Stock Return and Risk Premium: Evidence from Turkey

Tursoy, Turgut and Berk, Niyazi (2020): Stock Return and Risk Premium: Evidence from Turkey.

Abstract

The finance theory suggests that there might be a relationship between the stock return and the risk premium. Theoretically, stock return defined as the change of the market price, and it is related to the scope of the financial system, which is consisting of the financial institution and financial markets. The way, possibly will be, to contribute the existing literature is to propose a new measurement and this study try to do so. The aim of this study and its motivation is that investigates a new measure of stock return and attempt to establish a new relationship between return and risk premium. To realize this aim, this study uses geometric mean to calculate return and standard deviation, and after all, construct panel data analysis to analyze the return and standard deviation relationship. In this study, seven commercial banks’ data analyzed to the relationship between return and standard deviation with panel data analyses between 1991 and 2010. Also, the geometric mean and value relative concept used to estimate return and the monthly stock prices to yearly basis.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: Asset Pricing, Stock Return, Risk
• Subjects: G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G11 - Portfolio Choice ; Investment Decisions; G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing ; Trading Volume ; Bond Interest Rates; G - Financial Economics > G2 - Financial Institutions and Services > G21 - Banks ; Depository Institutions ; Micro Finance Institutions ; Mortgages

References

Alexander, G. J., Sharpe, W. F., and Bailey, J. V., (2001), Fundamental of Investment, 3rd Edition, Prentice-Hall, Englewood Cliffs, NJ.

Chen, N., Roll, R. And Ross, S. A., (1986), “Economic Forces and the Stock Market”, Journal of Business, Vol. 59, No. 3, pp. 383-403.

Civelek, M. A., Durukan, M. B., (1998), Investment, Dokuz Eylül Yayınları, İzmir.

Cochrane, J. H., (2001), “The risk and return of venture capital”, NBER working paper. No. 8066.

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2017). International tests of a five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of financial Economics, 123(3), 441-463.

Markowitz, H. Portfolio selection, 1952 J. Financ, 7, 77.

Mısırlı, E. U., Alper, C. E., (2009), “Drivers of Expected Return in Istanbul Stock Exchange: Fama-French Factors and Coskewness”, Applied Economics, Vol. 41, Issue 20, pp. 2619-2633.

Ross, S. A., (1976), “The Arbitrage Pricing Theory of Capital Asset Pricing”, Journal of Economics Theory, Vol. 13, pp. 341-360.