Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal

Savvides, Savvakis C. (1994): Risk Analysis in Investment Appraisal. Published in: Project Appraisal , Vol. Volume, No. 1 (March 1994): pp. 3-18.

Abstract

The methodology and uses of Monte-Carlo simulation technique are presented as applied to the analysis and assessment of risk in the evaluation of investment projects. The importance of risk analysis in investment appraisal is highlighted and the stages in the process introduced. The results generated by a risk analysis application are interpreted, including the investment decision criteria and measures of risk based on the expected value concept. Conclusions are drawn regarding the usefulness and limitations of risk analysis in investment appraisal.

• Item Type: MPRA Paper
• Language: English
• Keywords: risk analysis; investment appraisal; Monte Carlo simulation; project evaluation; measures of risk; investment decision criteria
• Subjects: G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G31 - Capital Budgeting ; Fixed Investment and Inventory Studies ; Capacity; G - Financial Economics > G3 - Corporate Finance and Governance > G32 - Financing Policy ; Financial Risk and Risk Management ; Capital and Ownership Structure ; Value of Firms ; Goodwill; M - Business Administration and Business Economics ; Marketing ; Accounting ; Personnel Economics > M2 - Business Economics > M21 - Business Economics

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