Munich Personal RePEc Archive

Items where Subject is "E - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles > E32 - Business Fluctuations ; Cycles"

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Number of items at this level: 783.


Abbritti, Mirko and Boitani, Andrea and Damiani, Mirella (2006): Unemployment, Inflation and Monetary Policy in a Dynamic New Keynesian Model with Hiring Costs. Published in: HEI Working Paper No. 07/2007 (January 2007): pp. 1-33.

Abo-Zaid, Salem (2009): Optimal Monetary Policy and Downward Nominal Wage Rigidity in Frictional Labor Markets.

Acuña, Andrés and Oyarzún, Carlos (2005): Money and real fluctuations in the Chilean economy. Published in: Economía y Administración , Vol. 42, No. 65 (December 2005): pp. 55-79.

Adamopoulou, Effrosyni and Tanzi, Giulia M. (2014): Academic Performance and the Great Recession.

Agustinus, Prasetyantoko (2007): Debt Composition and Balance Sheet Effect of Currency Crisis in Indonesia.

Agustinus, Prasetyantoko and Rachmadi, Parmono (2008): Determinants of Corporate Performance of Listed Companies in Indonesia.

Ahmed, Shahzad and Ahmed, Waqas and Khan, Sajawal and Pasha, Farooq and Rehman, Muhammad (2012): Pakistan Economy DSGE Model with Informality.

Akande, Emmanuel (2013): Investment Shocks: Sources of Fluctuations in Small Open Economy. Published in: Economic and Business Review , Vol. 15, No. 3 (October 2013): pp. 213-232.

Albers, Scott and Albers, Andrew L. (2013): Does “Okun’s Law” state a Pi:1 ratio? Toward a harmonic interpretation of why Okun’s Law works.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2006): Non-linear models: applications in economics.

Albu, Lucian-Liviu (2005): A dynamic model to estimate the “pure” productivity. Published in: Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting , Vol. 1, (March 2005): pp. 30-34.

Alege, Phillip and George, Emmanuel and Ojeaga, Paul and Queen-Esther, Oluwatimiro (2015): Is Africa’s Current Growth Reducing Inequality? Evidence from Some Selected African Countries. Forthcoming in:

Alessio, Moro and Rodolfo, Stucchi (2011): Heterogeneous Productivity Shocks, Elasticity of Substitution and Aggregate Fluctuations.

Almeida, Pedro Cameira de and Fuinhas, José Alberto and Marques, António Cardoso (2011): A assimetria dos ciclos económicos: Evidência internacional usando o teste triples.

Amberger, Korie (2013): The Role of Capital on Noise Shocks.

Amdur, David and Ersal Kiziler, Eylem (2012): Trend shocks and the countercyclical U.S. current account.

Amjad, Rashid and Din, Musleh ud (2014): Pakistan Economy: Caught in a Maelstrom. Published in: in Alberto E. Isgut edited Asia-Pacific Economies after the Global Financial Crisis: Lessons learned and the Way Forward : pp. 125-132.

Anas, Jacques and Ferrara, Laurent (2002): Un indicateur d'entrée et sortie de récession: application aux Etats-Unis. Published in: Document de travail du COE No. 58 : pp. 1-56.

Anastasios, Pappas (2010): Capital mobility and macroeconomic volatility: evidence from Greece. Published in: Journal of Economic Asymmetries , Vol. 7, No. 1 (June 2010): pp. 101-121.

Andrikopoulos, Athanasios and Markellos, Raphael. N (2012): Dynamic interaction between markets for leasing and selling automobiles.

Andrle, Michal (2008): The Role of Trends and Detrending in DSGE Models.

Annicchiarico, Barbara and Pelloni, Alessandra and Lorenza, Rossi (2010): Endogenous Growth, Monetary Shocks and Nominal Rigidities.

Antonakakis, Nikolaos (2012): Business cycle synchronization during US recessions since the beginning of the 1870's.

Antonakakis, Nikolaos and Gogas, Periklis and Papadimitriou, Theophilos and Sarantitis, Georgios (2015): International Business Cycle Synchronization since the 1870s: Evidence from a Novel Network Approach.

Arato, Hiroki (2008): Optimal operational monetary policy rules in an endogenous growth model: a calibrated analysis.

Argentiero, Amedeo and Bovi, Maurizio and Cerqueti, Roy (2015): Over consumption. A horse race of Bayesian DSGE models.

Arpaia, Alfonso and Curci, Nicola (2010): EU labour market behaviour during the Great Recession.

Arya, Anita and Mehta, Niti (2011): Performance of Gujarat economy: an analysis of growth and instability. Published in: SPIESR Working paper , Vol. Number,

Assenza, Tiziana (2007): Borrowing Constraints, Multiple Equilibria and Monetary Policy.

Athanasoglou, Panayiotis and Ioannis, Daniilidis and Manthos, Delis (2013): Bank procyclicality and output: Issues and policies.

Augustyniak, Hanna and Leszczyński, Robert and Łaszek, Jacek and Olszewski, Krzysztof and Waszczuk, Joanna (2014): On the dynamics of the primary housing market and the forecasting of house prices.

