kluwer McDoNALD and TAYLOR [1993] The monetary approach to the exchange rate rational expectations long-run equilibrium and forecasting I.M.F Staff Papers 40 89-107 MISHKIN [1984] The real interest rate multi-country empirical study, Canadian Journal of Economics 17 283-311 ROGOFF [1995] The purchasing power parity puzzle, Journal of Economic Literature, 34 647-68 |
| URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/90272 |

