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Macromodel estimations for the Romanian "Preaccesion economic programme"

Dobrescu, Emilian (2002): Macromodel estimations for the Romanian "Preaccesion economic programme". Published in: Romanian Economic Review , Vol. 48, No. 1 (January 2003): pp. 3-37.

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Abstract

The new (2002) version of the "Pre-Accession Economic Programme" has to take into account both the experience accumulated in the implementation of its previous (2001) form, and the changes occurred during 2001-2002 in the domestic and international environment, which have affected the Romanian economy. Obviously, there are numerous questions that should be analysed from this perspective. The paper is covering three groups of issues. The first chapter attempts to define some reference points, which have to be considered during the updating of the Romanian "Pre-Accession Economic Programme". The contents and the main functional characteristics of the macromodel used in the simulations for this purpose are examined in the second chapter. The third chapter discusses the computational hypotheses and presents the numerical estimations for two scenarios, considered by the author as the most relevant for the period 2002-2005. Some concluding remarks close this explorative study.

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