Augustyniak, Hanna and Łaszek, Jacek and Olszewski, Krzysztof and Waszczuk, Joanna (2012): Cykle na rynku nieruchomości mieszkaniowych i komercyjnych, ryzyko dla inwestora oraz potrzeba adekwatnej i ostrożnej wyceny. Forthcoming in: Biuletyn wydany z okazji Sympozjum Wyceny Nieruchomości i Przedsiębiorstw, 20-22 września 2012 r. ( (September 2012)

Augustyniak, Hanna and Łaszek, Jacek and Olszewski, Krzysztof and Waszczuk, Joanna (2014): Housing market cycles – a disequilibrium model and its application to the primary housing market in Warsaw. Published in: Ekonomia No. 35 (2014): pp. 5-23.

Aysan, Ahmet Faruk (2006): The Role of Distribution of the Income Shares of Individuals in Tradables and Nontradables on Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Delay of Stabilizations.

Aysan, Ahmet Faruk and Ceyhan, Sanli Pinar (2007): Market Disciplining Role of Crisis on the Restructuring of the Turkish Banking Sector.

Ayub, Mehar and Ahsanuddin, Muhammad (2003): Mysterious Socio-Economic Disturbances and Cyclical Fluctuations. Published in: Conference Proceedings, Cambridge University , Vol. 1, No. 2005 (2005): pp. 1-13.

Ayub, Mehar and Ahsanuddin, Muhammad (2003): Mysterious Socio-Economic Disturbances and Cyclical Fluctuations. Published in: Conference Proceedings, The Clute Institute of Economics and Business Research, Hawai , Vol. 1, No. 2005 (2005): pp. 1-13.

Azariadis, Costas and Kaas, Leo (2009): Capital misallocation and aggregate factor productivity.


BLINOV, Sergey (2014): Денежная политика количественного смягчения при высоких ставках центрального банка.

BLINOV, Sergey (2015): Сбережения и инфляция на примере России 1992 года.

BLINOV, Sergey (2014): Monetary Policy of Quantitative Easing at the Central Bank’s High Interest Rates.

BLINOV, Sergey (2015): Savings and Inflation Using the Example of Russia in 1992.

Balcilar, Mehmet and Bagzibagli, Kemal (2010): Sources of Macroeconomic Fluctuations in MENA Countries.

Baldi, Guido and Brüggemann-Borck, Imke and Schlaak, Thore (2014): The Effect of the Business Cycle on Apprenticeship Training: Evidence from Germany.

Balogun, Emmanuel Dele (2009): Alternative reconsideration of output growth differrential for the West African Monetary Zone.

Bambi, Mauro and Fabbri, Giorgio and Gozzi, Fausto (2009): Optimal policy and consumption smoothing effects in the time-to-build AK model.

Banerjee, Sanjibani and Barnett, William A. and Duzhak, Evgeniya A. and Gopalan, Ramu (2011): Bifurcation Analysis of Zellner's Marshallain Macroeconomic Model.

Barja, Gover (1995): Time Series Analysis of Macroeconomic Conditions in Open Economies.

Barnett, William A. (2008): What broke the bubble?

Barnett, William A. and Chauvet, Marcelle (2008): The End of the Great Moderation?

Barnett, William A. and Chauvet, Marcelle (2010): How better monetary statistics could have signaled the financial crisis.

Barnett, William A. and Chauvet, Marcelle and Leiva-Leon, Danilo (2014): Real-Time Nowcasting Nominal GDP Under Structural Break.

Barnett, William A. and Duzhak, Evgeniya (2006): Non-Robust Dynamic Inferences from Macroeconometric Models: Bifurcation Stratification of Confidence Regions.

Barnett, William A. and Duzhak, Evgeniya A. (2008): Empirical assessment of bifurcation regions within new Keynesian models.

Barnett, William A. and Duzhak, Evgeniya A. (2014): Structural Stability of the Generalized Taylor Rule.

Barnett, William A. and Eryilmaz, Unal (2012): Hopf bifurcation in the Clarida, Gali, and Gertler model.

Barnett, William A. and Eryilmaz, Unal (2012): An analytical and numerical search for bifurcations in open economy New Keynesian models.

Barnett, William A. and He, Susan (2009): Existence of Singularity Bifurcation in an Euler-Equations Model of the United States Economy: Grandmont was Right.

Barrera-Chaupis, Carlos (2014): La relación entre los ciclos discretos en la inflación y el crecimiento: Perú 1993-2012.

Bashar, Omar H M N (2009): The Nature of Aggregate Demand and Supply Shocks in ASEAN Countries.

Basher, Syed Abul (2010): Has the non-oil sector decoupled from oil sector? A case study of Gulf Cooperation Council Countries.

Bazdresch, Santiago (2011): Product differentiation and systematic risk: theory and empirical evidence.

Becker, Julia-Maria (2014): The Impact of the Crisis of 2008 on Women`s and Men`s Income in Mexico.

Beja, Edsel Jr. (2010): Post crisis blues.

Bejan, Maria (2006): Some Business Cycles Consequences of Signing Trade Agreements: The Case of NAFTA. Published in: EUI-RSCAS Working Papers Series , Vol. 03, (January 2007): pp. 1-27.

Belhadj, Aam and Eggoh, Jude (2010): Co-movements Of Business Cycles In The Maghreb: Does Trade Matter?

Belhadj, Aam and bangake, Chrysost and Jedlane, NABIL (2007): Toward Maghreb monetary unification:what does the theory and history tell us? Published in: Savings and Development (African Review of Money Finance and Banking , Vol. 1, (2007): pp. 7-37.

