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The Undervaluation of Distressed Company's Equity

Schmidt, Frederik (2009): The Undervaluation of Distressed Company's Equity. Unpublished.

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Abstract

In a simple firm value model we consider the impact of the insolvency probability on the valuation of equity and debt, which are assumed to be not publicly traded. For the case of a distressed company, which usually has high debt and low equity, we can show that the impact becomes increasingly important. Disregarding this yields an overvaluation of debt and an undervaluation of equity. We calculate the sensitivity of equity with regard to debt, which is isomorphic to the sensitivity of a call option with regard to the strike price, and show that this sensitivity rises with increasing debt. Furthermore, we provide a numerical example of this effect.

Item Type:MPRA Paper
Language:English
Keywords:Distressed Company; Valuation; Derivatives Pricing Models
Subjects:G - Financial Economics > G1 - General Financial Markets > G12 - Asset Pricing; Trading volume; Bond Interest Rates
G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G34 - Mergers; Acquisitions; Restructuring; Corporate Governance
G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G32 - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure
G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G33 - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
ID Code:13377
Deposited By:Frederik Schmidt
Deposited On:13. Feb 2009 01:50
Last Modified:13. Feb 2009 01:50
References:

Black, F. and Scholes, M.: 1973, The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities, Journal of Political Economy 81, 637-659.

Hull, J. C.: 2006, Options, Futures and other Derivatives, Pearson.

Merton, R. C.: 1974, On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates, Journal of Finance 29, 449-470.

Schönbucher, P. J.: 2003, Credit Derivatives Pricing Models, Wiley.

Schwartz, E. S. and Moon, M.: 2000, Rational Pricing of Internet Companies, Financial Analysts Journal 56, 62-75.

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