Ager, Philipp and Herz, Benedikt (2019): Structural Change and the Fertility Transition.
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Abstract
This paper provides new insights on the relationship between structural change and the fertility transition. We exploit the spread of an agricultural pest in the American South in the 1890s as plausibly exogenous variation in agricultural production to establish a causal link between earnings opportunities in agriculture and fertility. Households staying in agriculture reduced fertility because children are a normal good, while households switching to manufacturing reduced fertility because of the higher opportunity costs of raising children. The lower earnings opportunities in agriculture also decreased the value of child labor which increased schooling, consistent with a quantity-quality model of fertility.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
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Original Title: | Structural Change and the Fertility Transition |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Fertility Transition, Structural Change, Industrialization, Agricultural Income |
Subjects: | J - Labor and Demographic Economics > J1 - Demographic Economics > J13 - Fertility ; Family Planning ; Child Care ; Children ; Youth N - Economic History > N3 - Labor and Consumers, Demography, Education, Health, Welfare, Income, Wealth, Religion, and Philanthropy > N31 - U.S. ; Canada: Pre-1913 O - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth > O1 - Economic Development > O14 - Industrialization ; Manufacturing and Service Industries ; Choice of Technology |
Item ID: | 92883 |
Depositing User: | Dr. Benedikt Herz |
Date Deposited: | 21 Mar 2019 09:42 |
Last Modified: | 28 Sep 2019 08:44 |
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URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/92883 |