Belliveau, Stefan (2012): Estimation of the fiscal impact multiplier in reduced-form equations.

Belliveau, Stefan (2012): Estimation of the fiscal impact multiplier in reduced-form equations.

Belliveau, Stefan (2011): A St.-Louis equation to reassess the influence of macroeconomic-policy instruments.

Bellou, Andriana and Kaymak, Baris (2011): Real wage growth over the business cycle:contractual versus spot markets.

Beneki, Christina and Eeckels, Bruno and Leon, Costas (2009): Signal Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism Income Time Series. A Singular Spectrum Analysis Approach.

Berg, Tim Oliver (2011): Technology news and the U.S. economy: Time variation and structural changes.

Berg, Tim Oliver (2014): Time Varying Fiscal Multipliers in Germany.

Bernardi, Mauro and Della Corte, Giuseppe and Proietti, Tommaso (2008): Extracting the Cyclical Component in Hours Worked: a Bayesian Approach.

Bianchi, Javier (2009): Overborrowing and Systemic Externalities in the Business Cycle.

Bianchi, Javier (2009): Overborrowing and Systemic Externalities in the Business Cycle.

Bijapur, Mohan (2013): Are Credit Shocks Supply or Demand Shocks?

Bijapur, Mohan (2014): What Drives Business Cycle Fluctuations: Aggregate or Idiosyncratic Uncertainty Shocks?

Bilgili, Faik (2007): The Permanent and Transitory Effects on Consumption and Income: Evidence from the Turkish Economy.

Binici, Mahir and Köksal, Bülent (2012): Türkiye'de Aşırı Kredi Genişlemeleri ve Belirleyicileri.

Bisio, Laura and Ventura, Luigi (2012): Growth and volatility reconsidered: reconciling opposite views.

Bojeşteanu, Elena and Manu, Ana Simona (2011): Analiza empirică a sincronizării ciclului de afaceri şi a similarităţii şocurilor între România şi zona euro.

Bonciani, Dario (2015): Estimating the effects of uncertainty over the business cycle.

Bonciani, Dario (2014): Uncertainty shocks: it's a matter of habit.

Borenstein, Eliezer and Elkayam, David (2013): The equity premium in a small open economy, and an application to Israel.

Bormotov, Michael (2010): Modern Knowledge Based Economy: all-factors endogenous growth model and total investment allocation.

Bornukova, Kateryna (2009): Real Business Cycles in The Model with Two-Person Household and Home Production.

Borys, Paweł and Ciżkowicz, Piotr and Rzońca, Andrzej (2011): Panel data evidence on non-Keynesian efects of fiscal policy in the EU New Member.

Boschi, Melisso and Girardi, Alessandro (2009): The contribution of domestic, regional and international factors to Latin America's business cycle.

Bruchez, Pierre-Alain (2007): The random-lags approach: application to a microfounded model.

Bruno, Giancarlo and Lupi, Claudio (2003): Forecasting Euro-Area Industrial Production Using (Mostly) Business Surveys Data.

Bruno, Giancarlo and Malgarini, Marco (2002): An Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the Italian Economy.

Brzoza-Brzezina, Michal and Makarski, Krzysztof (2009): Credit Crunch in a Small Open Economy.

Budina, Nina and Gracia, Borja and Hu, Xingwei and Saksonovs, Sergejs (2015): Recognizing the Bias: Financial Cycles and Fiscal Policy. Published in: IMF Working Paper No. 15/246 (24. November 2015)

Buiter, Willem (2009): The unfortunate uselessness of most ’state of the art’ academic monetary economics. Published in: VoxEY (6. March 2009)

Bukowski, Maciej and Koloch, Grzegorz and Lewandowski, Piotr (2008): Shocks and rigidities as determinants of CEE labor markets' performance. A panel SVECM approach.

Büyükkarabacak, Berrak and Mykhaylova, Olena (2010): Housing market dynamics and welfare.


CRAIGWELL, ROLAND and MAURIN, ALAIN (2007): A sectoral analysis of Barbados’ GDP business cycle. Published in: Journal of Eastern Caribbean Studies , Vol. 32, No. 1 (2007): pp. 21-52.

Caleiro, António (2011): Acerca da importância da sincronização do ciclo económico português no contexto europeu.

Callahan, Gene and Hoffmann, Andreas (2015): Two-Population Social Cycle Theories.

Campbell, Carl M. (2009): An efficiency wage - imperfect information model of the aggregate supply curve.

Campiglio, Luigi Pierfranco (2014): Unbundling the Great European Recession (2009-2013): Unemployment, Consumption, Investment, Inflation and Current Account.

Carrasco-Gutierrez, Carlos Enrique and Reis Gomes, Fábio Augusto (2007): Evidence on Common Feature and Business Cycle Synchronization in Mercosur. Published in: Brazilian Review of Econometrics , Vol. 29, No. 1 (2009): pp. 37-58.

Carrillo-Tudela, Carlos and Visschers, Ludo (2012): Unemployment and Endogenous Reallocation over the Business Cycle.

Carvallo, Oscar and Pagliacci, Carolina (2013): Macroeconomic Shocks, Housing Market and Banks’ Performance in Venezuela.

Cavallari, Lilia (2012): Firms' entry, monetary policy and the international business cycle.

