Bäckman, Claes and Khorunzhina, Natalia (2020): Interest-Only Mortgages and Consumption Growth: Evidence from a Mortgage Market Reform.
Preview |
PDF
MPRA_paper_98524.pdf Download (2MB) | Preview |
Abstract
We use detailed household-level data from Denmark to analyze how the introduction of interest-only mortgages affected consumption expenditure and borrowing. Four years after the reform interest-only mortgages constituted 40 percent of outstanding mortgage debt. Using an ex-ante measure of exposure motivated by financial constraints, we show households who are more likely to use an IO mortgage, increased consumption substantially following the reform. The increase in consumption is driven by borrowing at the time of refinancing and by borrowers with lower pre-reform leverage ratios. Our results show changes in the mortgage contract can have large impacts on consumption expenditure.
Item Type: | MPRA Paper |
---|---|
Original Title: | Interest-Only Mortgages and Consumption Growth: Evidence from a Mortgage Market Reform |
English Title: | Interest-Only Mortgages and Consumption Growth: Evidence from a Mortgage Market Reform |
Language: | English |
Keywords: | Consumption, Mortgage Market |
Subjects: | D - Microeconomics > D1 - Household Behavior and Family Economics > D14 - Household Saving; Personal Finance E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E2 - Consumption, Saving, Production, Investment, Labor Markets, and Informal Economy > E21 - Consumption ; Saving ; Wealth G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages |
Item ID: | 98524 |
Depositing User: | Natalia Khorunzhina |
Date Deposited: | 10 Feb 2020 08:31 |
Last Modified: | 10 Feb 2020 08:31 |
References: | Agarwal, Sumit, Amromin, Gene, Chomsisengphet, Souphala, Landvoigt, Tim, Piskorski, Tomasz, Seru, Amit, and Yao, Vincent W. 2017. Mortgage Refinancing, Consumer Spending, and Competition: Evidence from the Home Affordable Refinancing Program. NBERWorking Paper 21512. Amromin, Gene, Huang, Jennifer, Sialm, Clemens, and Zhong, Edward. 2018. Complex mortgages. Review of Finance, 22(6), 1975-2007. Andersen, Asger Lau, Duus, Charlotte, and Jensen, Thais Laerkholm. 2016. Household debt and spending during the financial crisis: Evidence from Danish micro data. European Economic Review, 89, 96-115. Andersen, Henrik Yde, and Leth-Petersen, Soren. 2019. Housing Wealth Effects and Mortgage Borrowing: The Effect of Subjective Unanticipated House Price Changes on Home Equity Extraction. Danmarks Nationalbank Working Paper 133. Andersen, Steffen, Campbell, John Y, Nielsen, Kasper Meisner, and Ramadorai, Tarun. 2019. Inattention and inertia in household finance: Evidence from the Danish mortgage market. NBER Working Paper 21386. Association of Danish Mortgage Credit Banks. 2011. Boligejerne har styr paa deres afdragsfrie realkreditlaan. Backman, Claes, and Lutz, Chandler. 2018. The impact of interest-only loans on affordability. Regional Science and Urban Economics, forthcoming. Barlevy, Gadi, and Fisher, Jonas DM. 2012. Mortgage choices and housing speculation. FRB of Chicago Working Paper. Berger, David, Turner, Nicholas, and Zwick, Eric. 2016. Stimulating housing markets. Working paper. Bhutta, Neil, and Keys, Benjamin J. 2016. Interest Rates and Equity Extraction During the Housing Boom. American Economic Review, 106(7), 1742-1774. Browning, Martin, and Leth-Petersen, Soren. 2003. Imputing consumption from income and wealth information. The Economic Journal, 113(488), F282-F301. Browning, Martin, Gortz, Mette, and Leth-Petersen, Soren. 2013. Housing Wealth and Consumption: A Micro Panel Study. The Economic Journal, 123(568), 401-428. Brueckner, Jan K, Calem, Paul S, and Nakamura, Leonard I. 2016. House-Price Expectations, Alternative Mortgage Products, and Default. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 48(1), 81-112. Campbell, J. Y. 2013. Mortgage Market Design. Review of Finance, 17(1), 1-33. Cloyne, James, Ferreira, Clodomiro, and Surico, Paolo. 2019. Monetary policy when households have debt: new evidence on the transmission mechanism. The Review of Economic Studies, forthcoming. Cocco, Joao F. 2013. Evidence on the benefits of alternative mortgage products. The Journal of Finance, 68(4), 1663-1690. Cooper, Daniel. 