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Chocs externes, Institutions démocratiques et Résilience économique

Trabelsi, Mohamed Ali and Ahmed, Salah (2020): Chocs externes, Institutions démocratiques et Résilience économique.

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Abstract

This paper examines the role of democracy in strengthening the resilience of developing economies in the face of exogenous external shocks. Our study uses the duration model to estimate how external shocks and democracy determine the probable duration of a spell of economic growth. Examining a panel of 96 developing countries observed over the 1965-2015 period, we found that democracy is a resilience factor, insofar as it helps to support growth spells in the event of negative external shocks.

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