Cavallari, Lilia (2012): Markups and Entry in a DSGE Model.

Cavallari, Lilia and D'Addona, Stefano (2012): Business cycle determinants of US foreign direct investments.

Cervini-Plá, María and Silva, José I. and López-Villavicencio, Antonia (2012): Labor disruption costs and real wages cyclicality.

Cesaroni, Tatiana (2008): Estimating potential output using business survey data in a SVAR framework.

Chakraborty, Debojyoti and Bhattacharya, Kaushik (2009): Creative Destruction and Cycles in the US Capital Market: Evidence from Fortune 500 Firms. Forthcoming in: Empirical Economics Letters , Vol. 9, No. 7 (July 2010): pp. 691-695.

Chakraborty, Suparna (2006): Amplifying Business Cycles through Credit Constraints.

Chakraborty, Suparna and Otsu, Keisuke (2012): Business Cycle Accounting of the BRIC Economies.

Chan, Tze-Haw and Khong, Wye Leong Roy (2007): Business Cycle Correlation and Output Linkages among the Asia Pacific Economies.

Chan, Tze-Haw and Lau, Evan (2004): Business cycles and the synchronization process: a bounds testing approach. Published in: INTI Journal , Vol. 1, No. 5 (2005): pp. 445-465.

Chan, Tze-Haw and Lau, Evan (2004): Business cycles and the synchronization process: a bounds testing approach. Published in: INTI Journal , Vol. 1, No. 5 (2005): pp. 445-465.

Charles, Sébastien (2009): Explaining persistent cycles in a short-run context: firms’ propensity to invest and omnipotent shareholders.

Charpe, Matthieu and Flaschel, Peter and Hartmann, Florian and Malikane, Christopher (2014): Segmented Labor Markets and the Distributive Cycle: A Roadmap towards Inclusive Growth. Published in: Economics Research International , Vol. 2014, No. Article ID 218353, 15 pages (April 2014)

Charpe, Matthieu and Kühn, Stefan (2012): Bargaining, Aggregate Demand and Employment.

Chauvet, Marcelle and Senyuz, Zeynep (2008): A Joint Dynamic Bi-Factor Model of the Yield Curve and the Economy as a Predictor of Business Cycles.

Chauvet, Marcelle and Senyuz, Zeynep and Yoldas, Emre (2010): What does financial volatility tell us about macroeconomic fluctuations?

Che, Natasha Xingyuan (2009): The great dissolution: organization capital and diverging volatility puzzle.

Chen, Kaiji and Song, Zheng (2007): Financial Friction, Capital Reallocation and Expectation-Driven Business Cycles.

Chen, Kaiji and Song, Zheng (2009): Financial Frictions on Capital Allocation: A Transmission Mechanism of TFP Fluctuations.

Chen, Kuan-Jen and Chu, Angus C. and Lai, Ching-Chong (2014): Home Production and Small Open Economy Business Cycles.

Chen, Yan and Zhang, Yan (2008): Are Progressive Income Taxes Stabilizing? : A Reply.

Chen, Yan and Zhang, Yan (2009): Dynamic effects of government expenditure in a finance constrained economy: A Note.

Chen, Yan and Zhang, Yan (2009): Endogenous income taxes in OLG economies: A clarification.

Chen, Yan and Zhang, Yan (2008): Tariff Policy, Increasing Returns and Endogenous Fluctuations.

Chindamo, Phillip (2010): Australian labour market flows over the business cycle. Published in: Australian Bulletin of Labour , Vol. Volume, No. Issue 1 (December 2010)

Chindamo, Phillip (2012): Developing a composite index of economic activity for Australia.

Chindamo, Phillip (2010): Inventories in the Australian business cycle.

Chirwa, Themba G. (2009): The role of real and nominal variables in defining business cycles: dynamic properties of a hybrid model - an alternative view.

Chletsos, Michael and Giotis, Georgios P. (2015): The impact of minimum wage on employment in an economic downturn using data from 17 OECD countries for the period 1985-2008.

Chong, Terence Tai Leung and Zhu, Tingting and Rafiq, M.S. (2013): Are Prices Sticky in Large Developing Economies? An Empirical Comparison of China and India.

Choudhary, Ali and Hanif, Nadim and Iqbal, Javed (2013): On smoothing macroeconomic time series using HP and modified HP filter.

Chu, Angus C. and Leung, Charles Ka Yui and TANG, C. H. Edward (2012): Intellectual property rights, technical progress and the volatility of economic growth.

Ciccarelli, Carlo and Fenoaltea, Stefano and Proietti, Tommaso (2008): The comovements of construction in Italy's regions, 1861-1913.

Cinquegrana, Giuseppe (2011): The dynamics of the housing market prices and the business cycle: a VAR analysis for the european monetary union.

Clemens, Jeffrey and Miran, Stephen (2011): The role of fiscal institutions in analysis of fiscal policy.

Clemens, Jeffrey and Wither, Michael (2014): Just the Facts: Demographic and Cross-Country Dimensions of the Employment Slump.

Cloyne, James S (2012): Discretionary tax shocks in the United Kingdom 1945-2009: a narrative account and dataset.

Cloyne, James S (2011): Government spending shocks, wealth effects and distortionary taxes.

Cobb, Marcus (2014): Identifying the Sources of Seasonal Effects in an indirectly adjusted Chain-Linked Aggregate: A Framework for the Annual Overlap Method.