2013. House price fluctuations: the role of housing wealth as borrowing collateral. Review of Economics and Statistics, 95(4), 1183-1197. De Stefani, Alessia, and Moertel, Julia. 2019. Real Effects of Relaxing Financial Constraints for Homeowners: Evidence from Danish Firms. SSRN 3389943. Di Maggio, Marco, Kermani, Amir, Keys, Benjamin J, Piskorski, Tomasz, Ramcharan, Rodney, Seru, Amit, and Yao, Vincent. 2017. Interest rate pass-through: Mortgage rates, household consumption, and voluntary deleveraging. American Economic Review, 107(11), 3550-3588. Dokko, Jane K, Keys, Benjamin J, and Relihan, Lindsay E. 2019. Affordability, Financial Innovation, and the Start of the Housing Boom. Working paper. Druedahl, Jeppe, and Martinello, Alessandro. 2018. Long-Run Saving Dynamics: Evidence from Unexpected Inheritances. Working paper. Fadlon, Itzik, and Nielsen, Torben Heien. 2015. Household responses to severe health shocks and the design of social insurance. NBER Working Paper 21352. Greenwald, Daniel L. 2018. The Mortgage Credit Channel of Macroeconomic Transmission. Working Paper, MIT Sloan. Grodecka, Anna. 2019. On the Effectiveness of Loan-to-Value Regulation in a Multiconstraint Framework. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, forthcoming. Gross, David B, and Souleles, Nicholas S. 2002. Do Liquidity Constraints and Interest Rates Matter for Consumer Behavior? Evidence from Credit Card Data. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(1), 149-185. Guerrieri, Veronica, and Uhlig, Harald. 2016. Housing and credit markets: booms and busts. Pages 1427-1496 of: Handbook of Macroeconomics, vol. 2. Elsevier. Hull, Isaiah. 2017. Amortization requirements and household indebtedness: An application to Swedish-style mortgages. European Economic Review, 91, 72-88. Jensen, Thais Laerkholm, and Johannesen, Niels. 2017. The Consumption Effects of the 2007-2008 Financial Crisis: Evidence from Households in Denmark. American Economic Review, 107(11), 3386-3414. Justiniano, Alejandro, Primiceri, Giorgio E, and Tambalotti, Andrea. 2017. The mortgage rate conundrum. NBER Working Paper 23784. Kaplan, Greg, Mitman, Kurt, and Violante, Giovanni L. 2017. The housing boom and bust: Model meets evidence. NBER Working Paper 23694. Khorunzhina, Natalia. 2013. Structural estimation of stock market participation costs. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37(12), 2928 - 2942. Koijen, Ralph, van Nieuwerburgh, Stijn, and Vestman, Roine. 2015. Judging the Quality of Survey Data by Comparison with ‘Truth’ as Measured By Administrative Records: evidence from Sweden. In: Carroll, Christopher, Crossley, Thomas, and Sabelhaus, John (eds), Improving the Measurement of Consumer Expenditures. University of Chicago Press. Kreiner, Claus Thustrup, Lassen, David Dreyer, and Leth-Petersen, Soren. 2015. Measuring the Accuracy of Survey Responses using Administrative Register Data: Evidence from Denmark. Pages 289-307 of: Improving the Measurement of Household Consumption Expenditures. University of Chicago Press. Kuchler, Andreas. 2015. Loan types, leverage, and savings behaviour of Danish households. Danmarks Nationalbank Working Paper 97. Larsen, Linda Sandris, Munk, Claus, Sejer Nielsen, Rikke, and Rangvid, Jesper. 2018. How Do Homeowners Use Interest-Only Mortgages? SSRN. Leth-Petersen, Soren. 2010. Intertemporal consumption and credit constraints: Does total expenditure respond to an exogenous shock to credit? The American Economic Review, 100(3), 1080-1103. Mian, A., Rao, K., and Sufi, A. 2013. Household Balance Sheets, Consumption, and the Economic Slump. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 128(4), 1687-1726. Mian, Atif, and Sufi, Amir. 2012. The effects of fiscal stimulus: Evidence from the 2009 cash for clunkers program. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 127(3), 1107-1142. Svensson, Lars EO. 2016. Amortization requirements may increase household debt: a simple example. Working paper. Ziliak, James P. 1998. Does the Choice of Consumption Measure Matter? An Application to the Permanent-Income Hypothesis. Journal of Monetary Economics, 41(1), 201-216. |
URI: | https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/id/eprint/98524 |