Colciago, Andrea and Etro, Federico (2007): Real Business Cycles with Cournot Competition and Endogenous Entry.

Colciago, Andrea and Rossi, Lorenza (2011): Endogenous Market Structures and Labor Market Dynamics.

Cooray, Arusha and Felmingham, Bruce (2005): Investment and Savings Cycles and Tests for Capital Market Integration.

Cotrie, Gladys and Craigwell, Roland and Maurin, Alain (2009): A review of leading composite indicators: making a case for their use in Caribbean economies. Published in: Journal of Applied Econometrics and International Development , Vol. 9, No. 2 (2009): pp. 145-161.

Crosilla, Luciana and Leproux, Solange and Malgarini, Marco (2014): The impact of the crisis on italian industrial capacity: an assessment based on the istat manufacturing survey.

Crowley, Patrick and Aaron, Schultz (2010): A New Approach to Analyzing Convergence and Synchronicity in Growth and Business Cycles: Cross Recurrence Plots and Quantification Analysis.

Cruces, Guillermo and Gluzmann, Pablo and Lopez-Calva, Luis Felipe (2011): Economic Crises, Maternal and Infant Mortality, Low Birth Weight and Enrollment Rates: Evidence from Argentina’s Downturns. Published in: Documento de Trabajo - CEDLAS , Vol. 121, (July 2011): pp. 1-28.

Cruz Rodriguez, Alexis and Francos Rodriguez, Martin (2008): Estimaciones alternativas del PIB potencial en la República Dominicana.

Cruz-Rodríguez, Alexis (2004): Un análisis del ciclo económico de la República Dominicana bajo cambios de régimen.

colciago, andrea and Rossi, Lorenza (2011): Endogenous Market Structures and the Business Cycle.


D'Agostino, Antonello and Mendicino, Caterina (2014): Expectation-Driven Cycles: Time-varying Effects.

D'Elia, Enrico (1991): La quantificazione dei risultati dei sondaggi congiunturali: un confronto tra procedure. Published in: Rassegna dei lavori dell'ISCO No. n. 13 (June 1991): pp. 1-72.

D'Orlando, Fabio and Ferrante, Francesco (2015): The benefits of stabilization policies revisited.

Dale, Charles (1990): From Kondratieff to Chaos: Some Perspectives on Long-Term and Short-Term Business Cycles. Published in: Futures Research Quarterly , Vol. 6, No. 4 (1990): pp. 71-83.

Dale, Charles (1984): A Search for Business Cycles with Spectral Analysis. Published in: American Statistical Association, Proceedings of the Business and Economic Statistics Section, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania (14. August 1984): pp. 267-272.

Daney, Valdivia and Marcelo, Montegro (2011): Boosting cycles and Stabilization effects of Fiscal Rules.

Daney, Valdivia and Marcelo, Montenegro (2009): Bolivia’s fiscal rules: dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model approach.

Daouli, Joan and Demoussis, Michael and Giannakopoulos, Nicholas and Lambropoulou, Nikolitsa (2015): The ins and outs of Greek unemployment in the Great Depression.

Datta, Soumya (2013): Convergence, cycles and complex dynamics of financing investment.

Datta, Soumya (2012): Cycles and Crises in a Model of Debt-financed Investment-led Growth.

Datta, Soumya (2014): Macrodynamics of debt-financed investment-led growth with interest rate rules.

Dave, Chetan and Dressler, Scott (2007): Market structure and business cycles: Do nominal rigidities influence the importance of real shocks?

De Koning, Kees (2015): Collective Household Economics and the need for funds approach The 2007-2008 financial crisis and its effects.

De Koning, Kees (2015): Collective Household Economics: a Wake Up Call for Central Banks?

De Koning, Kees (2015): Debts should come with a serious economic health warning!

De Koning, Kees (2014): A Home Individual Savings Account, An opportunity for the English underprivileged?

De Koning, Kees (2015): Overfunding and underfunding, a main cause of the business cycle?

De Koning, Kees (2012): Pension savings and economic growth.

De Koning, Kees (2015): The U.S. experience, Free markets in money: a contradiction in terms!

De Koning, Kees (2012): The United States: An Economic Balance Sheet Analysis.

De Koning, Kees (2015): Wealth, incomes and debt: the blocked channels.

De Koning, Kees (2015): The evil force of borrowing and the weakness of Quantitative Easing.

De Koning, Kees (2013): The real financial crisis: an individual households' crisis The case for index-linked government bonds for the Netherlands, the U.S. and the U.K.

De Koning, Kees (2014): The savings depreciation factor and economic growth.

Degiannakis, Stavros and Duffy, David and Filis, George and Livada, Alexandra (2014): Business Cycle Synchronisation in EMU: Can Fiscal Policy Bring Member-Countries Closer? Forthcoming in: Economic Modelling

Delavari, Majid and Mohammadali, Hanieh and Naderi, Esmaeil and Gandali Alikhani, Nadiya (2011): The sources of Iran's Business Cycles.

Delis, Manthos D and Kouretas, Georgios and Tsoumas, Chris (2011): Anxious periods and bank lending.

Demary, Markus (2009): The Link between Output, Inflation, Monetary Policy and Housing Price Dynamics.

Dennis, Wesselbaum (2012): Gender-speci�c Differences in Labor Market Adjustment Patterns: Evidence from the United States.

Devanthran, Haritharan (2009): Interdependence of SAARC-7 countries: an empirical study of business cycles.

Dey, Jaya (2013): The role of investment-specific technology shocks in driving international business cycles: a bayesian approach.

Dey, Jaya and Tsai, Yi-Chan (2012): Explaining the durable goods co-movement puzzle with non-separable preferences: a bayesian approach.

Dhaoui, Elwardi (2013): How to strengthen the financial autonomy to boost investment in the company? Published in: (May 2013)

Di Caro, Paolo (2014): Recessions, recoveries and regional resilience: Evidence on Italy. Forthcoming in: Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society (2014)

Diagne, Youssoupha S (2013): Impact of business environment on investment and output of manufacturing firms in Senegal.

Dobrescu, Emilian (2004): Double conditioned potential output. Published in: Romanian Journal of Economic Forecasting No. Paper presented at the 28th General Conference of The International Association for Research in Income and Wealth Cork, Ireland, August 22 - 28, 2004

Doshchyn, Artur and Giommetti, Nicola (2013): Learning, Expectations, and Endogenous Business Cycles.

Dressler, Scott J. (2009): Economies of scale in banking, confidence shocks, and business cycles.

Drozd, Lukasz A. and Nosal, Jaromir B. (2010): Pricing to Market in Business Cycle Models.

Dubra, Juan (2005): Interview with Kenneth Arrow.

Duduiala-Popescu, Lorena (2008): Measures of compliance with sustainable development objectives adopted by Romania in the pre-and post-accession.

Dumitru, Ionut (2009): Adoptarea euro in Romania.

Durmaz, Nazif (2011): Housing Prices and Fundamentals: The Role of a Supply Shifter.

Dwyer, Gerald P and Devereux, John and Baier, Scott L. and Tamura, Robert (2013): Recessions, Growth and Financial Crises. Forthcoming in: Journal of International Money and Finance

de Silva, Ashton (2007): A multivariate innovations state space Beveridge Nelson decomposition.

dong, congcong (2006): 世界经济长波导论:对危机与萧条的研究及预测.


El Alaoui, Aicha (2014): Identifying and characterizing the business cycle: the case of Morocco.

Elena, Gerko and Kirill, Sossounov (2011): Trend inflation and Monetary policy rules: Determinacy analyses in New Keynesian model with capital accumulation.

Ellahie, Atif and Ricco, Giovanni (2012): Government Spending Reloaded: Informational Insufficiency and Heterogeneity in Fiscal VARs.

Eo, Yunjong (2008): Bayesian Analysis of DSGE Models with Regime Switching.

Erdemlioglu, Deniz M and Xiao, Wei (2008): Indeterminate Equilibria in New Keynesian DSGE Model: An Application to the US Great Moderation.

Escaith, Hubert (2009): Trade Collapse, Trade Relapse and Global Production Networks: Supply Chains in the Great Recession.

Escañuela Romana, Ignacio (2013): Do the Economic Cycles of the Eurozone Member States converge? Empirical Evidence.

Escañuela Romana, Ignacio (2011): Empirical Evidence on the Predictability of Stock Market Cycles: the Behaviour of the Dow Jones Index Industrial Average in the Stock Market Crises of 1929, 1987 and 2007.

Escañuela Romana, Ignacio (2009): The Harvard Barometers: Did they allow for the Prediction of the Great Depression of 1929?

Escobari, Diego and Mollick, André Varella (2013): Output Growth and Unexpected Government Expenditures. Forthcoming in: The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics

Everett, Craig R. and Paglia, John K. (2013): Private Businesses Predict Limited Growth for 2013. Published in: Graziadio Business Review , Vol. 16, No. 1 (January 2013)

Everts, Martin (2006): Duration of Business Cycles.

Everts, Martin (2006): Sectoral and Industrial Business Cycles.


Faggini, Marisa (2010): Chaos detection in economics. Metric versus topological tools.

Faghih, Nezameddin and Faghih, Ali (2008): Nyquist Frequency in Sequentially Sampled Data.

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Stanova, Nadja (2015): Fiscal discretion, growth and output volatility in new EU member countries.

Staszkiewicz, Piotr W. (2013): PKB a upadłość. Forthcoming in:

Stavarek, Daniel (2013): Cyclical relationship between exchange rates and macro-fundamentals in Central and Eastern Europe.

Stazka, Agnieszka (2008): International parity relations between Poland and Germany: a cointegrated VAR approach. Published in: Bank i Kredyt No. 03/2008

Stirati, Antonella (2014): Real wages in the business cycle: an unresolved conflict between theory and facts in mainstream macroeconomics.

Stravelakis, Nikos (2014): Financial Crisis and Economic Depression: 'Post Hoc Ego Propter Hoc'? Implications for Financial Asset Valuation and Financial Regulation. Forthcoming in:

Sustek, Roman (2009): Monetary Aggregates and the Business Cycle.

Sustek, Roman (2009): Monetary Business Cycle Accounting.

Sustek, Roman (2009): Nonconvex Margins of Output Adjustment and Aggregate Fluctuations.

Swamy, Vighneswara (2013): Euro Zone Debt Crisis: Implications for Indian Banking Sector.


Tang, Bo and Bethencourt, Carlos (2015): Asymmetric Unemployment-Output Tradeoff in the Eurozone.

Tang, Linyao (2009): 让实体经济和虚拟经济的耦合协调度最优. Published in: Journal of Special Zone Economy , Vol. Vol.25, No. ISSN1004-0714 (November 2009): pp. 291-293.

Tapia, Jose (2015): Profits encourage investment, investment dampens profits, government spending does not prime the pump — A DAG investigation of business-cycle dynamics.

Tarassow, Artur (2010): The empirical relevance of Goodwin’s business cycle model for the US economy.

Tarassow, Artur (2010): The empirical relevance of Goodwin’s business cycle model for the US economy.

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Tatom, John (2010): Crises and the recent recession.

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Tatom, John (2004): Manufacturing employment, productivity and the business cycle. Published in: Tax Foundation Background Paper , Vol. No.. 4, (1. February 2004): pp. 1-16.

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Tausch, Arno (2013): The hallmarks of crisis. A new center-periphery perspective on long cycles.

Tayler, William and Zilberman, Roy (2014): Macroprudential Regulation and the Role of Monetary Policy.

Taylor, Leon (2014): Why didn't economists predict the Great Depression?

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Tervala, Juha (2014): China, the Dollar Peg and U.S. Monetary Policy. Published in: HECER Discussion Paper No. 377 (January 2014)

Tharavanij, Piyapas (2007): Capital Market Development, Frequency of Recession, and Fraction of Time the Economy in Recession.

Tharavanij, Piyapas (2007): Capital Market and Business Cycle Volatility.

Tharavanij, Piyapas (2007): Capital Market and Business Cycle Volatility.

Tharavanij, Piyapas (2007): Capital Market, Frequency of Recession, and Fraction of Time the Economy in Recession.

Tharavanij, Piyapas (2007): Capital Market, Severity of Business Cycle, and Probability of Economic Downturn.

Tharavanij, Piyapas (2007): Capital Market, Severity of Business Cycle, and Probability of an Economic Downturn.

Tian, Can (2011): Technology choice and endogenous productivity dispersion over the business cycles.

Tiwari, Aviral and Shahbaz, Muhammad and Shabbir, Muhammad (2011): Is per capita GDP non-linear stationary in SAARC countries?

Tiwari, Aviral Kumar (2012): Decomposing Time-Frequency Relationship between Interest Rates and Share Prices in India through Wavelets.

Toledo, Wilfredo (2010): Algunos métodos para modelar tendencias y su aplicación a las series de empleo sectorial en Puerto Rico.

Torre-Gallegos, Antonio de la and Bellini, Edith (2009): Las crisis bursátiles en España y su comparación con otros mercados internacionales: Análisis de sus principales características. Published in: UNIVERSIA BUSINESS REVIEW ISSN: 1698-5117 No. CUARTO trimestre 2009 (October 2009): pp. 44-61.

Totzek, Alexander and Winkler, Roland C. (2010): Fiscal stimulus in a model with endogenous firm entry.

Tsoukalas, John (2009): Time to Build Capital: Revisiting Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities.

Tsoukalas, John (2009): Time to Build Capital: Revisiting Investment-Cash Flow Sensitivities.

Tsoulfidis, Lefter (2014): Κρίση, Σύγχρονος Καπιταλισμός και Ταξικές Ανακατατάξεις.

Tsoulfidis, Lefteris (2001): Rethinking long cycles: are the 1990s the onset of a new phase of capital accumulation? Published in: , Vol. Atheni, (2002): pp. 89-96.


UNGUREANU, Laura (2008): The Cyclicity as Evolution Form of Economic Activities.


Valdivia, Daney (2012): Fluctuaciones sectoriales y su impacto en el crecimiento económico.

Valdivia, Daney and Loayza, Lilian (2010): Adopción de metas de inflación y su impacto en las expectativas de inflación y volatilidad del crecimiento económico: evidencia empírica para Bolivia.

Valdivia, Daney and Loayza, Lilian (2012): Analizando la determinación de impuesto a la renta y sus efectos sobre el crecimiento de la economía boliviana.

Valdivia, Daney and Pérez, Danyira (2013): Dinámica económica y coordinación de políticas fiscal – monetaria en América Latina: Evaluación a través de una DSGE.

Valdivia, Daney and Yujra, Paola (2009): Identificación de ciclos económicos en Bolivia: 1970-2008.

Valle e Azevedo, João (2007): Interpretation of the Effects of Filtering Integrated Time Series.

Valle e Azevedo, João (2008): A Multivariate Band-Pass Filter.

Van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2014): Understanding Financial Instability: Minsky Versus the Austrians.

Van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2014): Understanding Financial Instability: Minsky Versus the Austrians.

Verbic, Miroslav (2006): Memory and Asset Pricing Models with Heterogeneous Beliefs.

Victor, Olivo (2005): El Intercambio entre Inflacion y Producto: Evidencia Empirica para Venezuela.

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Vogel, Lukas (2008): Interacting nominal and real labour market rigidities.

Vogel, Lukas (2008): Interacting nominal and real labour market rigidities.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Credit Expansion, the Prisoner´s Dilemma, and Free Banking as Mechanism Design.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Credit Expansion, the Prisoner´s Dilemma, and Free Banking as Mechanism Design.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Credit Expansion, the Prisoner´s Dilemma, and Free Banking as Mechanism Design.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Free Banking, the Real-Balance Effect, and Walras´ Law.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Free Banking, the Real-Balance Effect, and Walras´ Law.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Free Banking, the Real-Balance Effect, and Walras´ Law.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2008): Free Banking, the Real-Balance Effect, and Walras´ Law.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2007): Gary Becker on Free Banking.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2007): Professor Becker on Free Banking: A Comment.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2006): Review of Huerta de Soto´s `Money, Bank Credit, and Economic Cycles´. Forthcoming in: New Perspectives on Political Economy , Vol. 2, No. 2 (November 2006): pp. 135-141.

van den Hauwe, Ludwig (2006): The Uneasy Case for Fractional-Reserve Free Banking. Forthcoming in: Procesos de Mercado Revista Europea de Economía Política , Vol. III, No. 2 (December 2006)


Wall, Howard J. (2011): The employment cycles of neighboring cities.

Weber, Enzo (2007): Regional and Outward Economic Integration in South-East Asia.

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Wesselbaum, Dennis (2010): Firing Tax vs. Severance Payment - An Unequal Comparison.

Wesselbaum, Dennis (2013): Labour Market Dynamics in Australia.

Wesselbaum, Dennis (2014): Sectoral Labor Market Effects of Fiscal Spending.

Whelan, Karl (2006): New Evidence on Balanced Growth, Stochastic Trends, and Economic Fluctuations.

Whelan, Karl (2006): Technology Shocks and Hours Worked: Checking for Robust Conclusions.

Wolters, Maik Hendrik (2012): Evaluating point and density forecasts of DSGE models.

Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling and Abu Mansor, Shazali and Puah, Chin-Hong and Liew, Venus Khim-Sen (2012): Forecasting malaysian business cycle movement: empirical evidence from composite leading indicator.

Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling and Puah, Chin-Hong and Abu Mansor, Shazali and Liew, Venus Khim-Sen (2012): Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability.

Wälti, Sébastien (2009): Business cycle synchronicity, amplitude and the euro: one size does not yet fit all.

Wälti, Sébastien (2010): No decoupling, more interdependence: business cycle comovements between advanced and emerging economies.

Wälti, Sébastien (2009): The myth of decoupling.


Xiao, Qin (2010): Systemic Stability of Housing and Mortgage Market: A state-dependent four-phase model.

Xu, Zhiwei (2008): Univariate Unobserved-Component Model with Non-Random Walk Permanent Component.

Xu, Zhiwei (2008): Univariate Unobserved-Component Model with a Non-Random-Walk Permanent Component. Forthcoming in: Applied Economics

Xu, Zhiwei (2008): Univariate Unobserved-Component Model with a Non-Random-Walk Permanent Component. Forthcoming in: Applied Economics


Yadav, Swati and Upadhyaya, V and Sharma, Seema (2010): Impact of fiscal policy shocks on the Indian economy.

Yashkir, Olga and Yashkir, Yuriy (2013): Monitoring of Credit Risk through the Cycle: Risk Indicators. Forthcoming in:

Yoshida, Jiro (2007): Technology Shocks and Asset Price Dynamics: The Role of Housing in General Equilibrium.

Yu, Eric Jinsan (2014): Predictive Power of Aggregate Short Interest.


Zaghini, Andrea and Bencivelli, Lorenzo (2012): Financial innovation, macroeconomic volatility and the great moderation. Forthcoming in: modern economy , Vol. 3, No. 5 (2012)

Zhang, Hewitt and Hu, Yannan and Hu, Bo (2012): House-price crash and macroeconomic crisis: a Hong Kong case study.

Zhang, Tongbin and Hu, Bo (2011): House-Price Crash and Macroeconomic Crisis: A Hong Kong Case Study.

Zhang, Yan (2008): Does the utility function form matter for indeterminacy in a two sector small open economy? Published in: Annals of Economics and Finance (May 2008)

Zhang, Yan and Chen, Yan (2009): Endogenous income taxes and indeterminacy in dynamic models: When Diamond meets Ramsey again.

Zhang, Yan and Chen, Yan (2009): Endogenous income taxes in OLG economies.

Zhang, Yan and Chen, Yan (2009): Tariff and Equilibrium Indeterminacy - A Global Analysis.

Zhang, Zhipeng (2009): Recovery Rates and Macroeconomic Conditions: The Role of Loan Covenants.

Zheleznyak, Anatoliy (2013): Новая теория капитализма: узловые моменты и общая логика.

Zheleznyak, Anatoliy (2014): Новая теория рынка и капитализма. В 3-х частях. Предисловие.

Zheleznyak, Anatoliy (2014): Новая теория рынка и капитализма. В 3-х частях. Часть 3. Капитализм.

Zheleznyak, Anatoliy (2013): A New Theory of Capitalism: Key Moments and General Logic.

Zhou, Song and Wang, Dong (2012): The macroeconomic and financial effects of oil price shocks.

Zubairy, Sarah (2010): Explaining the Effects of Government Spending Shocks.

zhao, bo (2013): Cyclical Dynamics in Idiosyncratic Labor-Market Risks: Evidence From March CPS 1968-2011.


Şen, Hüseyin and Kaya, Ayşe (2015): Growth enhancing effect of discretionary fiscal policy shocks: Keynesian, Weak Keynesian or Non-Keynesian?

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